20天后重新发射，余心之所善兮，虽九死其犹未悔

linlanjun1993

很晚了额，今晚做了那篇水的保留权的阅读，超难
于是重温了小安中mumuwa那篇范文
明天要调整一下先后顺序了额
先搞作文模版和IR
老是因为完不成任务抛弃掉这两个
明天加油！

linlanjun1993

在经过一下午断网不听歌做语法逻辑后，俺又回来了
今下午先看了一下lawyer对于assumption的讲解，大概就是答案有两种情况：（1）填补GAP（2）排除他因
方法就是：首先排除无关，然后取非削弱。
然后俺做了八道assumption的题，错一道，贴上：
63. Traditionally, decision making by managers that is reasoned step-by-step has been considered preferable to intuitive decision making. However, a recent study found that top managers used intuition significantly more than did most middle- or lower-level managers.
This confirms the alternative view that intuition is actually more effective than careful, methodical reasoning.
The conclusion above is based on which of the following assumptions?
(A) Methodical, step-by-step reasoning is inappropriate for making many real-life
management decisions.
(8) Top managers have the ability to use either intuitive reasoning or methodical, step-by-step reasoning in making decisions.
(C) The decisions made by middle- and lower-level managers can be made as easily by using methodical reasoning as by using intuitive reasoning.
(D) Top managers use intuitive reasoning in making the majority of their decisions.
(E) Top managers are more effective at decision making than middle- or lower-level managers.

linlanjun1993

答案是E，单看答案是绝对没问题的，用intuition的比不用的更有效率，当然intuition更有效率，填补GAP
但是我选的是B，我一般看到一个觉得对了的就选了就不看后面的了

linlanjun1993

其实B是与效率无关的，偶对于无关一般都不敏感。。

linlanjun1993

Justify the conclusion这类型只有一道题，俺做错了，贴上：
14. In Washington County, attendance at the movies is just large enough for the cinema operators to make modest profits. The size of the county’s population is stable and is not expected to increase much. Yet there are investors ready to double the number of movie
screens in the county within five years, and they are predicting solid profits both for themselves and for the established cinema operators.
Which of the following, if true about Washington County, most helps to provide a justification for the investors’ prediction?
(A) Over the next ten years, people in their teenage years, the prime movie going age, will be a rapidly growing proportion of the county’s population.
(B) As distinct from the existing cinemas, most of the cinemas being planned would be located in downtown areas, in hopes of stimulating an economic revitalization of those areas.
(C) Spending on video purchases, as well as spending on video rentals, has been increasing modestly each year for the past ten years.
(D) The average number of screens per cinema is lower among existing cinemas than it is among cinemas still in the planning stages.
(E) The sale of snacks and drinks in cinemas accounts for a steadily growing share of most cinema operators’ profits.

linlanjun1993

答案A，可以想明白，青少年变多，看电影的人变多，利润自然提高
但是我绝对B也没错啊。把电影院开的离原有的电影院远一点，就不至于抢了它们的生意了啊，也就是所有电影院都一起发展额，俺凌乱了。。。。。

linlanjun1993

最凌乱的是做Paradox这个类型，做之前看了下lawyer，其实也没说啥，就说找出矛盾，然后答案使得矛盾事物不矛盾或不矛盾事物都成立，可是我每次选的答案，我觉得能够使矛盾事物不矛盾，但是答案显示不能推出，有三题至今想不通：
46. Contrary to earlier predictions, demand for sugarcane has not increased in recent years. Yet, even though prices and production amounts have also been stable during the last three years, sugarcane growers last year increased their profits by more than 10 percent over the previous year’s level.
Any of the following statements, if true about last year, helps to explain the rise in profits EXCEPT:
(A) Many countries that are large consumers of sugarcane increased their production of
sugarcane-based ethanol, yet their overall consumption of sugarcane decreased.
(B) Sugarcane growers have saved money on wages by switching from paying laborers an hourly wage to paying them by the amount harvested.
(C) The price of oil, the major energy source used by sugarcane growers in harvesting their crops, dropped by over 20 percent.
(D) Many small sugarcane growers joined together to form an association of sugarcane producers and began to buy supplies at low group rates.
(E) Rainfall in sugarcane-growing regions was higher than it had been during the previous year, allowing the growers to save money on expensive artificial irrigation.

DUKB24

Justify the conclusion这类型只有一道题，俺做错了，贴上：
14. In Washington County, attendance at the movies is just large enough for the cinema operators to make modest profits. The size of the county’s population is stable and is not expected to increase much. Yet there are investors ready to double the number of movie
screens in the county within five years, and they are predicting solid profits both for themselves and for the established cinema operators.
Which of the following, if true about Washington County, most helps to provide a justification for the investors’ prediction?
(A) Over the next ten years, people in their teenage years, the prime movie going age, will be a rapidly growing proportion of the county’s population.
(B) As distinct from the existing cinemas, most of the cinemas being planned would be located in downtown areas, in hopes of stimulating an economic revitalization of those areas.
(C) Spending on video purchases, as well as spending on video rentals, has been increasing modestly each year for the past ten years.
(D) The average number of screens per cinema is lower among existing cinemas than it is among cinemas still in the planning stages.
(E) The sale of snacks and drinks in cinemas accounts for a steadily growing share of most cinema operators’ profits.

-- by 会员 linlanjun1993 (2012/5/27 18:12:37)

还是考阅读...木有抓到文章的核心这题还是很容易做错...
看看文章的矛盾在哪里，尤其是要注意一些转折词！
人数不怎么增长，然后它们还要开N多个电影院！！还要荒谬的说他们有利润
开的位置本身就是一个无关选项，只要没有解决人数没有增长，但是它们还狂开电影院这个矛盾，其他的信息肯定都是无关的
另外，文章最后说了它们把电影院开在闹市，我个人认为会抢掉乡村的生意吧...（但是这个无关痛痒，反正就是一个无关选项）
一定要搞清楚文章的矛盾在哪里，到底是哪里出了问题，哪里需要解决

linlanjun1993

Justify the conclusion这类型只有一道题，俺做错了，贴上：
14. In Washington County, attendance at the movies is just large enough for the cinema operators to make modest profits. The size of the county’s population is stable and is not expected to increase much. Yet there are investors ready to double the number of movie
screens in the county within five years, and they are predicting solid profits both for themselves and for the established cinema operators.
Which of the following, if true about Washington County, most helps to provide a justification for the investors’ prediction?
(A) Over the next ten years, people in their teenage years, the prime movie going age, will be a rapidly growing proportion of the county’s population.
(B) As distinct from the existing cinemas, most of the cinemas being planned would be located in downtown areas, in hopes of stimulating an economic revitalization of those areas.
(C) Spending on video purchases, as well as spending on video rentals, has been increasing modestly each year for the past ten years.
(D) The average number of screens per cinema is lower among existing cinemas than it is among cinemas still in the planning stages.
(E) The sale of snacks and drinks in cinemas accounts for a steadily growing share of most cinema operators’ profits.

-- by 会员 linlanjun1993 (2012/5/27 18:12:37)

还是考阅读...木有抓到文章的核心这题还是很容易做错...
看看文章的矛盾在哪里，尤其是要注意一些转折词！
人数不怎么增长，然后它们还要开N多个电影院！！还要荒谬的说他们有利润
开的位置本身就是一个无关选项，只要没有解决人数没有增长，但是它们还狂开电影院这个矛盾，其他的信息肯定都是无关的
另外，文章最后说了它们把电影院开在闹市，我个人认为会抢掉乡村的生意吧...（但是这个无关痛痒，反正就是一个无关选项）
一定要搞清楚文章的矛盾在哪里，到底是哪里出了问题，哪里需要解决

-- by 会员 DUKB24 (2012/5/27 18:22:07)

DUKB真快！我确实没抓住主要矛盾额，有些无关选项居然能够让俺混乱的大脑跟着它一起推论了，还推论的很high.....
46题没问题，题目看错了额~~~~~

linlanjun1993

囧，刚才想通了两道paradox的题，都是因为题目没看清。现在贴上最后一道：
92. In the country of Veltria, the past two years’ broad economic recession has included a business downturn in the clothing trade, where sales are down by about 7 percent as compared to two years ago. Clothing wholesalers have found, however, that the proportion of credit extended to retailers that was paid off on time fell sharply in the first year of the recession but returned to its prerecession level in the second year.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the change between the first and the second year of the recession in the proportion of credit not paid off on time?
(A) The total amount of credit extended to retailers by clothing wholesalers increased between the first year of the recession and the second year.
(B) Between the first and second years of the recession, clothing retailers in Veltria saw many of their costs, rent and utilities in particular, increase.
(C) Of the considerable number of clothing retailers in Veltria who were having financial diff culties before the start of the recession, virtually all were forced to go out of business during its first year .
(D) Clothing retailers in Veltria attempted to stimulate sales in the second year of the
recession by discounting merchandise.
(E) Relatively recession-proof segments of the clothing trade, such as work clothes, did not suffer any decrease in sales during the first year of the recession.