蓝书上130页341题

chongov

341. When people predict that a certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs.  On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
正确答案（D）Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
我的答案（C）Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result of using the strategy through several trials.
原题“more than one interpretation”的意思不是“殊途同归”吗？

BreezyCipher

一道恶心的LSAT和GMAT出题风格不一样。B C and E: all of them consider "knowing" as a factor to be able to predict something, to a varying degree. They basically imply that some kind of prediction is possible from enough 'knowing'.
A: judging not covered in the argument. Abit of a stretch there.
D is talking about something unpredictable, something uknown; the passage conveys a similar sense.