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In the country of Veltria, the past two years' broad economic recession has included a business downturn in the clothing trade, where sales are down by about 7 percent as compared to two years ago. Clothing wholesalers have found, however, that the proportion of credit extended to retailers that was paid off on time fell sharply in the first year of the recession but returned to its prerecession level in the second year.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the change between the first and the second year of the recession in the proportion of credit not paid off on time?

正确答案: C

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[Helr题库] 这道题用Helr的方法应该如何做呢?

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发表于 2013-8-8 15:02:28 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
In the country of Veltria, the past two year's broad economic recession has included a business downturn in the closing trade, where sales are down by about 7 percent as compared to two years ago. Clothing wholesalers have found , however, that the proportion of credit extended to retailers that was paid off on time fell sharply  in the first year of the recession but returned to its prerecession level in the second year.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the change between the first and the second year of the recession in the proportion of credit not paid off on time?

A. The total amount of credit extended to retailers by clothing wholesalers increased between the first year of the recession and the second year.

B. Between the first year and the second year of the recession, clothing retailers in Veltria saw many of their costs, rent and utilities in particular, increase.

C. Of the considerable number of clothing retailers in Veltria who were having financial difficulties before the start of the recession, virtually all were forced to go out of business during its first year.

D. Clothing retailers in Veltria attempted to stimulate sales in the second year of the recession by discounting merchandise.

E. Relatively recession-proof segments of the clothing trade, such as work clothes, did not suffer any decrease in sales during the first year of the recession.



本题选C。 用Helr的方法应该如何分析?不知道是那个模型?





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沙发
发表于 2013-11-17 13:27:31 | 只看该作者
因果推理
前提:因:经济下滑,销量下降
结论:果:retailer还款比例下降。
注意原题说retailer还款比例上升,因此是要削弱推理。
答案说retailer总数下降,cq是因果联系。

不知对不对,向老大致敬,hope that helps!
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