【每日逻辑链练习贴】【逻辑1-13】

进击的智人阿飞

1.  31s
premise: 顾客量一定+每个顾客每年买的袜子数一定   conclusion: 为了提高销量，公司准备推广折扣
weaken: 前提不导致结论，some hamper。 打折后顾客以为质量不好了，就不买了； 袜子很便宜，顾客对价格变动不敏感
2.  24s
premise: 之前的研究表明巧克力对健康有害  + 最新研究，更可靠的研究表明巧克力对健康无害   conclusion: 巧克力销量会上升

assumption: fill the gap。 这些报道会被消费者看到并影响他们的行为； 前提不导致结果的因素不存在， 巧克力的价格没有上升

3. 19 s
premise: 化石表明史前气温的骤升和干旱使很多大型的mammals灭绝 + 小mammals没有灭绝

paradox: 小mammals的特殊技能：躲进洞里

4. 26s
premise： 如果利润超过10% ROE 才会有奖金+奖金与利润正相关    conclusion: 大背景的经济衰退时期没有bonus

assumption:公司没有盈利

5. AA
1 Min 20 s
premise: 高速公路的货车只需要付路维修费不需要付tax+火车需要付路维修费和tax+火车花更少油+铁轨不需要再修不回花更多纳税人的钱
conclusion: 火车不应该付tax


1）两者不一样： 运货数量。货车运货少，重量小，对路危害小。 货火车运货大，对铁轨磨损大； 货车是私人的，路维修费是charge的个人，火车路维修费是charge的铁道局，tax是个人交的，这样才公平
2）应不应该收tax不是follow的那一套规则： 不是因为cost才收tax，而是因为火车噪声大，对它的限制

Monica2020

1. 0:30
premise:The size of its customer pool was remaining steady, with the average customer buying twelve pairs of dress socks per year.
conclusion/plan: increase the number of promotional discount-sale periods to one every six months
own idea:ppl ussually don't buy socks every six months( ususally longer than that period

2.0:24
premise: a new, more reliable study has indicated that eating chocolate does not increase the likelihood of getting heart disease.
conclsion: the consumption will increase
assumption: ppl always buy the claim of those studies( people will change their shopping habit because of changes in the study

3.0:24
information 1:  the climate of North America warmed and dried at the end of the Pleistocene period.
information 2: Most large mammals living on the continent became extinct, but the smaller mammalian species survived.
own idea: maybe big mammals cannot withstand hot climate while small ones can.

4.0:27
premise:Bonuses cannot be awarded unless profits exceed a ten percent return on stockholders’ investments
conclusion: bonuses in a year of general economic recession will be considerably lower than bonuses in a year of peak profits at DSR.
assumption:investment stays steady from the economic recession to the year when the profits were peak( the profits during the recession will not be higher than those in a year of peak profits)