argument 11 求批

puluoning

The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.

Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.

正文：
The author states that the council of Maple County, which is becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure limiting the supply of new housing to prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. However, the council concerned that the measure may have side effects leading to significant increase in the housing prices in the county. To this complicated situation, proponents and opponents of the measure provide their own evidences to support their position.

The proponents of the measure cite the fact that Chestnut County implemented a similar measure ten years ago and its housing prices have increased only modestly since then. While the opponents of the measure quote the fact that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago and its housing prices have since more than doubled. Both evidences are a long time ago. It is unreasonable to predict the outgrowth of the measure in Maple County based on them without any further information.

For example, if the Chestnut County has been keeping a steady population since ten years ago, then the housing prices could be relatively steady. On the other hand, if the Pine County has a high birth rate or increasing immigrants since then and the population has been keeping increasing, then the housing can't meet the demand of the residents, consequently, the housing prices increases significantly. Therefore, the council of Maple County should collect information of the population structure of the county and judge its changing trends.

Additionally, the economic development can also sway the housing prices. If the level of living cost and incoming of the residents in Pine has increased much since fifteen years ago, then it is rational the housing prices increases correspondingly. In this view, the council of Maple needs to judge the economic development trends. Inflation or recession can influence the housing prices drastically.

Moreover, simply comparing the Maple with Chestnut or Pine without examining the similarities between them is imprudent. If the circumstances (such as population structure or economy or other relative policies) in each county vary considerably, then the comparison is meaningless. Nevertheless, the council can get some clues by studying and analyzing the reasons of the housing prices increasing in those two counties.

To predict if the housing prices can be increased significantly due to the measure, the council needs to collect more information.

刚开始练习作文，这篇写的很晕，写了很久，觉得很难下笔，诚心求批！

普渡哥

结构可以改改，看看满分作文。

普渡哥

重新组织一下，感觉有点乱。