140 Escalation bias
pace:3m48s
主旨:探究了关于escalation bias一个实验的局限性
SCA:
P1
引出主题,S的研究认为managers都有Escalation bias,介绍定义,
该研究支持了folklore:managers喜欢把钱扔在performing bad的项目上
P2
详细介绍了S的研究内容:把managers分为两组投R&D项目,之后有再投资机会
结果:对比之下,那些被告知项目performing bad的managers愿意投更多的钱在项目上
P3
大反派,ACS
ACS根据S的研究,调整了实验对象(not R&D projects but其他)和dates(more contemporary)
得出结论,escalation bias did not apply, did not generalise
P4
根据前文内容,提出问题,ACS的结论controversial吗
一种看法是:ACS的研究帮助define the limit of generalization of escalation bias
另一种:S的得出结论的研究过程有问题,然后阐述了问题所在,比如两组managers都没有被告知项目未来的盈利能力ratio for them to make rational decision是,结论无效,实验无效,整个study都无效啦sry mate
长难句takeaways
One way to view the study is that it simply helped to define the limits to which escalation bias can be generalized.
单词
1. folklore
folklore: the traditional stories and culture of a group of people
lore: traditional knowledge and stories about a subject:
According to local lore, the water has healing properties.
folk
- people, especially those of a particular group or type:
old folk
Ordinary folk can't afford cars like that.
- someone's parents:
I'm going home to see my folks.
- MUSIC
enjoy listening to folk (music).
folk singers
a folk club/festival
2. Controversial: causing disagreement or discussion:
a controversial issue/decision/speech/figure
The book was very controversial.