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162 3. The current pattern of human consumption of resources, in which we rely on nonrenewable resources, for example metal ore, must eventually change. Since there is only so much metal ore available, ultimately we must either do without or turn to renewable resources to take its place. Which one of the following is an assumption required by the argument? (A) There are renewable resource replacements for all of the nonrenewable resources currently being consumed. (B) We cannot indefinitely replace exhausted nonrenewable resources with other nonrenewable resources. (C) A renewable resource cannot be exhausted by human consumption. (D) Consumption of nonrenewable resources will not continue to increase in the near future.刚好反过来,对于有限资源的使用不会增加,那么就跟题目无关了! (E) Ultimately we cannot do without nonrenewable resources. 背景:The current pattern of human consumption of resources, in which we rely on nonrenewable resources, must eventually change. 条件:There is only so much metal ore available 结论:Ultimately we must either do without or turn to renewable resources to take its place. 推测:This kind of resource will not be produced during human using it? 题目的意思是否为:非再生能源的量是一定会变化的,除非我们不使用这种能源或者使用其他代替的? 选D,D是基本项。 题目的意思是:我们使用资源的方式肯定会改变的,就像我们使用金属一样。
Question #3. Assumption. October 2001 LSAT, Section 1, #18. The correct answer choice is (B) The structure of the argument is as follows: Premise: There is only so much metal ore available. Subconclusion/ Ultimately we must either do without or turn to renewable resources to take its Premise: place. Conclusion: The current pattern of human consumption of resources, in which we rely on nonrenewable resources, for example metal ore, must eventually change. At first glance the argument does not seem to have any holes. This would suggest a Defender answer is coming, and indeed that is the case. Answer choice (A): The author does not need to assume this statement because the stimulus specifically indicates that “we must either do without or turn to renewable resources.” Since doing without is an option, the author is not assuming there are renewable replacements for all nonrenewable resources currently being consumed. Answer choice (B): This is the correct answer. This answer defends the conclusion that the consumption pattern must change by indicating that it would not be possible to simply replace one nonrenewable resource with another nonrenewable resource. If this answer did not make sense at first glance, you should have noted the negative language and then negated the answer. Using the Assumption Negation Technique, the following would clearly attack the conclusion: “We can indefinitely replace exhausted nonrenewable resources with other nonrenewable resources.” If the nonrenewable resources can be indefinitely replaced, why do we need to change our consumption habits? Answer choice (C): The author’s argument concerns changing current consumption habits. Although the author does suggest turning to renewable resources, this alone would represent a change. The author does not make a long-term assumption that renewable resources can never be depleted. When faced with the negation of the answer choice, the author would likely reply: “If that eventuality does occur, then perhaps we will have to do without. In the meantime, we still need to change our consumption habits.” As you can see, the negation has not undermined the author’s position, and so this answer is incorrect. Answer choice (D): The author does not make statements or assumptions about actual consumption patterns in the near future, only statements regarding what must eventually occur. Answer choice (E): This answer, when rephrased to eliminate the double negative, reads as “Ultimately we must have nonrenewable resources.” Because this answer hurts the argument, the answer is incorrect.
163(没有boldface) 背景: 条件: 结论: 推测:
164 背景:Park rangers can track the movements of many rhinoceroses because those animals wear collars. 条件:It finds that recollared females have lower fertility than unrecollared females. 结论:Therefore, some substances in the tranquilizer inhibits fertility. 推测:除了lower fertility之外,没有任何的不同才可以得出这个结论。会不会lower fertility的female比较活泼? 选C
165 In the year following an eight-cent increase in the federal tax on a pack of cigarettes, sales of cigarettes fell ten percent. In contrast, in the year prior to the tax increase, sales had fallen one percent. The volume of cigarette sales is therefore strongly related to the after-tax price of a pack of cigarettes. Which of the following, if true, would most strengthen the argument above? A. During the second year after the tax increase, cigarette sales increased by a significant amount. B. The information available to consumers on the health risks of smoking remained largely unchanged in the period before and after the tax increase. C. Most consumers were unaware that the tax on cigarettes was going to increase. D. During the year following the cigarette tax increase, many consumers had less income, in inflation-adjusted dollars, than they had had in the previous year. E. During the year after the tax increase, there was a greater variety of cigarettes on the market than there had been during the previous year. 背景:In the year following an eight-cent increase in the federal tax on a pack of cigarettes, sales of cigarettes fell ten percent. 条件:In the year prior to the tax increase, sales had fallen 1%. 结论:The volumn of cigarettes sales is therefore strongly related to the afer-tax price of a pack of cigarettes. 推测:如果只跟afer-tax pack有关,那么其他任何因素不影响。 选A 主题的思路应该是,排除所有除了tax能让sales降低的因素。= =+A果然是反过来了!!!!看清题目!
166 背景:carts?customers shop more and more? 条件:The amount spent by these additional customers only just covered the cost of providing the carts, providing carts would still probably increase Jerrod’s profits 结论:More shoppers would shop at Jerrod’s department store if they were offered the convenience of shopping carts. 推测:appeal to all customers? 选E, directly increas the sales! |
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