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板凳

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发表于 2014-2-6 22:09:00
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Part III: Obstacle
Article 5
Learn from the Past, Look to the Future
By Deng Nan
[Paraphrase 7]
Building socialism in a country with a large population and a weak economic foundation has entailed successful experiments as well as detours. Since 1978, reform and opening-up has seen China undergo rapid, sustainable and sound economic development.
China's Achievements Have Captured World Attention
Reform and opening-up have both given powerful internal and external impetus to China's economic development. The policy has unfettered China's productive forces, creating a high economic aggregate and growth rate, increases in per capita GDP (gross domestic product), as well as making a contribution to world economic growth.
China Becomes the "Engine" of World Economic Development
Following the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China convened in late 1978, China introduced the household contract responsibility system in rural areas, mobilizing the productive enthusiasm of vast numbers of farmers. In about five years, agricultural productive forces increased substantially and long-standing shortages of key agricultural products like grain, meat and cotton were relieved, thus basically solving the problem of food and clothing that had baffled the populous country for decades. Later, with the establishment of the market economy, implementation of industrial reforms and entry into the WTO (World Trade Organization), China attained unprecedented economic development and achieved a miracle.
From 1978 to 2007, China's GDP maintained an annual growth rate of 9.8 percent, triple the world average during this period, far exceeding countries like the U.S., Japan, Singapore and the R.O.K. during their economic takeoff stages. Currently China's GDP represents approximately six percent of global GDP, placing it fourth in the world. In 1978, China accounted for merely 0.6 percent of global trade, but this figure had increased to 7.7 percent by 2007, translating into an average annual growth rate of 18.7 percent, double the world average during this period. Since 2006, China's contribution to world trade growth has outpaced that of the U.S. and Germany, placing it first in the world. China has become the main engine driving world economic growth.
Qualitative Leaps in People's Living Standards
In 1978, China's urban per capita disposable income was RMB 343, and the rural per capita net income was RMB 134. About 250 million people in rural areas were below the absolute poverty line. Increasing people's income and eradicating poverty were the top priorities of China's social development.
In 2007, China's urban per capita disposable income was RMB 13,786, and the rural per capita net income was RMB 4,140. Across three decades, the respective increases have been 39-fold and 30-fold, and the absolutely poverty-stricken rural population has decreased to less than 15 million. The low-income rural population now numbers some 28 million. According to the World Bank's definition of poverty (per person consumption of US $1 a day), the proportion of China's population living in poverty has dropped to 10 percent. Depending on her own efforts, China has successfully solved the problem of providing food and clothing for 1.3 billion people, and achieved a comfortable life for many.
Capability for Sustainable Development Steadily Enhanced
By the 1990s, China became fully aware that the relative shortage of natural resources was going to make the contemporary style of economic growth hard to sustain. Consequently finding a sustainable path of development became a must.
In the late 1980s, the Chinese government put forward ten major measures to enhance the environment and development. In 1991, the Beijing Declaration was issued at a ministerial level conference among developing countries. One year later, the Chinese government actively participated in a United Nations Conference on Environment and Development, and signed the Rio Declaration on Environment and Development and Agenda 21. Approved by the State Council in 1994, China's Agenda 21 has become the programmatic document guiding the medium and long-term strategy for China's economic and social development.
In March 1996, the Fourth Session of the Eighth National People's Congress defined sustainable development as one of the two strategies of China's economic and social development. The Scientific Outlook on Development was advanced during the Third Plenary Session of the Sixteenth Central Committee of the Communist Party of China. As the guiding policies have been established at national level, the practice of sustainable development has been positively explored at local levels. So far, more than 60 national-level and 90 provincial-level experimental areas and 13 national-level demonstration areas for sustainable development have been established to guide the popularization of sustainability and the exploration of different approaches.
China's Development Has Made Great Contributions to the World's Sustainable Development
Opening-up has made China's development closely connected with global development, which is propitious to the global circulation and optimization of resources, improving the utilization efficiency of global resources.
Since the 1990s China has been a major importer in the global primary products market, especially of oil and iron ore. On the one hand this has allowed resource exporters to make vast amounts of money and has stimulated global economic growth. On the other hand, the raw materials have guaranteed the rapid growth of China's manufacturing both in depth and scope. As large quantities of "made in China" products go out to the world, these resources return to the international market. China's rise has injected new vitality into the world economy.
According to the Report on Ecological Footprint in China recently published by the World Wildlife Fund and the China Council for International Cooperation on Environment and Development, since 1960 China has nearly doubled its consumption of natural resources. However, the current per capita area required to sustain Chinese lifestyles is 1.6 hectares, far below the world average of 2.2 hectares, or the 10.9 hectares used by each American.
Moreover, China's environmental protection policies have made a positive contribution to the conservation of the global environment. Since the 1970s China has always been active on the stage of global environmental protection. During the second national environmental protection conference in 1983, the central government established environmental protection as a basic national policy, when China still hadn't solved the problem of food and clothing. After the 1992 United Nations Conference on Environment and Development, China reaffirmed sustainable development as a national strategy. By 2006, China had enacted nine laws on environmental protection, 15 laws on natural resources, and 50 administrative regulations. The GDP proportion of environmental protection input has increased to 1.3 percent, up from 0.5 percent in the initial stage of reform and opening-up. For instance, RMB 430 billion has been invested just in reclaiming farming land for reforestation. This shows China attaches great importance to the environment issue.
[1080 words]
[The Rest]
Looking into the Future: Many Challenges Lie Ahead
The 30 years of rapid economic development that China has experienced are equal to 100 years or more of development in Western developed countries. One can well imagine the accumulated problems and confronting challenges. Generally speaking, the challenges fall into three categories.
First, although China's resources and environment have made great contributions to sustaining three decades of rapid economic growth, China will be increasingly confronted with the arduous pressure of energy conservation and reducing resources consumption.
Under conditions of a large population but weak economic strength and technical competence at the beginning of reform and opening-up, when meeting people's basic living needs was the country's most pressing problem, China employed its natural resources to cultivate a modern industrial system and accelerate all-round economic and social development.
It is estimated that during the past 30 years, the mining of mineral resources has directly generated some 10 to 30 percent of China's GDP, as well as contributing substantially to the remaining 70 to 90 percent. Meanwhile, the utilization efficiency of resources has improved, and China has sustained its economic boom with a much lower resources consumption growth than GDP growth. During the period in question, China's GDP increased 11-fold, while water resources consumption grew by only 30 percent, energy consumption increased 3.4-fold and ecological acreage utilization increased two-fold. In 1978 China's energy consumption per RMB 10,000 of GDP was 15.68 tons of standard coal. This figure was 5.06 tons in 2006. In 1980 industrial wastewater emissions per RMB 10,000 of GDP were 1,187.3 tons. This dropped to 70.6 tons in 2006.
Compared with developed countries, however, China still needs to improve further. In the rating of resources performance levels of 59 major countries, China ranks sixth from the bottom. China's energy consumption per RMB 10,000 of GDP is three to 11 times that of developed countries. In terms of strategic resources, China is confronted with severe shortages, particularly of oil and iron ore. China's external oil dependence reached 47 percent in 2006 and iron ore exceeded 50 percent, presenting profound challenges for China's economic security. Accordingly, China must establish a resource-conserving and environmentally-friendly society to relieve the stress brought by resource deficiencies and restricted environmental carrying capacity. Technological advancement and independent innovation should be fully tapped to enhance resources utilization efficiency and change the current development mode.
Along with the further expansion of the economy, environmental fallout has become increasingly severe. The pollution problem has spread from developed regions to backward areas, from urban to rural areas, and the overall environmental trend has been "improvements in some areas, but a worsening overall situation." According to the 2007 Report on the State of the Environment in China publicized by the Ministry of Environment Protection in June 2008, the water quality of 50.1 percent of the 407 sections of 197 rivers tested was at IV-V level (suitable for industrial and agricultural use only). In the seven major water systems, the Yellow River and Huaihe River suffer medium levels of pollution, while the Liaohe River and Haihe River are highly polluted. Although the emissions of principal pollutants have taken a downturn, the environmental situation is still serious.
Generally speaking, there are various and complicated reasons for China's resources and environmental problems. The main reasons include: a large population requiring the consumption of massive amounts of resources just to ensure survival; a relatively weak technical capability and management ability; and relatively low utilization efficiency of resources and the environment. China is experiencing industrialization, and the experiences of other countries show that industrialization inevitably demands the consumption of resources and pollutes the environment. Over the past 20 years, global manufacturing has largely been transferred to China, and to a certain extent China has become the world's factory. The toll on its resources and environment is the cost China has paid not only for the Chinese people's survival and development, but for the development of the world economy as well. This combination of factors means China is confronted with enormous pressure and challenges when it comes to resources and the environment, and must achieve a sustainable mode of economic and social development.
Second, China is undergoing a transitional period of social and economic development, marked by unbalanced development and inequality between urban and rural areas, as well as between different regions.
Since the reform and opening-up, owing to restructuring and regional economic disparity, resources have flowed into the cities from rural areas, and into east China from central and west China. While the flow has accelerated China's industrialization, urbanization and overall economic growth, it has also broadened the social and economic gap between urban and rural areas and among different regions.
In 1978, the proportion of GDP aggregate in eastern, central and western China was 52.4 percent, 30.7 percent and 16.9 percent respectively. In 2006 the figures were 61.8 percent, 25.3 percent and 12.9 percent. The per capita GDP ratio between the three regions was 1.75:1.17:1 in 1978, and 2.48:1.28:1 in 2006.
The price scissors effect between agricultural produce and industrial goods means that the wealth farmers created flowed into industrial and urban development, restricting the development of agriculture and rural areas.
The widening gap between the rich and poor has also aroused social concerns. While the number of rich Chinese people listed in Forbes grows every year, China still has more than 20 million impoverished people. The issue of social security for low-income people has become increasingly pressing, while the problems of housing, and access to medical treatment and schooling have become the hot discussion topics at the annual National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference. Problems like soaring house prices, the high cost of medical and educational expenses, and imbalances in education resources restrict China's move towards sustainable development.
These problems, however, are concomitant with the current developmental stage. The unfairness caused by development can only be solved through further development. The equity we pursue is based on constantly improving people's living standards, sustainable economic and social development, and increasingly harmonious interpersonal relationships. The CPC Central Committee and State Council are keenly aware of the development imbalance between regions, urban and rural areas, and individuals. The idea of balancing urban and rural development, regional development and economic and social development advanced by the 17th CPC National Congress aims to solve the problems of development imbalance and unfairness. The Third Plenary Session of the 17th CPC Central Committee again emphasized "constructing socialistic new rural areas, and forming an integral pattern of urban and rural economic and social development." The ultimate goal is to close the gap between urban and rural development. The solution of these problems also requires time and further economic development.
Third, the frequent occurrence of natural disasters and industrial accidents has created a serious challenge as regards risk management.
China's peculiar geomorphological structure and complicated geologic environment means the country suffers frequent natural calamities. The floods in 1998, and the severe snowstorms in southern China and the Wenchuan Earthquake in 2008, all created economic losses in the order of hundreds of billions of RMB, not to mention great loss of life.
China is at an industrial development stage that relies largely on heavy industry and mining. Therefore, mining accidents and pollution are excessive, and production safety accidents occur more frequently than in other developmental stages. Meanwhile, China's enterprises are at an initial level of development, and their sense of social responsibility needs enhancement. Accidents resulting from the excessive pursuit of profit are frequent. The recent scandal involving Sanlu infant formula milk powder is a heartbreaking example of placing profit over people's health.
Seize Opportunities and Face Challenges
2008 marks the 30th anniversary of China's reform and opening-up policy, as well as a crucial time for fulfilling the concept of the 17th CPC National Congress. Having deeply researched the achievements and problems in the field of sustainable development over the past 30 years, the Chinese Society for Sustainable Development (CSSD) will keep on studying the challenges of the new era, and provide the government with timely counseling to map out further strategies and policies. The CSSD is going to contribute more proposals on China's social and economic development in the future.
[1367 Words]
Source: China.Org.cn
http://china.org.cn/china/reform-opening-up/2009-01/14/content_17106111.htm |
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