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请教prep2-40

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楼主
发表于 2007-9-18 20:40:00 | 只看该作者

请教prep2-40

A recent report determined that although only three percent of drivers on Maryland highways equipped their vehicles with radar detectors, thirty-three percent of all vehicles ticketed for exceeding the speed limit were equipped with them.  Clearly, drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly than are drivers who do not.

 

The conclusion drawn above depends on which of the following assumptions?

 

(A) Drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors are less likely to be ticketed for exceeding the speed limit than are drivers who do not.

(B) Drivers who are ticketed for exceeding the speed limit are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly than are drivers who are not ticketed.

(C) The number of vehicles that were ticketed for exceeding the speed limit was greater than the number of vehicles that were equipped with radar detectors.

(D) Many of the vehicles that were ticketed for exceeding the speed limit were ticketed more than once in the time period covered by the report.

(E) Drivers on Maryland highways exceeded the speed limit more often than did drivers on other state highways not covered in the report.

 这道题困扰我巨长时间了, 不知思路在那里.恳请牛牛们帮我一下呀!

推荐
发表于 2007-9-18 21:45:00 | 只看该作者

A recent report determined that although only three percent of drivers on Maryland highways equipped their vehicles with radar detectors, thirty-three percent of all vehicles ticketed for exceeding the speed limit were equipped with them.  Clearly, drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly than are drivers who do not.

結論說有裝測速器的車比較容易超速

The conclusion drawn above depends on which of the following assumptions?

裝了測速器應該比較不會被開罰單,但是卻還是被開,也就是說那些被開罰單的人是真的愛超速!

 

簡單的來說
                             
觀察: 被開罰單的人(A)= 裝測速器的人(B)  而結論是裝測速器(B)=愛超速(C)  

要如何推論出(B)=(C)?  前提就是被開罰單的人(A)=愛超速(C)

 (A) Drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors are less likely to be ticketed for exceeding the speed limit than are drivers who do not.(X)

(B) Drivers who are ticketed for exceeding the speed limit are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly than are drivers who are not ticketed.(被開罰單的人比沒被開罰單的人容易超速)

(C) The number of vehicles that were ticketed for exceeding the speed limit was greater than the number of vehicles that were equipped with radar detectors.(X)

(D) Many of the vehicles that were ticketed for exceeding the speed limit were ticketed more than once in the time period covered by the report.(X)

(E) Drivers on Maryland highways exceeded the speed limit more often than did drivers on other state highways not covered in the report. (X)

推荐
发表于 2009-9-18 10:30:00 | 只看该作者

很明显2楼的思路不对。

B选项若成立,即被Ticketed的Driver比没被Ticketed的more likely to exceed 。

可得到:无论装没装radar detectors,Ticketed的Driver都更喜欢超速,换句话说,即没装radar detectors但被Ticketed的Driver也更喜欢超速。两者喜欢超速的程度是一致的。

结论:被Ticketed的number里面,装radar detectors的比例应该还接近3%啊。

这明显与题目中的信息矛盾。

请牛人解答!!


[此贴子已经被作者于2009/9/18 10:31:24编辑过]
地板
发表于 2007-9-18 22:38:00 | 只看该作者
这题我也没做对,问下测速器是个哈东西,喜欢开快车得装不装测速器一样开快车,不喜欢开快车得装了测速器也不会就变成喜欢开快车了,为什么要扯这个东西?对题目就不是很理解,
好像还有道题说什么装测速器得不容易被警察抓,也不是很明白,警察抓不抓与装测速器又有哈关系呢,大概是这意思,突然发现逻辑也变得很难了,完全不明白意思得题目很多啊。
5#
 楼主| 发表于 2007-9-19 16:33:00 | 只看该作者
多谢多谢
6#
发表于 2008-1-12 11:17:00 | 只看该作者
以下是引用allenhzkk在2007-9-18 22:38:00的发言:
这题我也没做对,问下测速器是个哈东西,喜欢开快车得装不装测速器一样开快车,不喜欢开快车得装了测速器也不会就变成喜欢开快车了,为什么要扯这个东西?对题目就不是很理解,
好像还有道题说什么装测速器得不容易被警察抓,也不是很明白,警察抓不抓与装测速器又有哈关系呢,大概是这意思,突然发现逻辑也变得很难了,完全不明白意思得题目很多啊。

呵呵,“测速器”翻译的不够准确。

中国人平常俗称“电子狗”。如果还不知道是什么东西,请百度一下。

7#
发表于 2008-3-22 19:58:00 | 只看该作者
以下是引用speed713在2007-9-18 21:45:00的发言:

A recent report determined that although only three percent of drivers on Maryland highways equipped their vehicles with radar detectors, thirty-three percent of all vehicles ticketed for exceeding the speed limit were equipped with them.  Clearly, drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly than are drivers who do not.

結論說有裝測速器的車比較容易超速

The conclusion drawn above depends on which of the following assumptions?

裝了測速器應該比較不會被開罰單,但是卻還是被開,也就是說那些被開罰單的人是真的愛超速!

簡單的來說
        
觀察: 被開罰單的人(A)= 裝測速器的人(B)  而結論是裝測速器(B)=愛超速(C)  

要如何推論出(B)=(C)?  前提就是被開罰單的人(A)=愛超速(C)

 (A) Drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors are less likely to be ticketed for exceeding the speed limit than are drivers who do not.(X)

(B) Drivers who are ticketed for exceeding the speed limit are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly than are drivers who are not ticketed.(被開罰單的人比沒被開罰單的人容易超速)

(C) The number of vehicles that were ticketed for exceeding the speed limit was greater than the number of vehicles that were equipped with radar detectors.(X)

(D) Many of the vehicles that were ticketed for exceeding the speed limit were ticketed more than once in the time period covered by the report.(X)

(E) Drivers on Maryland highways exceeded the speed limit more often than did drivers on other state highways not covered in the report. (X)

顶一个,讲的非常精彩

8#
发表于 2008-7-23 21:40:00 | 只看该作者

up

9#
发表于 2009-5-12 12:57:00 | 只看该作者
虽然是老帖……获益匪浅~
10#
发表于 2009-7-15 23:39:00 | 只看该作者
这道题在我做新东方小蓝时就困扰我了,老师讲了一遍也没怎么明白。现在总算有那么点懂了- -
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