hler prep08一题是否分类错误？求解答！

六月的水蜜桃

PREP08

77.   

Whichof the following most logically completes the argument below?

Twentypercent of the stores in Morganville's downtown shopping district will failwithin five years because they will be competing directly with the SaveMartdiscount department store newly opened in East Morganville.  The downtown shopping district has lostbusiness at this rate before and has always completely rebounded.  Confidence that it will rebound again fromthe losses it is now about to suffer is ill founded, however, because__________.

A.the stores likely to be put out of business by direct competition from SaveMartare the downtown shopping district's anchor stores, on whose ability to drawshoppers many of the other downtown stores depend

B.the bus line that has long connected the downtown area of Morganville with EastMorganville has a tradition of carrying shoppers who reside in East Morganville into downtown Morganville to shop

C.when the downtown shopping district has rebounded before, the business premisesof a failed business were typically taken over by a business of the same kindas had been there before

D.SaveMart's business plan for the East Morganvillestore is based on earning low profits, if any, during the first five years ofthe store's existence

E.it is conceivable that the downtown shopping district could shrink substantiallywithout collapsing altogether

我i觉得这道题明显是说过去和现在的相同点，不应该算作‘、【类比题型】吗？

就算是如答案所说属于统计枚举，样本怎么会是“未来的特点，或者未来与过去的不同”？？按照helr的笔记，样本A应该是前提中讨论的东西，在这个例子中应该会是过去的情况和特点啊？？
按照我的这个想法，A不可能是正确答案，因为他只说了这次的情况，你怎么知道以前就不是anchor stores倒闭？

求讨论！！

brfmzbjz

你把这题当做类比来看也没问题，黑老师的分类并不完全是muturally exclusive的，比如有的方法论证可以也是因果论证，有的相关因果也可以是果因。

A指出将要面对的情况是anchor store的倒闭必然导致大量其他店的倒闭，所以不可能rebound; 潜在的意思也就是说，如果这个情况发生在过去，那过去肯定也不可能出现rebound. 但是rebound 并没有发生，因此过去没有发生anchor store 倒闭这么严重的事情。这就引出了过去和现在的不同。

crazycrystal88

这个确实属于统计枚举，统计枚举包括由部分推整体，和在时间轴上由过去推未来。。这个在CD上的逻辑笔记的确没有指出。但是我上过HLER老师的课，他说这个就是统计枚举啦。
至于这种模式的样本，就是现在发生的事。所以我们要找的是现在这个事情发生的代表性 即CQ1 样本代表性的问题
A. 选项明确指出是这次这些倒闭的商店的特殊性啊。这次倒闭的是和 SaveMartare 直接竞争的商店。说明这种商店和过去倒闭的商店来说有一个特殊性，也就是CQ1了。。。