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Surveys in Domorica indicate that only 10 percent of Domoricans in their twenties read a newspaper regularly, while more than half of all Domoricans over thirty read a newspaper regularly. Although Domoricans in their twenties constitute a large proportion of the population, newspaper publishers nonetheless predict that ten years from now, the percentage of Domoricans who regularly read a newspaper will probably be no lower than it is today.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest grounds for the newspaper publishers' prediction?

正确答案: C

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发表于 2012-8-1 18:20:59 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
Surveys in Domorica indicate that only 10 percent of Domoricans in their twenties read a newspaper regularly, while more than half of all Domoricans over thirty read a newspaper regularly. Although Domoricans in their twenties constitute a large proportion of the population, newspaper publishers nonetheless predict that ten years from now, the percentage of Domoricans who regularly read a newspaper will probably be no lower than it is today.
Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest grounds for the newspaper publishers’ prediction?
A. The number of Domoricans in their twenties is less than the number of Domoricans over thirty.
B. The number of newspapers in Domorica has been gradually increasing over the past several decades.
C. The proportion of Domoricans in their twenties who regularly read a newspaper has always been low.
D. The surveys defined a regular reader of a newspaper as someone who reads a newspaper more than twice a week.
E. The proportion of Domoricans who regularly read a newspaper was higher 20 years ago than it is today.

Key: C

不理解,哪位高人解释一下
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沙发
发表于 2012-8-1 18:50:06 | 只看该作者
答案是选C
首先看A,肯定不对,如果二十岁的人数比三十岁的人数多的话,十年以后三十岁的人肯定要比现在少(因为他们就是现在的二十岁的人),而正如题中所说三十岁读书的人超过一半,而二十岁只有百分之十,那么这个得到结论正好与题中publishers得出的是相反的。
B,更不沾边,报纸的数量与人们读不读它是没有必然关系的。
C,很好的支持了publishers的推论,试想,这个百分之十的比例in their twenties一直保持这么低的话,那么这些人到了三十岁读报纸的人数必然会大于现在。举个例子,比如二十岁的人有100人 ,而读报纸的比例百分之十,即只有这是个人在他们二十岁到三十岁读报纸,而十年之后这些人都三十岁了,这个比例超过了百分之五十,即50人,这是必然会导致读报纸人数的增加的。
D,不知道在说什么,完全没有关系啊。
E,与二十年前的比较也无法得到什么。
板凳
发表于 2012-11-22 15:33:10 | 只看该作者
但是题目问的是比例不是人数啊?
地板
发表于 2012-11-23 19:19:48 | 只看该作者
我是这么理解的,文中说20多岁的人占了很大的比例,也就说,现在20多岁的人十年后会有超过一半的人读报纸,但是,我们不能知道整体人数的增加,所以读报纸的比例是否会上升我们不知道。而C项很好的说明了这一点,C项说20多岁的人中读报纸的比例一直很低,也就说十年后的20多岁人中仍然有很大部分的人不爱读报纸,这样整体人数增加,但是相应的读报纸的人的比例可能会下降。 不知道我有没有说明白
Kaká 该用户已被删除
5#
发表于 2012-12-14 15:18:24 | 只看该作者
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
6#
发表于 2013-3-11 16:04:28 | 只看该作者
说白了就是always be low怎么也比lower and lower强。。哈哈
7#
发表于 2013-3-14 23:34:59 | 只看该作者
太喜欢分析,考试时有用吗?
问题支持predication->percentage->low than today
只看主语发现
A、B number,干掉。不是指percentage
D   瞎扯干掉
C、E说proportion和percentage意思差不多,留下
E说higher than today,与结论相反了,不是支持,干掉
C 说always low 还成

30秒搞定!
8#
发表于 2013-4-29 15:22:28 | 只看该作者
支持slgbond
9#
发表于 2013-7-19 17:47:00 | 只看该作者
我理解就是大家在20岁左右时都不爱看报纸,到了30岁以后普遍都会爱看报纸了!
那么现在这帮20岁左右的人过了10年到30岁时候一下子爱看报纸了,他们人数占的又多,那么总的哎看报纸的人就多啦
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