[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day44

vestofmmw

Day 44
1.        鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：F：某河流，鱼disoriented
P：pesticide杀虫剂造成失去方向感，做实验，某化学物质确实影响
P：杀虫剂有这种化学物质
evaluate
思路：找选项whether杀虫剂真的进入了这个河流？

【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
无关
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
无关
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
无关
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
Y：c猴唯一可以轻易搞到m的季节就是雨季，题干rub只有在雨季不rub，属于增强。 N：c猴不是只能在雨季轻易搞到m，题干结论c猴rub为了防护好像也没有被削弱。。
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
无关
选D
2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
F：消费和时间成正比
F：新开cinema，呆的时间不会增多
C：由于消费少，公司收入会下降
Q：assumption
思路：顾客泡在mall的时间要么去逛街要么看电影。


3.        原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered被胜过 by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.



M：17 @1st
A：赢了M在收购E上
A：must sell 5 casino →@last 20
C：A会有最多赌场
Q：weaken
思路：A不会有最多赌场，E被收购了就不管他了，如果这三家就是唯一的赌场公司，A卖公司就卖给M了。M@last=M@1st+5=17+5=22 > A@last的20

George_chen

研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
是否河里有pesticide
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?  D
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes

2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
顾客在mall待的总时间不会增加，在cinema待的时间多了，在其他地方待的时间就少


3.        原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state. A

WinnerWSW

1.鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：解析：
评价题
应该评价：如果此时，在该河流里没有这种杀虫剂的存在，鱼还会不会迷失方向。
如果没有这种杀虫剂的话，鱼不会迷失方向，那么就表明确实是杀虫剂造成了鱼的迷路。如果该河中没有了杀虫剂，鱼还是迷失了方向，那么就表明是有其他因素造成了鱼的迷路。例如，河流的流向变化、温度变化、天气变化以及其他的污染物等等。

【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes答案：D
解析：
评价题：要论证的是：卷尾猴揉搓千足虫的行为到底是不是为了防虫？
委内瑞拉的卷尾猴经常会某一种千足虫揉搓进自己的皮毛里。这些千足虫的分泌物已经被证实含有能够强力驱蚊的两种化学物质，并且蚊子携带着会使卷尾猴变虚弱的寄生虫。这种摩擦行为是很少见的，除非是在雨季，那时蚊子数量达到顶峰。因此，猴子们可能会将千足虫揉搓进它们的皮毛中，因为这样能够使它们免遭蚊子的侵害。
A.这两种化学物质是否为千足虫抵抗它们自己的捕食者提供任何的保护。错误，超出了讨论的话题，讨论的是千足虫对卷尾猴的作用，而不是讨论千足虫自身。
B.这种能为维瑞内拉的卷尾猴所用的千足虫是否能在世界上的其他地方找到。错误，无关选项，题干并不是在讨论千足虫在世界上的分布问题。
C.除了卷尾猴以外，是否还有其他动物也会存在把任意种类的昆虫揉搓进它们的皮毛中的行为。错误，超出了讨论的话题，话题是围绕卷尾猴的并没有提到其他动物。
D.是否只有在雨季的时候卷尾猴才能够随时得到千足虫。正确，如果在其他季节卷尾猴也能随时抓到千足虫，但是却没有发生摩擦千足虫的行为，而只在雨季这种蚊子猖獗的时期会摩擦千足虫，就能够证实卷尾猴摩擦千足虫的行为确实是为了驱蚊。而如果这种千足虫只有在蚊子众多的雨季才会出现，不必然说明卷尾猴捉千足虫就是为了防蚊，也许只是为了好玩，毕竟我们并不知道在蚊子数量少的季节里卷尾猴还会不会抓千足虫来摩擦，形成不了对比。
E.卷尾猴能够获得的其他昆虫的分泌物中是否含有能驱赶蚊子的化学物质。错误，提到其他昆虫，无关，超出了讨论范围。

2.消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了解析：
找错误的假设
①顾客的消费和他在商场里逗留的时间不必然成正比，很可能人们只是把商城当作一个散步的场所，只是进来闲逛，并不一定会消费。
②商场里开了电影院之后，虽然顾客数量不一定会显著增加，但是顾客只要进电影院并在里面逗留，基本可以肯定他们是去看电影的，因为没有人回去电影院闲逛，而看电影肯定要花钱买电影票，所以商场的收入不一定会下降。（即顾客向的转化率提高，有了电影院之后，为商城贡献消费的人占进入商城的总人数的比例变高。）

3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
答案：A
解析：
削弱题
M有17家赌场，是该州拥有赌场最多的公司。尽管M想要扩张，但是在收购E的谈判中，M输给了A。为了完成对E的收购，A必须卖掉5家赌场，以遵循州法律：禁止任何人在一个县经营一家以上的赌场。因为到时候A将仍会经营20家赌场，所以那时A会在该州拥有最多的赌场。
A. A,E,M是该州仅有的被许可经营的赌场。正确，因为如果该州只要A,E,M三家合规的赌场，那么A想要卖掉5家赌场以遵守州法律时，就只能将这五家赌场卖给M，那么M将拥有17+5=22家赌场，其赌场数量还是多于A，M依然是该州赌场数量最多的。
B.E在该州的大部分赌场如果想要继续盈利，那么就需要进行大规模的翻新。错误，与讨论的主题：赌场数量无关。
C.该州的一些县上不允许开设赌场。错误，不允许开赌场的县并不在考虑范围内，只需要考虑允许开赌场的县，因为任何一个机构都不可能在不允许开赌场的县开设赌场，对于任何机构都是公平的。
D.M已经在该州的大部分县经营赌场。错误，无用信息。
E.A将会用从出售那5家赌场获得的资金来收购E。错误，无关选项，我们并不关心收购的钱从哪来。

花花嘛嘛

Mark一下！               

多喝烫水

Mark一下！               

多喝烫水

Day 44
1.       鱼的嗅觉
premise下雨天 蚊子多 rub 不是下雨天 蚊子少 rare rub
Conclusion rub可以赶走蚊子
D：只有下雨天才有m 才能rub(m是与驱赶蚊子无关的）
2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
假设在cinema里消费少了，也不会在这个商场其他地方多消费/来这个商场的人就是来看电影的
3.  
A  如果只有这三家赌场 M会买走A卖掉的那五个赌场，很可能M会拥有最多的赌场

花花嘛嘛

Day 44
1.        鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
P：某种化学物质使鱼儿失去方向感，pesticide还有这种化学物质
C：Pesticide使鱼儿失去方向感
Gap：Pesticide含有化学物质——pesticide使鱼失去方向感
评价的方向：Pesticide的其他化学成分相互作用，会不会降低这种化学成分的效果？
不含这种化学成分的pesticide会不会导致鱼失去方向？
Pesticide里的该种化学成分的含量是否足以让鱼失去方向？

【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes

2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
Background：消费跟待在mall时间成正比
P：mall新来电影院
C：顾客在cinema消费少
Gap：在cinema消费少——在mall待得时间少——收入下降
错误的assumption：cinema不会带来更多的人流量？电影票不算入公司收入？

3.        原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
M=17 casinos
Apex=A+E-5=20
P: Apex will left operating 20 casinos
C: Apex will have the most casinos in the state
答案为A，M=17+5=22 大于20，M将会是最大的

slowdiving

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皮皮芃

Mark一下！               

slowdiving

Day44.
1.答案猜测：evaluation
河流里会不会包含其他化学物质的污染/其他形式下鱼会不会受影响
2.答案猜测：
消费少，那么收入就会变少
3.答案猜测：要反驳数量最多这个结论
A