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[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day40

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31#
发表于 2022-10-30 06:03:00 | 只看该作者
32#
发表于 2022-10-30 08:34:32 | 只看该作者
Mark一下!               
33#
发表于 2022-10-30 08:56:52 | 只看该作者
[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day40
1. 修桥
一个地方要修桥。修桥的钱要从民众募集。但是这个桥只有一部分居民经常使用,另一部分住在偏远地方的人用不上。所以向所有人募集钱是不公平的。Assumption

应该只对有 使用桥梁的人收取费用。距离桥梁越远的偏远地方,越用不上桥梁。
加强:按照proportion来收费的;
削弱:虽然偏远的没走这里,但是通过他们产生的某些东西依旧是使用这座桥的;
☆ 按照走桥频率来收费是公平的

2. 珍稀白鲸
有一种珍稀白鲸 死亡率很高 而且原因是因为collision(忘了怎么拼了就是撞击那个单词)with ships 所以就调低了在某些白鲸密集区域船只航行速度的limit 果然白鲸数量上升了 说明政策有效 问还需要知道什么条件 我选的是在没限速的区域白鲸的数量

是不是其他地方的白鲸最近也出现在白鲸密集区域
☆ 没限速的区域白鲸的数量(这里如果很多的情况下,加强结论)
☆ whale聚集到啥地方,死翘翘后尸体咋的漂浮出,然后沉船会碰到(削弱)

D
34#
发表于 2022-10-30 10:15:40 | 只看该作者
同意!               
35#
发表于 2022-10-30 10:21:58 | 只看该作者
Mark一下!               
36#
发表于 2022-10-30 10:54:10 | 只看该作者
修桥
一个地方要修桥。修桥的钱要从民众募集。但是这个桥只有一部分居民经常使用,另一部分住在偏远地方的人用不上。所以向所有人募集钱是不公平的。Assumption
募集钱与否与是否使用相关
2. 珍稀白鲸
有一种珍稀白鲸 死亡率很高 而且原因是因为colison(忘了怎么拼了就是撞击那个单词)with ships 所以就调低了在某些白鲸密集区域船只航行速度的limit 果然白鲸数量上升了 说明政策有效 问还需要知道什么条件
白鲸不密集区限航速后数量变化
3. 三文鱼和小虾米
The economy around Lake Paqua depends on fishing of the lake's landlocked salmon population. In recent years, scarcity of food for salmon there has caused a decline in both the number and the size of the adult salmon in the lake. As a result, the region's revenues from salmon fishing have declined significantly. To remedy this situation, officials plan to introduce shrimp, which can serve as a food source for adult salmon, into Lake Paqua.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the plan's chances for success?
(A) Salmon is not a popular food among residents of the Lake Paqua region.
(B) Tourists coming to fish for sport generate more income for residents of the Lake Paqua region than does commercial fishing.
(C) The shrimp to be introduced into Lake Paqua are of a variety that is too small to be harvested for human consumption.
(D) The primary food for both shrimp and juvenile salmon is plankton, which is not abundant in Lake Paqua.
(E) Fishing regulations prohibit people from keeping any salmon they have caught in Lake Paqua that are smaller than a certain minimum size.
D
37#
发表于 2022-10-30 11:01:42 | 只看该作者
Day 40
1. 修桥
一个地方要修桥。修桥的钱要从民众募集。但是这个桥只有一部分居民经常使用,另一部分住在偏远地方的人用不上。所以向所有人募集钱是不公平的。Assumption
P:另一半偏远的人不用桥
C:募集钱不公平
Gap:不用=不用捐钱=公平
假设:在偏远地方修建水库,用不上的人是不用募集捐钱的
大家认为公平的标准就是谁用谁捐钱



2. 珍稀白鲸
有一种珍稀白鲸 死亡率很高 而且原因是因为colison(忘了怎么拼了就是撞击那个单词)with ships 所以就调低了在某些白鲸密集区域船只航行速度的limit 果然白鲸数量上升了 说明政策有效 问还需要知道什么条件 我选的是在没限速的区域白鲸的数量
P:限制航行速度——白鲸数量增加
C:政策奏效
Gap:政策——白鲸数量增加
增强的方向:没有限制航行速度的区域,白鲸的死亡率仍然很高
排除他因:别的地方白鲸没有迁移过来;不是白鲸的繁殖期导致数量上升


3. 三文鱼和小虾米
The economy around Lake Paqua depends on fishing of the lake's landlocked salmon population. In recent years, scarcity of food for salmon there has caused a decline in both the number and the size of the adult salmon in the lake. As a result, the region's revenues from salmon fishing have declined significantly. To remedy this situation, officials plan to introduce shrimp, which can serve as a food source for adult salmon, into Lake Paqua.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the plan's chances for success?
(A) Salmon is not a popular food among residents of the Lake Paqua region.
(B) Tourists coming to fish for sport generate more income for residents of the Lake Paqua region than does commercial fishing.
(C) The shrimp to be introduced into Lake Paqua are of a variety that is too small to be harvested for human consumption.
(D) The primary food for both shrimp and juvenile salmon is plankton, which is not abundant in Lake Paqua.
(E) Fishing regulations prohibit people from keeping any salmon they have caught in Lake Paqua that are smaller than a certain minimum size.
P:引进虾
C:三文鱼数量变多
Gap:虾来了——三文鱼存活率高——数量变多
削弱的方向:虾吃小三文鱼
虾来了不会引起三文鱼数量的增加

38#
发表于 2022-10-30 11:12:50 | 只看该作者
Ak777 发表于 2022-10-29 10:12
1. 修桥
一个地方要修桥。修桥的钱要从民众募集。但是这个桥只有一部分居民经常使用,另一部分住在偏远地方 ...

Day40
1. 修桥
一个地方要修桥。修桥的钱要从民众募集。但是这个桥只有一部分居民经常使用,另一部分住在偏远地方的人用不上。所以向所有人募集钱是不公平的。Assumption

P:桥只有一部分居民使用
C:向所有人募集钱不公平
假设:使用这个桥就应该付费,用的人多的付费多
【答案】
☆ 按照走桥频率来收费是公平的

2. 珍稀白鲸
有一种珍稀白鲸 死亡率很高 而且原因是因为collision(忘了怎么拼了就是撞击那个单词)with ships 所以就调低了在某些白鲸密集区域船只航行速度的limit 果然白鲸数量上升了 说明政策有效 问还需要知道什么条件 我选的是在没限速的区域白鲸的数量

船航行速度下降->白鲸数量上升->政策有效
还有什么条件?没限速的地区白鲸数量少
【答案】
☆ 没限速的区域白鲸的数量(这里如果很多的情况下,加强结论)
☆ whale聚集到啥地方,死翘翘后尸体咋的漂浮出,然后沉船会碰到(削弱)

3.
食物减少->三文鱼减少->收入减少
引入虾米->三文鱼有食物->plan成功
plan成功的可能性不行-- CQ1:方案可行性 CQ2:方案可操作性 CQ3:方案的否定性副作用
三文鱼一定会吃虾米吗?有没有别的竞争?虾米投多了会不会有其他问题?虾米本身有没有问题?
选D
【考古原题】
The economy around Lake Paqua depends on fishing of the lake's landlocked salmon
population. In recent years, scarcity of food for salmon there has caused a decline in
both the number and the size of the adult salmon in the lake. As a result, the region's
revenues from salmon fishing have declined significantly. To remedy this situation,
officials plan to introduce shrimp, which can serve as a food source for adult salmon,
into Lake Paqua.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the plan's chances for
success?
(A) Salmon is not a popular food among residents of the Lake Paqua region.
(B) Tourists coming to fish for sport generate more income for residents of the Lake
Paqua region than does commercial fishing.
(C) The shrimp to be introduced into Lake Paqua are of a variety that is too small to be
harvested for human consumption.
(D) The primary food for both shrimp and juvenile salmon is plankton, which is not
abundant in Lake Paqua.
(E) Fishing regulations prohibit people from keeping any salmon they have caught in
Lake Paqua that are smaller than a certain minimum size.
【答案】D
39#
发表于 2022-10-30 11:15:20 | 只看该作者
Day40
1. 修桥
一个地方要修桥。修桥的钱要从民众募集。但是这个桥只有一部分居民经常使用,另一部分住在偏远地方的人用不上。所以向所有人募集钱是不公平的。Assumption

P:桥只有一部分居民使用
C:向所有人募集钱不公平
假设:使用这个桥就应该付费,用的人多的付费多
【答案】
☆ 按照走桥频率来收费是公平的

2. 珍稀白鲸
有一种珍稀白鲸 死亡率很高 而且原因是因为collision(忘了怎么拼了就是撞击那个单词)with ships 所以就调低了在某些白鲸密集区域船只航行速度的limit 果然白鲸数量上升了 说明政策有效 问还需要知道什么条件 我选的是在没限速的区域白鲸的数量

船航行速度下降->白鲸数量上升->政策有效
还有什么条件?没限速的地区白鲸数量少
【答案】
☆ 没限速的区域白鲸的数量(这里如果很多的情况下,加强结论)
☆ whale聚集到啥地方,死翘翘后尸体咋的漂浮出,然后沉船会碰到(削弱)

3.
食物减少->三文鱼减少->收入减少
引入虾米->三文鱼有食物->plan成功
plan成功的可能性不行-- CQ1:方案可行性 CQ2:方案可操作性 CQ3:方案的否定性副作用
三文鱼一定会吃虾米吗?有没有别的竞争?虾米投多了会不会有其他问题?虾米本身有没有问题?
选D
【考古原题】
The economy around Lake Paqua depends on fishing of the lake's landlocked salmon
population. In recent years, scarcity of food for salmon there has caused a decline in
both the number and the size of the adult salmon in the lake. As a result, the region's
revenues from salmon fishing have declined significantly. To remedy this situation,
officials plan to introduce shrimp, which can serve as a food source for adult salmon,
into Lake Paqua.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the plan's chances for
success?
(A) Salmon is not a popular food among residents of the Lake Paqua region.
(B) Tourists coming to fish for sport generate more income for residents of the Lake
Paqua region than does commercial fishing.
(C) The shrimp to be introduced into Lake Paqua are of a variety that is too small to be
harvested for human consumption.
(D) The primary food for both shrimp and juvenile salmon is plankton, which is not
abundant in Lake Paqua.
(E) Fishing regulations prohibit people from keeping any salmon they have caught in
Lake Paqua that are smaller than a certain minimum size.
【答案】D
40#
发表于 2022-10-30 11:58:13 | 只看该作者
看一下!               
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