[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day44

luchenfeng

谢谢～～

miawang00088

我

Sophie_Lee

1.        鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：

果因推理，结论是鱼失去方向就是因为pesticide造成的。
反例：是否科学家停止放杀虫剂后，鱼群还有disoriented的事情发生？
他因：是否水里就天然含有这种化学物质

【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?       D
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes

2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了

顾客去了cinema就不会去商场的其他店铺进行消费了

3.        原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?  A
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.

miawang00088

1 现象：鱼都disoriented
  化学成分会导致鱼disoriented
   pesticide里有这种化学成分-- pesticide导致鱼都disoriented
as 不是其他原因，就是pesticide导致鱼都disoriented
评价：有没有其他原因导致鱼都disoriented//pesticide的化学成分会不会不管用
2 现象 c用m擦皮毛，擦在其他时候很少，只在雨季最旺盛蚊子最多的时候频繁
          m含有抵抗蚊子的物质，蚊子会伤害c
   原因  c用m擦皮毛是为了抵抗蚊子
as c用m擦皮毛不是其他原因（抵抗其他生物）就是为了抵抗蚊子
评价 有没有其他原因让c用m擦皮毛--是不是只有在雨季的时候才有m可供c用（是加强：蚊子少时候不用//不是削弱：蚊子少时候也在用）
3 商场新开一家影院，顾客在商场总时间不增加，顾客在影院消费少--》公司收入会下降
  as 顾客在影院消费少，在影院待的时间减少了在商场其他门店购物的时间--收入下降
4 m17家   a+e-5=20家  ----》a是最多的
weak：a20家但不是最多的
只有a，e，m这三家赌场，a要收购e，出售5，只能卖给m，那m=17+5=22大于a=20

薄荷柠檬

mark

邦德王

Day 44
1.        鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：思路：考虑是不是pesticide和disoriented是巧合，或者他因。
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
选D，两个事件是巧合
2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
大多数顾客来这个商场都是去cinema消费

3.        原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
选A，他得卖给别人，所以别人的会增加，那他不一定是第一了。

林limbo

1.鱼在没有接触到农药的时候是否也会迷路
2.去过电影院的人不会再去商场了
3.A

vogue123

同意！               

HKU康康我

1. 中文那个没看懂
Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season  分析D选项 Y:说明只有这个季节可以抹，只不过跟蚊子高峰的时间刚好重合了不能说明就是用来防蚊 N：说明一年四季都可以rub，但是一定要雨季虫子多的时候rub说明就是为了防蚊

2. 猜测：顾客总量是一致的？
收入=顾客总量*每个人的消费（和每个人待的时间有关）

3. 这道题以前做过选三者是唯一三家 17+5=22>20

xxxx44

1. P：pesticide里的化学物质导致鱼失去方向感C：水里有这种化学物质
果因推理
evalue：没有这种化学物质/含这种物质的pesticide鱼是否还没有方向感
他因：其他化学物质能造成相似后果/水里本来就有这种化学物质
2. P: 消费与停留时间成正比，并不会在新开cinema里停留更久
C：商场收入下降
questionable assumption：顾客的消费只发生在cinema里，不在商场的其他区域消费，但呆在cinema里的时间也是在mall的里的时间。
(so people who go to the mall will go to the cinema? will go or will not go ?)
3. P: M=17，A+E-5=A‘=20
C：A’最多
weaken：其他有牌照的博彩公司也在这个州，或许手头赌场数目更多