[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day44

HKU康康我

kk

Ak777

1.鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
-是否有他因佐证这种相关性。比如河流里含有这种chemical的，只有这个pesticide；把chemical直接倒河里，鱼儿更disoriented

【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes

D


2.消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了

-题目逻辑链：
消费与消费者呆在mall的时间成正比、呆在mall的时间固定、消费者在cinema的观影时间挤兑了购物时间，而cinema消费很少，所以总收入下降

感觉错误假设了消费行为不会随时间的减少而变得更加集中，或消费行为一定呆在mall的时间强相关，比如原来逛5个小时买5个东西，现在看完电影时间少了，2个小时只能买2个东西，感觉有些不合理。
.......（看完答案感觉自己像个傻子）

3.原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
A

Camillezzy

1

鲤新一

看一下！               

啦啦啦萝卜

1

宇宙阿兕

同意

themarvelousray

看一下！               

Zach760！

看之！

Sophie_Lee

看一下！               

SarangZ

P：鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。C：证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
方案题
—没有接触过这种物质是否也会失去方向感

【类似题目】
P：he rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak.
C:the monkeys -- rub the millipedes into their fur -- protect them against mosquitoes.
(D)

2.        消费和营业时间
BG:顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。
P:由于顾客在cinema里消费少
C:所以公司的收入会下降
建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
将在mall的时间等于在cinema的时间了/将cinema收入等于公司收入


3.        原题
BG:With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state.
P:To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos
C:Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
seriously undermines the prediction
因果关系
--因：卖了5个，还剩下20个
果：他是最多的
方向：20个不是最多的，卖了5个带来了影响