[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day3

WinnerWSW

1.水泥木头房子
The question said that there are two houses: cement水泥 and wood. Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in terms of cooling/heating compared to wood houses. Conducted experiment and confirmed. Argument says that cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment. Ask to strengthen.解析：
有两种房子：水泥房子和木头房子。水泥房子能比木头房子节省更多的制冷和取暖成本。对此进行了实验并确认，但有观点称在现实生活中能节约的成本比实验中的还要多。加强
①现实中除了制冷和取暖这两方面之外，水泥房子还能在更多的其他方面帮助节约成本。例如，水泥房子通常要比木头房子坚固，所以，水泥房子的修缮成本通常低于木制房子。
②实验条件不能做到与现实中完全相同，而现实的环境条件更有利于凸显水泥房子的保温特点，并且夏天时水泥房子内部更加阴凉，这些都是在实验室中无法体现并测量的，所以水泥房子实际节约的取暖和制冷成本要大于实验条件下的。

2.办信用卡防贼
学生之前往往用现金买饭，学校准备推出信用卡来防贼，这种信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼。But this measure will not work, why?
解析：
①小偷知道食堂员工能辨认出信用卡是不是本人的，所以小偷在偷了别人的信用卡之后，不会拿到食堂等有人工服务的地方去使用，而是会在可以自助刷卡的地方使用。
②小偷偷别人信用卡的目的并不是用它来买饭，买饭能花的钱太少了，而且还有被人认出来的风险，所以小偷偷信用卡是为了套现或一次性购买大金额的贵重物品。

3.广告牌
Environmentalist say that 比较（不友好）的billboards and commercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism. So government should ban those billboards and signs. But two states – vemon and maine -- whose government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth. Explain why?
A: Did not consider effects from other signs
B: Did not consider factors other than the bans that may affect the tourism growth
解析：
解释题
环境学家称，不友好的广告牌和商业标志会减少旅游业的增长。所以政府应该禁止这类广告牌和标识。但是在V州和缅因州禁止了这类标识后，旅游业的增长反而下降了。
A.没有考虑到其他标识带来的影响。（政府把他们认为不友好的标志都换掉了，但是新换的标识却更令人讨厌。）
B.没有考虑到会影响旅游业增长的禁令以外的因素。（可能是因为虽然这两个州没有不友好标识了，但是这两个州的犯罪率升高了，让游客不敢前往；或者是火车机票的价格以及门票变贵了，所以游客减少。）
我认为是B选项，因为虽然两个选项都是从寻找他因的角度来解释的，但是B选项的解释更加全面，不仅仅聚焦于禁止一些不友好标识这一个点，而是考虑到换掉标识这一因素外的所有其他因素。

NWUZS

1.        水泥木头房子
The question said that there are two houses: cement水泥 and wood. Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in terms of cooling/heating compared to wood houses. Conducted experiment and confirmed. Argument says that cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment. Ask to strengthen.
P：实验证实水泥房子比木头房子更节约使用成本（在cooling和heating方面）
C：现实中会比实验中更节省
现实中的极端天气会比实验环境更糟糕；现实中还有很多实验条件下没考虑到的因素

2.        办信用卡防贼
学生之前往往用现金买饭，学校准备推出信用卡来防贼，这种信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼。But this measure will not work, why?
信用卡有学生头像，食堂员工可以辨认
因此用信用卡代替现金买饭可以防止偷窃
员工在饭点高峰工作时无暇顾及信用卡头像；学生钱被盗更多发生在寝室

3.        广告牌
Environmentalist say that 比较（不友好）的billboards and commercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism. So government should ban those billboards and signs. But two states – vemon and maine -- whose government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth. Explain why?
A: Did not consider effects from other signs
B: Did not consider factors other than the bans that may affect the tourism growth
B

daHearthCliff

Day 3
1. 水泥木头房子
The question said that there are two houses: cement水泥 and wood. Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in terms of cooling/heating compared to wood houses. Conducted experiment and confirmed. Argument says that cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment. Ask to strengthen.
P：水泥房省钱：暖气和冷气，相比于木头房。实验证实正确。反对：实际生活中省的更多。S：水泥房比木头房更少维护成本，抗风险能力高（不花钱）。
2.        办信用卡防贼
学生之前往往用现金买饭，学校准备推出信用卡来防贼，这种信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼。But this measure will not work, why?
P：信用卡买饭---有头像和签名---可以防贼。 W：打饭的人太多的时候认不到每个人/忘了带卡还是得带现金，或时长带着备用金。
3.        广告牌
Environmentalist say that 比较（不友好）的billboards and commercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism. So government should ban those billboards and signs. But two states – vemon and maine -- whose government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth. Explain why?
A: Did not consider effects from other signs
B: Did not consider factors other than the bans that may affect the tourism growth
P：不友好的广告牌减少游客。C1：政府应该禁止这些（不友好）的广告牌和广告语。单：禁止之后反而游客少了。Why？ （B）有可能这两个州有台风，或者其他不可抗因素或者原因导致游客下降。

0974kkk

P：实验证明水泥比木头省更多
C：现实生活中比实验省更多
现实生活中水泥的优势，cooling/heating水泥散热慢，减少空调啥电器开销
P：推出信用卡用学生的签名和头像让员工辨认学生
C：减少贼
不可行：1.计划不可行：信用卡没办法推出
2.计划有效性：计划没办法有效实施 即使推出了行用卡，还是会有贼，他们可以用信用卡干什么干什么换钱或者什么

E：组织旅游业发展应该ban
TS：ban之后旅游业发展更不好了
为啥ban了之后更不好了 可能不是ban这个玩意的原因而是别的

kirsiii

水泥木头房子
The question said that there are two houses: cement水泥 and wood. Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in terms of cooling/heating compared to wood houses. Conducted experiment and confirmed. Argument says that cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment. Ask to strengthen.
A：集群效应？水泥房子在一起多了就更容易cost saving
节约了其他成本

2.        办信用卡防贼
学生之前往往用现金买饭，学校准备推出信用卡来防贼，这种信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼。But this measure will not work, why?
A：食堂员工辨认能力有限

3.        广告牌
Environmentalist say that 比较（不友好）的billboards and commercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism. So government should ban those billboards and signs. But two states – vemon and maine -- whose government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth. Explain why?
A: Did not consider effects from other signs
B: Did not consider factors other than the bans that may affect the tourism growth
B 可能是其他的因素影响旅游业了

F_Hillary

1.        水泥木头房子
The question said that there are two houses: cement水泥 and wood. Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in terms of cooling/heating compared to wood houses. Conducted experiment and confirmed. Argument says that cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment. Ask to strengthen.
前提： 实验证明用水泥做的房子会比用木头做的房子更省钱
结论：在现实生活中，这种省钱效果会比实验更好
猜测答案：现实生活中需要花费比实验更多的cost

2.        办信用卡防贼
学生之前往往用现金买饭，学校准备推出信用卡来防贼，这种信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼。But this measure will not work, why?
逻辑链：1.信用卡有学生的签名和头像 2.食堂里的员工通过辨认信用卡上面的签名和头像辨识身份，3但是这种信用卡并不能减少盗窃者偷偷使用学生卡的行为
猜测答案的方向：有很多消费是通过电子设备自动购买的，不需要通过人工辨识


3.        广告牌
Environmentalist say that 比较（不友好）的billboards and commercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism. So government should ban those billboards and signs. But two states – vemon and maine -- whose government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth. Explain why?
A: Did not consider effects from other signs
B: Did not consider factors other than the bans that may affect the tourism growth
逻辑链：环境学家认为b和c标志会降低旅游业的增长速率，因此政府应该禁止b和c标志，但是有两个州的结果显示，政府禁止了b和c标志后还是经历旅游业增速降低
猜测答案：别的因素也会影响旅游业的增速，旅游业的增速是许多因素共同作用的结果；别的标志也会影响旅游业增速

CHENOlivia

1.        水泥木头房子
The question said that there are two houses: cement水泥 and wood. Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in terms of cooling/heating compared to wood houses. Conducted experiment and confirmed. Argument says that cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment. Ask to strengthen.
说现实和实验的某一个差别，使得这种效果更好。

2.        办信用卡防贼
学生之前往往用现金买饭，学校准备推出信用卡来防贼，这种信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼。But this measure will not work, why?
方案的副作用。信用卡可以在别的地方更大范围的使用，丢钱更多。

3.        广告牌
Environmentalist say that 比较（不友好）的billboards and commercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism. So government should ban those billboards and signs. But two states – vemon and maine -- whose government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth. Explain why?
A: Did not consider effects from other signs
B: Did not consider factors other than the bans that may affect the tourism growth
B

superyingying

1.        水泥木头房子
前提：实验证明Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in terms of cooling/heating compared to wood houses
结论：cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment
加强：real life和实验中有difference能导致cost savings will be more

2.        办信用卡防贼
前提：学校推出信用卡，信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼
结论：this measure will not work
信用卡方案可行性、可接受性、副作用，或者贼本身就没法被减少

3.        广告牌
前提：比较（不友好）的billboards and commercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism
结论：government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth
billboards and commercial signs 和 reduction in tourism growth之间没有因果关系；
其他原因导致reduction in tourism growth

一只Irene

Day 3

1.        水泥木头房子
The question said that there are two houses:cement水泥 and wood. Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in termsof cooling/heating compared to wood houses. Conducted experiment and confirmed.Argument says that cost savings will be more in real life compared to theexperiment. Ask to strengthen.

一般加强

猜测：

1.原理：为什么more in reallife？

—experience和real life的difference-极端天气，毕竟气温是不能准确预测的；现实中，更能让凸显cement houses的cooling and heating效果

—cement houses在其他方面还能generate cost savings

2.表现：有代表性案例表明确实是more in reallife

2.        办信用卡防贼
学生之前往往用现金买饭，学校准备推出信用卡来防贼，这种信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼。But this measure will not work, why?

explain

猜测：

1.食堂人多，员工忙碌的时候，辨认比较快，不能准确辨认。

2.和持卡者本人长得相似的人难以通过肉眼辨认

3.有很多消费是通过电子设备购买的，不需要辨认人像，小偷到没有人工服务的地方进行消费

4.信用卡推行起来有困难，使用信用卡的人数不多

5.照片和签名很容易修改

3.        广告牌
Environmentalist say that 比较（不友好）的billboards andcommercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism. So government should banthose billboards and signs. But two states – vemon and maine -- whosegovernment banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth. Explainwhy?

选项：

A: Did not consider effects from othersigns
B: Did not consider factors other than the bansthat may affect the tourism growth

explain

B：可能有其他的因素reducethe increase of tourism的程度比比较不友好的signs造成的程度更深，所以即便ban signs，但是没有解决这些因素，仍然会reduce，考虑更全面

PBkk

Day 3

1.        水泥木头房子
The question said that there are two houses: cement水泥 and wood. Cement houses are likely to generate more cost savings in terms of cooling/heating compared to wood houses. Conducted experiment and confirmed. Argument says that cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment. Ask to strengthen.
C：cost savings will be more in real life compared to the experiment.

Support：
- 原理：说明实验和real life哪里不一样；
- 因果关系：其他某处实验和真实的对比


2.        办信用卡防贼
学生之前往往用现金买饭，学校准备推出信用卡来防贼，这种信用卡会有学生的签名和头像，所以食堂里的员工可以辨认出学生来，减少贼。But this measure will not work, why?

方案：用信用卡
目的：防贼

Weaken：
- 可行性：可以辨别但无法阻止盗刷
- 副作用：导致某种信用卡导致偷窃更加容易
- 可操作性：信用卡不会被推广


3.        广告牌
Environmentalist say that 比较（不友好）的billboards and commercial signs will reduce the increase of tourism. So government should ban those billboards and signs. But two states – vemon and maine -- whose government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth. Explain why?
A: Did not consider effects from other signs
B: Did not consider factors other than the bans that may affect the tourism growth

C：two states – vemon and maine -- whose government banned the sign experienced a reduction in tourism growth.

Support：
- 原理：removal of signs 导致了某种事情，导致了tourism 下降；或者说前后没有因果关系。