【Native Speaker每日综合训练—41系列】【41-06】经管

小蘑菇开始打怪

内容：小蘑菇开始打怪 编辑：小蘑菇开始打怪

Stay tuned to our latest post! Follow us here ---> http://weibo.com/u/3476904471

Part I: Speaker

Candidates Court An Elusive Vote: Men

Source: NPR
http://www.npr.org/2014/09/03/345580229/to-lure-male-voters-to-the-booth-candidates-set-sights-on-sports

[Rephrase 1, 04:20]

小蘑菇开始打怪

Part II: Speed

What Immigration Crisis?
By Josh Voorhees

[Time 2]
Earlier this summer, as unaccompanied Central American children poured into the United States at a rate of more than 350 per day, President Obama and Republicans agreed: This was a crisis that Washington needed to address immediately. And then nothing happened. Surprising almost no one, the least-productive Congress in history went home for the summer without striking any kind of deal. Obama was left without the extra $3.7 billion he said he needed to deal with the situation at the border, and the existing immigration law that both the president and his conservative critics blamed for the calamity remained untouched.

Two months later, the number of minors being arrested at the border has dropped significantly. But what was a problem then remains a problem now. The big difference is that the summer’s “humanitarian crisis,” once the subject of innumerable press conferences and op-eds, now goes mostly unmentioned in Washington. To be sure, one major reason for the relative silence is that our attention has been pulled to Ferguson, Missouri, and the Middle East. But given the rhetoric and handwringing on display in June, late August’s relative silence is staggering.

Obama did touch on the topic briefly during a press conference this Thursday, in the context of how the crisis will affect his plan to reshape the nation’s immigration system through executive action. As the president noted, the flood of migrant children has slowed substantially in recent weeks. According to the most recent data from the Department of Homeland Security, the border patrol apprehended 5,508 unaccompanied children in July—nearly half the total of the previous month and the fewest since February. Still, these are huge numbers. The amount of unaccompanied minors from Central America arrested at the border last month was more than the number of Central American minors taken into custody in a typicalyear as recently as a half-decade ago.
[311 words]

[Time 3]
While Obama suggested the downward trend has continued this month, it’s too soon to say whether it will continue. One reason why is that it remains unclear exactly what’s behind the decrease. The administration, relatively quietly, took partial credit for the drop earlier this month, but two of the actions they touted—a crackdown on the criminal smuggling rings operating in Central America and “productive discussions” with the presidents of Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador—happened toward the end of July, casting doubt on how much credit they deserve.

Complicating matters further is that, in a larger sense, it’s not even clear whether the decrease in children coming to the border is a good thing. There’s nothing to suggest that the root problems that drove many of the children from their homes in Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala have been solved. All three nations have been ravaged by gang violence and remain among the most dangerous countries in the world. Boys who remain often have to decide between how they want to die: either at the hands of a gang they refuse to join, or at the hands of one of its rivals or the police if they do. Girls are often spared that choice, but too often nothing else. As one child who fled to the United States explained to the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees: “In El Salvador they take young girls, rape them, and throw them in plastic bags.”

Obama has touted a strategy of “aggressive deterrence,” one centered around the idea that if Central American parents know for certain that their children will be sent home almost as soon as they arrive, they’ll decide against sending them in the first place. Many immigration and child-rights advocates, though, believe Central American kids can make a legitimate legal claim to asylum if they reach U.S. soil. It’s difficult to feel good about cutting down migration, then, by telling the kids and their parents that they likely won’t receive asylum when it’s possible that’s just not true.
[338 words]

[Time 4]
If you place the crisis within the narrowest possible frame—as Washington largely has—and limit it to what’s happening in the United States, things are still far from rosy. The recent trend aside, tens of thousands of the children are already in the system and are likely to remain stuck in immigration limbo for the foreseeable future. According to The Hill, the average immigration proceeding takes upward of 500 days. The White House is moving the Central American children to the front of the line, but it’s unclear how quickly they’ll cut through the existing backlog. According to the Office of Refugee Resettlement, 37,477 of the child migrants have been released to a relative, family friend, or other adult sponsor already living in the United States. Several thousand more are currently living in one of a number of longer-term shelters spread across the country.

Even if most of these kids are no longer stuck in overcrowded shelters near the border, the government still has a massive problem on its hands. Under federal law, those children are eligible to attend public school while they remain in the United States, regardless of their immigration status. Communities that receive only a handful of children will likely be able to absorb the extra costs. But others—states like California, Florida, and Texas with large Central American communities—won’t have it so easy. The Miami-Dade County School District has already asked the federal government for more funds. Others are likely to do the same as school districts around the country find out how many children will be added to their rosters.
[267 words]

[Time 5]
As Washington awaits the executive actions that Obama promised earlier this summer, the president remains in an awkward position. On one hand, he’s promising compassion for the 11 million undocumented immigrants already in the country. On the other, he’s continuing to tout his tough-love approach for the tens of thousands of children who have arrived at the border. Obama’s “aggressive deterrence” approach was centered on the notion that lawmakers could rewrite legislation to allow federal border patrol agents to quickly deport a migrant child if it isn’t immediately obvious that she will likely be granted asylum. In the absence of congressional action, his administration has taken whatever smaller steps it can to send that message, such as diverting resources to speed up the lengthy removal process and increasing the frequency of flights returning migrants home.

That awkwardness was on full display in June during a meeting with a dozen or so immigration groups that had been clamoring for Obama to take executive action. After the president delivered the message that the advocates had long waited to hear, that those actions were in the offing, the celebratory mood was quickly dampened when the issue of the migrant children came up. “Sometimes, there is an inherent injustice in where you are born, and no president can solve that, Obama said,” according to The Atlantic’s well-sourced tick-tock of that meeting.

While Washington appears eager to put this summer’s crisis in its rearview mirror, voters might not let that happen. The migrant children have proved to be a hot-topic at town hall meetings across the country, where conservative voters have criticized lawmakers for not doing enough to send them back home. Things for Obama, meanwhile, haven’t gone much smoother. On Thursday, the same day that the president largely brushed aside what remains of the crisis at the border, more than 140 immigration activists were arrested outside the White House in a choreographed stunt. The aim of that stunt: to pressure the president to go big with his executive actions and to stop the deportation of the Central American children.
[345 words]

Source: Slate
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2014/08/child_migrant_crisis_the_number_of_unaccompanied_minors_being_arrest_has.html

How the economy could change after the midterm elections
By Bernice Napach

[Time 6]
Less than nine weeks to go before the midterm elections. Republicans are expected to hold onto their majority in the House and possibly gain control of the Senate as well. Turnout will be key and, like many previous midterm votes, could be low especially with a mere 14% approval rating for Congress and 42% rating for President Obama.

The economy will continue to be an issue as it always is every election, but it may not be the most important one because the economy has been improving. Unemployment is down and growth is up but the rebound is not universal.

"You're not seeing wage growth...You're not seeing the average American do better than they were doing before," says Sudeep Reddy, economics editor at The Wall Street Journal. "The gains have gone disproportionately to the wealthiest Americans, to corporations...That's how the dividing lines are going to come down in the midterm elections."

The big divider, says Reddy, is the role the government should play in shaping the economy, including policies like the minimum wage. "That's a rallying point for Democrats," says Reddy. "Anyone who works should earn at least a wage that allows them to get by."

In contrast, he says, "Republicans are leaning toward the business view: If you raise the base wage for American workers there will be fewer jobs available." Reddy adds, "It's pretty clear that businesses have been reluctant to hire," and Republicans will argue that growth and therefore hiring will be stronger if they  capture the Senate and control both houses of Congress.

If Republicans do capture the Senate, however, they may try to overturn the Affordable Care Act or at least force some significant changes in the law, according to The National Journal. That could impact the economy as well as the pocketbooks of many Americans.
[301 words]

Source: Yahoo Finance
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-the-economy-could-change-after-the-midterm-election-154801861.html

小蘑菇开始打怪

Part III: Obstacle

When Did the Election Season Begin?
By John Dickerson

[Time 7]
Labor Day was once the unofficial start to the fall campaign season, but now it's more like Angelina Jolie's marriage to Brad Pitt—a milestone in an engagement that has been going on so long it’s hard to think of a time when it wasn’t.

Labor Day was never a marker of the first moment of campaign activity, but a rough approximation of the time when the pace quickened. So when was that moment in this campaign? The answer depends on how you see this race unfolding, in a year where Republicans have tremendous national advantages and Democrats are trying to keep the races local. Here are a few possibilities of where to drop the needle:

The day after Election Day 2012: Republicans had a chance to retake control of the Senate in 2010 and 2012. After the second missed opportunity, strategists, wealthy backers, and other members of the GOP establishment focused on recruiting candidates who could unite the GOP coalition but who most of all were good politicians unlikely to make career-ending gaffes.

April 2013—Democrats launch Bannock Street Project: Both parties are boasting about their unprecedented efforts to turn out voters. That’s another reason campaigns start earlier. As technologies and science of voter identification and mobilization have improved, the parties and their allies have started hunting down voters earlier and earlier. In 2001 the Republican National Committee boasted of a “72-hour task force” before Election Day. Now, the RNC boasts of its Victory 365 Program, a permanent grassroots field operation that will run all year long.

But Democrats face a higher turnout hurdle than Republicans. Voters that made up a key portion of Obama’s winning coalition—single women, minorities, and young voters—don’t usually participate as much in nonpresidential elections. That’s why last spring, Guy Cecil, the executive director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee met with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Sen. Michael Bennet to outline the Bannock Street Project, a $60 million, 10-state effort to reverse that historical trend. Named after the Denver field headquarters of Bennet’s successful 2010 campaign, it will be crucial in keeping the Senate in Democratic hands.

Oct. 1—Launch day of healthcare.gov: Perhaps the biggest reason campaigns start earlier than ever before is that super PACs, which raise mountains of money, can put ads on television early and keep them there. Campaigns, by contrast, must husband their resources, which are harder for candidates to raise. In advance of the launch of the open-enrollment period for federal health care exchanges, Americans for Prosperity launched ads targeting the Affordable Care Act. Then, when the website collapsed and some customers were not allowed to keep their insurance, as the president had promised, AFP started running television ads attacking Democrats for their support of Obamacare. “It was the earliest, most comprehensive ad campaign that we’ve ever seen,” says Elizabeth Wilner, senior vice president of Kantar Media Ad Intelligence. “The ads didn’t just dribble out. It was a well-organized, unprecedentedly funded ad campaign.”

The ads and the extended collapse of the website put Democrats so on the defensive that Senate Majority PAC, the lead outside group defending them, had to launch its ad campaign early to beat back the assault. The airwaves have remained stuffed ever since.

President Obama’s health care plan is not the white-hot issue it was late last year, but one lasting benefit Republicans have already banked from that time is the recruitment of good candidates in states that might not otherwise have been competitive. Strategists say that it was easier to persuade GOP Senate candidates Cory Gardner to run in Colorado and Scott Brown in New Hampshire because the ad campaign had so battered Democrats in those states. Those GOP recruits also knew from the money being spent on those ads that if they got in the race they'd have a big bank account behind them.

Dec. 1—The day healthcare.gov recovered: If Democrats are able to survive in this tough election cycle, it will be because they kept the election focused on their opponents and local issues instead of national ones. Though they have been tested on a range of national issues from the systemic problems at the Department of Veterans Affairs to foreign policy challenges, there was no greater national distraction for Democrats than the protracted collapse of the president’s health care website. When the website started humming and the health care law moved from being such a contentious issue, the air cleared, and Democrats were allowed to focus on their own campaigns and local messages.

June 24—Sen. Thad Cochran beats Chris McDaniel in Mississippi’s GOP primary runoff: “We thought McDaniel would be this year’s Akin,” says one top GOP strategist, referring to Todd Akin, the former Missouri Senate candidate. Akin’s remarks about “legitimate rape” during the 2012 cycle not only sunk his chances, but tarnished the GOP brand in other races. Despite this year’s efforts to shut out exotic candidates, the campaign season started with seven Republican incumbents facing Tea Party challengers. All of those candidates were beaten back. In open seats, Republicans nominated candidates who were best positioned to win in a general election. In many cases, the victors simply learned to appeal to Tea Party voters. In some cases, though, Republicans dodged a bullet. If Steve King had decided to run in Iowa, he would have been far more polarizing in that purple state than the current Republican nominee Joni Ernst, who is now neck-and-neck with her Democratic opponent. The worry with McDaniel was not that he would put Mississippi in play, but that his past comments about women and black Americans would have created problems for the party as a whole and energized those two key Democratic groups.

Labor Day has not lost its role completely in the modern campaign cycle. There are some structural reasons the race will change in the days to come. By law, television stations must offer the lowest available rate for advertisements to candidates in the last 60 days of a campaign, which means we'll start to see different kinds of ads on television. Debate season is also coming, which could mix up things. Partisans may have been locked up earlier than ever before because of absentee and early voting, which in some places starts well before Election Day, but last-minute undecided voters are also still out there. In close races, even a small number of them will matter. One strategist suggests that because the campaign has started earlier, last-minute voters are more turned off to the noise than ever, meaning they may not pay attention until October. (Columbus Day is the new Labor Day!) And, of course, there could always be a surprising last-minute national event that could throw the entire race into turmoil.

We won't know until after the election which one of these moments will emerge as the turning point that either changed control of the Senate or not. But once analysts and pundits fix on a reason, new campaign strategies will be launched for the next campaign, since strategies for the next campaign, like the Bannock Street Project, are born from the successes of the previous ones. Given the pace of things, those 2016 strategies will probably be launched not long after Election Day.
[1209 words]

Source: Slate
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2014/08/the_permanent_campaign_when_did_the_2014_election_season_begin.html

小蘑菇开始打怪

沙发自己坐~
-------------

speaker:

what enforce men to vote

the difference in gender does not differ the result

men-economic problems

young men-sports activity

women candidate-leadership

time7:

democrats->senate

democrats:higher turnout

ad long before the election->save money

new health care plan

start earlier->last voter less attention

醒醒Shine

speaker election about Obama
time2 2'30''
time3 2.04
time4 1,47
time5 2.24
time6 2.17
obstacle 8,40

太阳雪203

Speaker

Man and woman are different in votingthe candidate.

Time 2-1'46[311 words]

Immigration is a big problem andObama tried to relieve the pressure.

Time 3-2'00[338 words]

Whether the decline trend ofimmigration and whether the decline is a good thing are doubt.

Time 4-1'30[267 words]

Although the immigration has beensettled down in different places, another problem has raised.

The cost is a big problem for severalstates.

Time 5-2'16[345 words]

Obama is in a dilemma.

Time 6-2'14[301 words]
The gains have gone to the wealthiest Americans
Raising the base wage is better or not.
The Republicans may overturn the Act and force some significant changes.

cyndichiang

Time2  2'05''
Time3  1'52''
Time4  2'04''
Time5  2'13''
Immigration cirsis:
Immigration cirsis is a increasingly serious problem ,but it still untouched by president or political institutions.
Obama said that the immigration rate decreased bacause the action that the children will be sent back when they arrived America.
Obama was too late to deal with the cirsis and he came up with a stratege called" aggressive deterrence"
But the preoblem is still urgent since many borders' shelters are overcrowed and the funds are insufficient
Without congressional and legal actions, Obama cannot take bigger progress in solving this crisis.

Time6 1'33''
Economy is the central issue in every election,and in this election,Obama won 42% voters
The economy during Obama's time didn't improved
Increase in basic salary and decrease in umemployment are mutually exclusive

Obstacle: 6'12''
Labor Day is approximately the beginning of the eletion season
Obama's supporters won't vote in unofficial election,such as Labor Day
Preparation and competition between Democrat and Republican

slave918

T2
President obama thinks that it is urgent to deal with the imigration at the broder and immigration laws.
The unmber of minors droped but now mass meadia care the topic less than past.
Obama did a press conference to toch this topic.

T3
But the situation can't be guranteed to continue since there are some previous examples.
The root problems that drove these children are the violence and fear remained in their countries.
The president are concerned about a plan that the immigration won't be sent to the asylum.

cherry6891

41-06
soeaker:men tend to vote in smaller number than women and they favor republic candidate
then tell ask the strategy of two party to persuade voters

Time2 increasing uncompanied children poured into US. Obama asked the Washington to deal with that
Time3 the children are from three nations which are ravaged by bang violence
Obama put forward that they can go to US soil by applying for asylum
Time4 the immigrant children were sent to relatives in US and eligible to public school
Time5 president's decision to deal with the undocumented immigrants in US and the children at boarder
Time6 how the midterm election influence the economy?
Situation: improving economy and decreasing unemployment but fortune does to rich disproportionately
Republic:minimum wage ,overturn affordable care act

Obstacle
Main point of each speech and the main attitude of public and senate
We do not know the result but once analysis fix on the problem, new campaign strategy will be lance next time

cynthia.bai

Time2 311words 3min32
In this summer, many children across the border poured into the US. Obama said this is a crisis and they need to address it. But in fact, he did not take any actions because of other issues. This Thursday, Obama said the immigrant data have dropped in recent weeks.

Time3 338words 3min18
There are problems behind the decrease numbers:1. Whether the data will drop continuously 2. Whether the decrease in immigrant children is a good thing(∵these children suffer the security problem in their own country)

Time4 267words 2min51
The immigrant trend will continue. The immigrant children lived with relatives, friends in the US, a proportion lived in shelters. Another big problem: according to law, these children should share the right in the us, therefore, many states need more fund support from the federal government.

Time5 345words 3min36
Obama goes into a dilemma: on one hand, he shows compassion towards immigrants; on the other, he presses lawmakers to rewrite laws to deport immigrants. While the govern want to soothe this issue by “aggressive deterrence”, many voters and activists show dissatisfaction with the white house( they think the govern should stop deportion).

Time6 301words 3min02
Midterm elections: supporters for Obama are bigger than for congress. The us economy is improving but the wage. Obama: raise the base wage; the gains of the wealthier should be divided; republican: the opposite, the base wage will decline the employment rate.