大家来帮忙讨论下这道prep破解题，怎么觉得答案有问题呢？

quyitree

来自CR1

25.  (30261-!-item-!-188;#058&004144)

 

Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the Darfir
                Republic's currency, the pundra, was weak:  its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies.  Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially.  Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.

 

Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?

 

(A) Several of the politicians now recommending that the pundra be allowed to become weak made that same recommendation before each of the last two periods of currency weakness.

(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.

(C) The economy of a country experiencing a rise in exports will become healthier only if the country's currency is strong or the rise in exports is significant.

(D) Those countries whose manufactured products compete with Darfir's on the world market all currently have stable currencies.

(E) A sharp improvement in the efficiency of Darfir's manufacturing plants would make Darfir's products a bargain on world markets even without any weakening of the pundra relative to other currencies.

大家觉得选什么呢，我粗略看了下觉得选E，反正怎么也不想是B丫，感觉是个风马牛不相及的答案- -

高手帮帮忙哦。

xfi883

我选B。

原文题目是，要再次刺激出口，为啥不能用削弱货币的方法？

A是支持削弱货币的说法，错误

C说，增加出口的同时，提升货币更健康。题目中没有提到是否要健康的出口。

D说，同D国可以竞争出口量的其他国家，货币都很坚挺。这不影响D国利用削弱货币的方法提高出口。

E说，即使不用削弱货币的方法，而用提高生产率的方法，也可以提高出口。这并没有否定削弱货币是一种提高出口的有效方法的结论。

B说，现在D国的生产力已经接近极限了。所以，再怎么削弱货币，也无法提升生产力，也就无法提升出口。

下次发贴时，受累调大字号，谢谢。

答案是什么？

[此贴子已经被作者于2009-7-10 0:27:04编辑过]

quyitree

不好意思丫字太小了，答案是B

但是我觉得当有另一个因素也能导致某事件发生的时候，就可以起到对原文因素的削弱作用，也就是说E起到了一定得削弱作用

而B选项增加了自己的推理：无法提高生产力，就无法提高出口

所以，还是有点不太明白呢

[此贴子已经被作者于2009-7-10 17:19:38编辑过]

xfi883

provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt... 注意，原题要求最强的削弱。E选项可能削弱结论，也可能削弱不了，因为“打压货币仍然可以是一种有效的方法”。B选项则是直接否定“打压货币”这种方法。

[此贴子已经被作者于2009-7-11 0:13:06编辑过]

xfi883

我刚看到别人最新贴出来的一个帖子，题目简直就是一模一样。他的答案可能会让你更明白为什么选B。

In 1983 Argonia’s currency, the argon, underwent a reduction in value relative to the world’s strongest currencies. This reduction resulted in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports over 1982 levels. In 1987 a similar reduction in the value of the argon led to another increase in Argonia’s exports. Faced with the need to increase exports yet again, Argonia’s finance minister has proposed another reduction in the value of the argon.

Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?

Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?

Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?

A.   The value of the argon rose sharply last year against the world’s strongest currencies.

B.   In 1988 the argon lost a small amount of its value, and Aronian exports rose slightly in 1989.

C.   The value of Argonia’s exports was lower last year than it was the year before.

D.  All of Argonia’s export products are made by factories that were operating at full capacity last year, and new factories would take years to build.
   

E.   Reductions in the value of the argon have almost always led to significant reductions in the amount of goods and services that Argonians purchase from abroad.

[此贴子已经被作者于2009-7-11 14:39:16编辑过]

aomeisoft7

我刚看到别人最新贴出来的一个帖子，题目简直就是一模一样。他的答案可能会让你更明白为什么选B。
In 1983 Argonia’s currency, the argon, underwent a reduction in value relative to the world’s strongest currencies. This reduction resulted in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports over 1982 levels. In 1987 a similar reduction in the value of the argon led to another increase in Argonia’s exports. Faced with the need to increase exports yet again, Argonia’s finance minister has proposed another reduction in the value of the argon.





Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?




Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?




Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?





A.   The value of the argon rose sharply last year against the world’s strongest currencies.





B.   In 1988 the argon lost a small amount of its value, and Aronian exports rose slightly in 1989.





C.   The value of Argonia’s exports was lower last year than it was the year before.





D.  All of Argonia’s export products are made by factories that were operating at full capacity last year, and new factories would take years to build.
 





E.   Reductions in the value of the argon have almost always led to significant reductions in the amount of goods and services that Argonians purchase from abroad.

[此贴子已经被作者于2009-7-11 14:39:16编辑过]

-- by 会员 xfi883 (2009/7/11 14:39:00)

这个例子非常的好！！赞

suk1yan

xfi883 发表于 2009-7-10 00:26
我选B。原文题目是，要再次刺激出口，为啥不能用削弱货币的方法？A是支持削弱货币的说法，错误C说，增加出 ...

生产力和出口有关系吗？不可以是生产力过剩，主要是内需消化，但是出口依然没有起色？

suk1yan

xfi883 发表于 2009-7-11 14:39
我刚看到别人最新贴出来的一个帖子，题目简直就是一模一样。他的答案可能会让你更明白为什么选B。In 1983 A ...

这个例子可以说明，因为生产部门已经快达到最大产能，就算是通过降低货币价值来促进出口需求，产能上不去，出口也还是上不去。。。

GPSGWJ

B选项就是在削弱目的可达成性
采取货币贬值理应可以提高出口 但是出口量已经要达到极限了 所以无法达成目的 进而削弱

奥兰多铁杆球迷

quyitree 发表于 2009-7-9 21:19
来自CR125.  (30261-!-item-!-188;#058&004144) Twelve years ago and again five years ago, th ...

同！我也选了E！我觉得E也是可以削弱的呀，劳动力效率提高，产品价格降低，不就能提高出口了吗