请教OG10-61，看不懂的说。。多谢

taixiKim

61. The recent decline in the value of the dollar was triggered by a prediction of slower economic growth in the coming year. But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government’s huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.

 

Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the conclusion about how to prevent future currency declines?

(A) The government has made little attempt to reduce the budget deficit.

(B) The budget deficit has not caused a slowdown in economic growth.

(C) The value of the dollar declined several times in the year prior to the recent prediction of slower economic growth.

(D) Before there was a large budget deficit, predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in the dollar’s value.
            D

(E) When there is a large budget deficit, other events in addition to predictions of slower economic growth sometimes trigger declines in currency value.
            

 

61.

The argument assumes that a particular predict can cause a currency decline only if accompanied by a large budget deficit. Since choice D states that this prediction can cause a currency decline without a large budget deficit, choice D is the best answer.

 

That a method is not fully implemented does not imply that the method is ineffective. Thus, choice A is inappropriate. Since no slowdown in economic growth is asserted, what might cause such a slowdown is irrelevant. Thus, choice B is inappropriate. Since C supports the claim that a budget deficit is the underlying cause of the currency decline, C is inappropriate. Choice E is inappropriate because it supports the claim that a decrease in the budget deficit is necessary

LuckyKitten

选什么呢？是B吗，我没OG10

fly12404

答案是D

論述中認為預測只有伴隨著預算赤字才會造成貨幣貶值

如選項D所說

D) Before there was a large budget deficit, predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in the dollar’s value

在還沒有赤字前 就已經有出現貨幣貶值了

B中說(B) The budget deficit has not caused a slowdown in economic growth.

沒有提到prediction of slower economic growth

赤字有沒有影響到prediction of slower economic growth 是無關的

重點是赤字會不會間接造成貨幣貶值

[此贴子已经被作者于2008-7-28 12:21:46编辑过]

太阳狮子

But that prediction would not have adversely affected
the dollar had it not been for the government’s huge budget deficit这个部分怎么理解?

[此贴子已经被作者于2008-8-31 15:56:22编辑过]

KennyChenzju

had it not been...应该是条件状语从句。理解为“如果不是因为政府巨大的财政赤字，这个预言也不会反过来影响到美元(的估值)”

所以逻辑顺序是：财政赤字－> 经济下滑-> 美元下跌

endlessfrenz

依照4楼所说的, 财政赤字直接导致经济下滑的话,那么B选项不就是反对它们之间存在着这种关系吗? 不就也起到了削弱作用吗?

dustyrick

同意5楼的翻译， 不过我个人认为逻辑关系是：财政赤字+ 经济下滑的预测 -> 美元下跌

财政赤字和 经济下滑的预测之间没有明显 A->B /  B ->A 的联系

adai

对于题目的结论“阻止美元下跌　必须　减缓财政赤字”，我感觉Ｄ答案更好些

没有财政赤字，也会存在 经济下滑的预测-> 美元下跌（全面描述了三者的关系），所以减缓了财政赤字未必会阻止美元下跌（很好的weaken）

而Ｂ只说　财政赤字->经济下滑（注意不是预测，且经济下滑的预测对美元的影响只能由题干来推出)，虽然也说得过去，但是有Ｄ在的话，Ｂ就不是最佳答案。

所以我觉得答案Ｄ比Ｂ好