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沙发

楼主 |
发表于 2014-4-15 22:46:08
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Part II:Speed
【Time 2】
Article 2
IPCC calls for swift switch to alternative power
At least tripling of green energy use necessary to stifle climate crisis, report says
The best scenario for slowing global warming by 2100 requires the world to triple or quadruple by 2050 its use of renewable energy and sources of energy that emit only low amounts of greenhouse gases.
The recommendation comes from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its third and final report of its fifth assessment. The report, which was authored by hundreds of scientists, focuses on ways to mitigate climate change. The panel released a summary of the report April 13 in Berlin, and will release the full report later this week.
The rapid swap in energy production methods would keep the planet on track to stay under a 2-degree-Celsius rise relative to preindustrial temperatures for the remainder of the century. Without the measures, greenhouse gas emissions may boost the planet’s temperature by up to 7.8 degrees Celsius. Such a rise could result in catastrophic effects on society such as flooding that displaces communities, damage to food sources via ocean acidification and the spread of organisms that carry infectious diseases.
The IPCC summary notes that global greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise. Any delays in rolling out methods to curb emissions, the summary report says, will make it more difficult to dampen the ongoing effects of climate change.
“What comes out very clearly from this report is the fact that the ‘high-speed mitigation train’ would need to leave the station soon and all of global society would have to get on board,” Rajendra K. Pachauri, chair of the IPCC and a climate and energy researcher at Yale University, said during an April 13 press conference.
Because power production emits around three-quarters of the world’s greenhouse gases, the report recommended an increase in “zero- and low-carbon energy supply.” This includes renewable energy, such as wind and solar power, plus nuclear power. The phrase also refers to fossil fuel–burning power plants that use carbon capture and storage technologies. These methods involve gathering carbon dioxide from a power plant’s exhaust gas and injecting it in deep underground geological formations where it stays trapped.
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【Time 3】
“There’s no one technology that’s going to do the whole thing or even half” when it comes to climate mitigation, says chemical engineer Howard Herzog of MIT, who is an expert on carbon capture and storage. He suggests that a diverse approach would be best.
But Herzog worries that despite the latest warning, the IPCC reports will have little impact on policy. “You’ve got this real dichotomy: The IPCC report is saying there’s going to be dire consequences, and the response is business as usual,” he says.
Despite similar warnings from the IPCC’s earlier assessments, issued in 1990 through 2007, policy action by and large did little to abate emissions. But the IPCC scientists remain optimistic. The report outlines challenges, Ottmar Edenhofer, cochair of the IPCC third report and professor of the economics of climate change at the Technical University Berlin, said in the press conference. “But,” he said, “it provides hope, modest hope.”
The first report in the fifth assessment by the IPCC, released in September 2013, reviewed climate data and found that human activities undeniably drive climate change. In March, the panel released a second report, assessing the impacts of climate change, concluding that effects will be felt worldwide. Later this year, the panel plans to release a synthesis of the three reports.
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Source:
https://www.sciencenews.org/article/ipcc-calls-swift-switch-alternative-power
【Time 4】
Article 3
Ancient Mars probably too cold for liquid water
Planet’s atmosphere was too thin to keep its surface consistently warm, analysis suggests.
Mars’ atmosphere was probably never thick enough to keep temperatures on the planet’s surface above freezing for the long term, suggests research published today in Nature Geoscience. Although the planet’s topography indicates that liquid water has flooded Mars in the distant past, evidence increasingly suggests that those episodes reflect occasional warm spells, not a consistently hospitable phase of the planet’s history.
Signs of flowing water on Mars include layered sediments presumed to have been laid down in ancient lakes, as well as rugged canyons and lowlands apparently sculpted by massive floods. These have prompted researchers to suggest that the red planet, now frigid and dry, was warm and wet throughout its early history. But that would have required an atmosphere much thicker than today’s, a prospect that now seems unlikely, says Edwin Kite, a planetary scientist at Princeton University in New Jersey.
Kite and his colleagues say that the evidence against the idea that ancient Mars held a thick atmosphere for more than a few millennia at a time lies in the sizes of the planet’s craters. If Mars had once possessed a denser atmosphere, they contend, small objects would have broken up as they passed through it — as they do in Earth’s atmosphere, for example — rather than surviving largely intact to blast craters.
Using images from the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, the researchers catalogued more than 300 craters pockmarking an 84,000-square-kilometre area near the planet’s equator. Ten per cent of the definite craters in that terrain — which has not changed much geologically for about 3.6 billion years — had diameters of 50 metres or less, and roughly 10% of features presumed to be the remnants of ancient craters were 21 metres across or smaller.
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【Time 5】
Then, the team used computer simulations of incoming objects pummeling Mars, trying the scenario with a range of atmospheric densities. Because the size of a crater would differ depending on the angle at which an object hits the surface, simply looking at the diameters of Mars’ tiniest pockmarks would not give a true idea of the ancient atmosphere’s density. Other factors such as the velocity of the incoming projectile, affect crater size as well, says Kite. “It’s not the size of the smallest craters, but the size distribution of the entire population that’s important,” he notes.
According to the team’s analysis, the surface pressure exerted by the ancient Martian atmosphere was probably no more than 150 times its current value. That means that the thickness of the atmosphere was less than one-third what some teams say would be needed to consistently keep Mars’ surface above freezing, says Sanjoy Som, an astrobiologist with the Blue Marble Space Institute of Science at Moffett Field, California.
“This is an excellent paper,” says James Head, a planetary scientist at Brown University in Providence, Rhode Island. “It bolsters previous studies that suggest early Mars was icy.”
“It’s clear that Mars was wet, but it’s not so clear how it was warm,” Som adds.
The most probable answer, Kite and his colleagues suggest, is that Mars was intermittently warm. Regular variations in the tilt of its axis could have warmed the planet and provided a protective atmosphere at times, they contend. But the atmosphere could also have been temporarily thickened by greenhouse gases from volcanic activity, or by gases released by large impacts from incoming objects. The heat generated by a sizable blast vaporizes any volatile substances in the planet’s rocks or in the projectile itself.
Either of the last two scenarios could have thickened the atmosphere for decades or centuries, says Head. “That’s plenty enough to get fluid flowing [on Mars],” he notes. According to one previous study, a 200-kilometre-wide object slamming into Mars would boost air pressure enough to keep the planet above freezing for around a century.
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Source:
http://www.nature.com/news/ancient-mars-probably-too-cold-for-liquid-water-1.15042
【Time 6】
Article 4
Ancient boy died surprisingly young
Australopithecus sediba child was 7.5 years old, not 9, study concludes
CALGARY, Alberta— A nearly 2-million-year-old Australopithecus sediba skeleton from South Africa belonged to a boy who was just 7.5 years old when he plunged to his death in an underground cave, Harvard University’s Adeline Le Cabec reported on April 11 at the American Association of Physical Anthropologists annual meeting. Researchers previously assumed that the boy was no younger than 9 years old, based on the extent of his tooth eruption and bone development.
Le Cabec’s team used an imaging method called X-ray synchrotron microtomography to peer through the boy’s skull and tooth enamel. The technique enabled the researchers to measure microscopic enamel layers and to calculate the rate at which different teeth formed. The ancient boy’s teeth developed considerably faster than those of modern humans, Le Cabec’s team found, and a bit faster than those of related hominids, such as Australopithecus africanus. Examination of distinctive enamel layers inside molar teeth — some layers had formed daily, others had materialized every nine days — enabled the researchers to conclude that the A. sediba child was 7.5 years old.
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Source:
https://www.sciencenews.org/article/ancient-boy-died-surprisingly-young
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