【OG13 CR 92】

ldn005402

这道题的中文是：

背景：在V国，过去两年经济萧条，其中服装行业的销售额跟两年前相比下降了7%。

    **现象：服装批发商发现，零售商贷款按时还清的比例，在萧条的第一年下降，第二年恢复到萧条前水平。

**问题：解释。解释第一年和第二年未按时还款比例的变化原因。

**选项：A：两年之间，批发商贷给零售商的总贷款增加

        B：两年之间，零售商发现自己的租金和用品成本增加

        C：萧条前就有财务困难的零售商，在萧条的第一年全部破产

       D：萧条的第二年，零售商打折促销              

        E：对萧条有抵抗力的服装贸易，比如工作服装，在萧条的第一年销售未减少

为什么选C？？

ldn005402

还有 93题
评论员说：贸易报复理论表明，如果一国的外国市场被关闭，那么它也会关闭那个国家在本国的市场，以此来向那个国家施压，使其重新开放市场。如果每个国家都向该理论所说的这样做，那么就没有贸易存在了。
问题：假设。
选项：A：没有国家真正像此理论这么做
        B：没有国家应该关闭其对外国的市场
        C：贸易纠纷应该让国际法庭来协调
        D：对任意两个国家来说，至少有一个关闭其对另一个的市场
        E：国家关闭对外国的市场是为了保护本国企业

ldn005402

ldn005402 发表于 2013-11-11 14:00
还有 93题
评论员说：贸易报复理论表明，如果一国的外国市场被关闭，那么它也会关闭那个国家在本国的市场， ...

为什么选择 D？？？

wwxavier

92题，题目问的就是过去两年经济都不好，为什么零售商第一年还贷不行第二年就好了。其实解决这个问题的重点就是第一年第二年产生的还款率的变化而且这个变化一定和零售商的什么有关系。A选项关于credit，B选项成本增加和E选项工作装个例问题，都和还贷率变化没有关系，所以三个属于无关选项。 就剩下C和D看起来有点联系的。C选项说第一年有财务问题的零售商都死掉了——多多少少有点直接联系能解释这个变化。D选项说是打折促销，和还贷率变化没有直接联系，所以选C

ldn005402

wwxavier 发表于 2013-11-12 07:15
92题，题目问的就是过去两年经济都不好，为什么零售商第一年还贷不行第二年就好了。其实解决这个问题的重点 ...

其实意思是不是  第一年还款率下降是因为 全破产 第二年回复 因为没有可破产的了？

soulwangh

ldn005402 发表于 2013-11-12 09:30
其实意思是不是  第一年还款率下降是因为 全破产 第二年回复 因为没有可破产的了？ ...

Yes，you can interpret  the choice this way.

Also, you can see this question as a %(proportion) VS#(number) type one.
The paradox here is that under the bad economic circumstance，the % is increasing, a phenomenal seems a good sign going against the adverse condition.

The key is the total # is decreasing. Bad go out, good reside.

NO 93

Premise: a specific case about TWO countries.
Conclusion: a general condition about every country.
What is the Gap? or what is the assumption?
There is an analogy in this question. The assumption is the different sets in the analogy are same in terms of conditions relating the conclusion.

A is an opposite choice, challenging the premise.
B is also an apposite choice，challenging the premise.
C is irrelevant.
D from two countries to every country, what should be hold unchanged?
Or you can negate the choice and you will find if, among all the countries, only two countries remain their friendly relationship, they will continue to trade with each other. Thus the conclusion is destroyed.
E is irrelevant.

BTW: When you ask a question, you'd better give out your own thought. Not just why C is right, why D is wrong. I have two reasons.

First, you can inspect your own thought when you write it out explicitly rather than keep it in your mind which is usually muddy and messy.

Second,CR is very personal thing at the detail level when it goes beyond the macro theoretical one. It is about your personal thought and your personal way to crack the question. For example, Irrelevance is obvious for some person but very obscure for others. Other people cannot know what is the exact problem of you, unless you write your mind out.

Hopefully can help.