Toxicologist: A survey of oil-refinery workers who
work with MBTE, an ingredient currently used
in some smog-reducing gasolines, found an
alarming incidence of complaints about
headaches, fatigue, and shortness of breath.
Since gasoline containing MBTE will soon be
widely used, we can expect an increased
incidence of headaches, fatigue, and shortness
of breath.
Each of the following, if true, strengthens the
toxicologist’s argument EXCEPT:
(A) Most oil-refinery workers who do not work with
MBTE do not have serious health problems
involving headaches, fatigue, and shortness
of breath.
(B) Headaches, fatigue, and shortness of breath are
among the symptoms of several medical
conditions that are potentially serious threats
to public health.
(C) Since the time when gasoline containing
MBTE was first introduced in a few
metropolitan areas, those areas reported an
increase in the number of complaints about
headaches, fatigue, and shortness of breath.
(D) Regions in which only gasoline containing
MBTE is used have a much greater incidence
of headaches, fatigue, and shortness of breath
than do similar regions in which only MBTEfree
gasoline is used.
(E) The oil-refinery workers surveyed were
carefully selected to be representative of the
broader population in their medical histories
prior to exposure to MBTE, as well as in
other relevant respects.
Step one: 分析argument的结构:
Premise: an ingredient currently used
in some smog-reducing gasolines, found an
alarming incidence
Conclusion: Since gasoline containing MBTE will soon be
widely used, we can expect an increased
incidence of headaches, fatigue, and shortness
of breath.
我们看到premise只是一个简单的事情,并没有causal relationship但是conclusion 有causal relationship(明显的提示词:since),即:
gasoline containing MBTE will soon be widely used (cause) ---à an increased incidence of headaches, fatigue, and shortness of breath is expected (effect)
(所以你看看咯,一般结论都是有因有果的reasoning)
Step two:看题干:
Each of the following, if true, strengthens the toxicologist’s argument EXCEPT:
题干说明了:有4个选项是
加强的,有一个没有加强:
Step three,分析answers:
A. 就是无因无果的加强
B. 这些疾病的严重性和题目没有什么关系,所以没有加强
C. 这个是有因有果的加强
D. 也是有因有果的加强
E. 说的是样本有代表性,所以也加强。
由此可见,conclusion是可以由一个causal reasoning组成的,而且也不是没有原因只有结果。这也是大多数加强/削弱题型的代表argument。然后呢,方法也不是只有排除他因一种办法,还有以上那么多的方法。
嗯嗯,不晓得说清楚了没有。