[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day6

wannatechan

Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
推论：3000年前的玛雅人可能是4500年前这个地方的后人

变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
答案：D
果因式推理：
现象：C地方4500的implements和3000的Mayan pottery很像
结论：Mayan4500就出现在C这个地方了
猜测方向：找他因，比如可能是3000的M抄袭4500的设计风格

2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
方案评估
方法：在停车场停车10元，在野外乱停就罚钱
目的：阻止人乱停车
猜测方向：为什么这个plan不work,可能野外太大，乱停车的人不会被警察发现

3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
解释：小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多
猜测方向：找为什么会去猫猫家的更多？可能猫不会叫或者为什么小偷去猫猫家的时候更容易被发现？

儂子

Day 6
1.        玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
D
答案

2.        海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
P: 警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱
C: 解決亂停車
Weaken: 警察不常巡邏亂停車？停車場空間supply<demand
【答案】
罚款小于等于 10 元

3.        猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
P小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕
C去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多
【答案】
有猫的人家里没有狗狗

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同意！               

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Day 6
1.        玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?  D
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2.        海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
大家宁愿不去beach了
3.        猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
有钱人更倾向于买猫猫在家里

黑框旻

Mark一下！               

黑框旻

1. D

2. Plan本身存在问题，无法达到目标：停车场的大小不足以容纳所有去沙滩游玩的车；
Plan造成其他副作用：周边所有的车都停过来/有地方停车鼓励大家开车出行，反而拥堵；

3. 猫本身不会叫，所以即使家里有猫，小偷在进去前也不知道。

xkxkxkk

看一下！               

xkxkxkk

1. OG
P1：在C发现了玛雅人的陶器（3000）
P2：在C发现了石器（4500）
P3：这些石器与其他部落的不一样
C：C是玛雅人的settlement
weaken：
猜测：玛雅人只是路过C
选项：D？

2.方案评估
GOAL：不让人乱停
PLAN：建停车场，交钱；不然就罚钱
WEAKEN：罚的钱跟停车费差不多 （补充：太多车了，停车场停不下，还是会乱停）

3.现象解释
P1：狗会叫，所以贼不去
P2：猫不叫，但贼怕
现象：小偷去有猫猫家的次数>没猫猫家的次数
解释：养猫人家里富？（不太对）   没养猫人家有监控？

问题不大35

同意！               

芝麻芋圆

Mark一下！