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Vorland's government is planning a nationwide ban on smoking in restaurants. The objection that the ban would reduce restaurants' revenues is ill founded. Several towns in Vorland enacted restaurant smoking restrictions five years ago. Since then, the amount the government collects in restaurant meal taxes in those towns has increased 34 percent, on average, but only 26 percent elsewhere in Vorland. The amount collected in restaurant meal taxes closely reflects restaurants' revenues.

Which of the following, if true, most undermines the defense of the government's plan?

正确答案: D

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[求助]GWD-13-5 新问,对比prep模考一道题

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楼主
发表于 2008-9-16 18:57:00 | 只看该作者

[求助]GWD-13-5 新问,对比prep模考一道题

Q32:GWD-13-Q5*:
Vorland’s government is planning a nationwide ban on smoking in restaurants.  The objection that the ban would reduce restaurants’ revenues is ill founded.  Several towns in Vorland enacted restaurant smoking restrictions five years ago.  Since then, the amount the government collects in restaurant meal taxes in those towns has increased 34 percent, on average, but only 26 percent elsewhere in Vorland.  The amount collected in restaurant meal taxes closely reflects restaurants’ revenues.

Which of the following, if true, most undermines the defense of the government’s plan?

A. When the state first imposed a restaurant meal tax, opponents predicted that restaurants’ revenues would decline as a result, a prediction that proved to be correct in the short term.
B. The tax on meals in restaurants is higher than the tax on many other goods and services.
C. Over the last five years, smoking has steadily declined throughout Vorland.
D. In many of the towns that restrict smoking in restaurants, restaurants can maintain separate dining areas where smoking is permitted.
E. Over the last five years, government revenues from sales taxes have grown no faster in the towns with restaurant smoking restrictions than in the towns that have no such restrictions.

以下引用lawyer-1的解释,
原文推理是V地在餐馆禁烟后,放映餐馆收入的肉税增加比平均的多。所以是禁烟起作用。D说V地的餐馆仍可以抽烟。当然结论就受到怀疑。

A典型的错误答案。某某人的预测和原文无关。谁高兴如何预测都没关系。只要原文是在陈述一个客观情况,凡是看到predict就排出,内容都不能看

这个方法我上XDF的时候老师也讲了,

但~今天prep模考时出现一个题,我用以上方法时立刻就把正确答案排除了,是我运用的不对还是这个方法有漏洞?

题目在附件理,请打开看看,我一看到B中的believe that 就把它排除了

[attachimg]67425[/attachimg]

[此贴子已经被作者于2008-9-16 19:00:28编辑过]

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沙发
发表于 2008-9-16 21:38:00 | 只看该作者

个人意见

GWD里面的是 opponent 那么他们对计划是没有影响的 所以他们的预测是无关的

而prep里面的 是airline executive 是决定的制造者 那么他的看法 就是相关的吧 至少需要看一下 不能直接排除

板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2008-9-16 21:44:00 | 只看该作者
这么说,就是如果观念的发出者是关键人物,他的believe什么的就有参考价值?
地板
发表于 2008-9-16 22:00:00 | 只看该作者

我觉得是 至少你要先看一下 别一上来直接排除

至于什么 专家说啊 别人说 倒是可以先忽略

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