[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day6

芝麻芋圆

1. 推出来：历史可能不止3000年；D
2. 罚款低于10元 / 停车场太远不方便 / 停车场位置太少
3. 猫猫喜欢在角落躲着而且不爱叫唤，小偷进去之前不知道有猫猫

WinnerWSW

1.玛雅人的石器
答案：D
解析：
削弱题
在C地发现的玛雅陶器有3000年的历史。最近又在C地发现了有4500年历史的用作农业工具的石器，这些石器和之前在C地发现的玛雅人的石器很像，并且这些石器又和从前在C地居住的其他文明所使用的石器非常不同。所以，可以确定玛雅人在4500年前就在C地居住了。
A.陶器只是题干的背景信息，本题主要讨论的是石器证据，所以超出了讨论范畴，是无关选项。
B.只讨论了C地的农业开始的时间，无关选项。
C.讨论的是石器的用途，无关选项。
D.特定地点的文化的继承者通常会继续沿用之前居住在同一地点的居民所使用的农业用具的风格。表明这些有4500年历史的石器并不一定是玛雅人的，而很可能是之前在C地居住的其他文明的人们留下的，而之所以这些有着4500年历史的石器的风格与玛雅人的石器风格很像，是因为之前的文明的人离开后，玛雅人来到C地，并且玛雅人依照前人留下的石器，模仿前人的石器风格制作了自己的石器。
E.很多3000年前在C地居住的玛雅人的宗教和社会机构依赖于高度发达的农业系统。无关选项。

2.海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就罚款，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work？
解析：
①罚款的金额可能要少于停车费，所以人们宁可乱停也不会去停车场。
②停车收费削弱了人们来海边的积极性，游客变少使得停车场的停车费收入小于对停车场的管理成本，导致入不敷出，停车场无法维持下去。
③停车位的供给远远小于需求，导致很多车辆无法进入停车场，只能被迫在外面乱停乱放。

3.猫咪会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会intrude，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用，但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因。
解析：
①养猫的人家占总人家的比例大于小偷去过的有猫的人家占小偷去过的总人家的比例。例如，养猫的人家占总人家的2/3，但是小偷去过的有猫的人家只占小偷去过的总人家的1/2，那么小偷去的有猫的家里比没有猫的家多就非常正常。并且，猫喜欢躲在角落，也不像狗一样会大声嚎叫，所以小偷进门之前不知道家里有猫，也就是说，养猫并不会对小偷是否偷窃产生影响。
②有闲钱养猫的人家通常被认为较富裕，更容易被小偷盯上，所以小偷更喜欢光顾养猫的人家，因为收获大。
③养猫的人家以为小偷看到猫就会感到害怕，自认为小偷不敢进门，所以对家庭的安全措施（例如，防盗门，监控器等）更为疏忽，让小偷容易得手。

ZZhiyan

1.        玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
P：发现了早于3000年前的类似玛雅人文物，跟其他文物不像
C：因此能确定玛雅是在4500年前settlements
答案：D

OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2.        海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
P：为了应付海边乱停车，警察建了一个停车场，缴费10停一天
C：不然野外乱停就罚钱，这个计划能应付海边乱停车
答案：罚钱不能解决乱停车问题--罚钱比停车费少

3.        猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因

答案：因为有猫家里更有钱/有猫的家里没有狗

Sharonnnhai

1. D
2. 1）停车场小，停不下 2）去beach玩的人有钱不在乎罚钱。罚钱太少
3. 养猫的家庭通常比没养猫的家富裕。

CCCandice

Day 6
1.        玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么 玛雅人的settle时间可能更早？
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument? A
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2.        海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
乱停车的人不在乎这10块钱。
3.        猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
没有猫猫的家里有别的东西（比如监控）会比猫猫带来的震慑作用更大。

Severus.

1.P1:玛雅人3000年前settle在A
P2:发现4500年前的东西跟玛雅很像跟别的文化不像
C:玛雅是4500年前的
gap:有一种跟玛雅像的文化是4500年前的
D 玛雅继承了同一地方前人的农业文化
2.P1：人乱停车
P2：建停车场交钱停车，乱停的罚钱
gap：罚金小于10块，车位不够
3.P：小偷看到狗不敢进，猫没用但贼也害怕
c：小偷去的有猫家比没猫家多
gap：没猫家养狗比较多

NWUZS

1.        玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.   D
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2.        海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
（1）目标不能实现：在野外乱停的罚金少于10块钱，所以大部分人都把车停在野外
（2）方案会引起副作用：过高的罚款和停车费导致很多人都不愿意去beach旅游了，极大的削弱了beach的收入
（3）方案本身可操作性不大：开车去beach的人远远多于现有停车位，导致有很多车即使想停在停车位也停不下

3.        猫猫会招贼
有猫的人家里都没有狗，没有猫的人家里都有狗。

CHENOlivia

1.        玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.

D
最早的Mayan pottery3000年前。但最近发现了4500年前的implements。这些implements和Mayan的很像，2而和别的cultures不同。所以得出结论Mayan 4500年前。
问削弱。
因：和Mayan像而和别的不像。
果：是Mayan
A不涉及因果
B不涉及因果
C不涉及因果
D涉及因果，可能是继承Mayan但是不是Mayan的。选这个
E不涉及因果

2.        海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。

方案题
1.质疑有效性。无法知道哪些是乱停的。
2.质疑可行性。停车场远，还是会乱停。或者罚款低于10元。
3.副作用。吸引更多人来，更加停不下，乱停。
4.冲突目标。影响了beach的吸引力。


3.        猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因

养猫的人家更加有钱。或者养猫的人家以为小偷会害怕，所以不锁门。

kirsiii

1.        玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
P：最早的玛雅pottery是在3000年前。但是最近发现一个4500年年前的农业工具和玛雅的很像，和这里其他的文明不一样
C：4500年前这里就有玛雅文化了
1.        玛雅学的别人的，这个才是这个农业工具的主人
2.        那个文明你还没发现

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2.        海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
1.        罚钱的金额比较低
2.        停车场可能不够停

3.        猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
按理说：猫猫让贼会害怕
但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多
可能有猫猫的家住的层比较低（反正就是养猫猫的家有更招贼的特征）

断了的弦

Day 6
1.       玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayanpottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however,4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. Theseimplements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found atColha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from thedesigns of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabitedthe area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlementsin Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of thefollowing, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware isnot known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-datingof corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500years ago.
(C)Archaeologicalevidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha wereused to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas ofswampland for cultivation.
(D) Successorcultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements usedby earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religiousand social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years agorelied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2.       海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
罚单没有停车场的钱多？
3.       猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
有宠物的家庭相对富裕 能偷的钱多？