Prep 12题里面那道投票的谁能解释一下？

pansimply

The graph shows the effect of voters' previously stated preference regarding the issue of working-time reduction on the probability of those voters' actual choice being the same as that stated preference.
不是很懂这一题的图表，隐约感觉是政党成员在投标前声明的偏好和实际投票的偏好的一致性的比率做比较。但是我不懂某一政党，比如Delta上的5个点是什么意思？感觉这个图是从against到for支持的比率。那么against后面第二个点表示什么意思？比前面弱一级的轻微反对？

主要是搞不懂previously stated preference和actual choice在图表上是怎么表现出来的。

希望高手可以解答一下！

huangkang3039

在其他网站上看到的答案，应该能看懂。
就是说投票的时候他们可能说一套，做一套。说不同的偏好对于最后实际投票与之前所说偏好的一致性有影响。比如Zeta，如果这个政党的人说他们反对的话，那么他们有70%的可能性最后实际上会投反对； 但如果他们事先说同意的话，那么他们最后只有不到50%的可能性投同意。
所以第一题问的是统一性，那么就是看整条曲线，Delta基本上是属于统一性最高的，从60-80%的可能性；
而第二题只用看一个点，就是在反对的那个x轴纵向的看，如果他们事先说反对的话，那么Zeta是最可能投反对票的一个政党。 Hope it helps.
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The first question asks which party's members are most likely to vote according to their stated preference (i.e. if they said they were for it, they vote for it, and if they said they were against it, they vote against it.) The y-axis shows the probability of a vote matching the stated preference. For people who are against the issue, Zeta is the party that is most likely to vote according to that position (at about 70%). However, we see a sharp decrease as we move towards people who are for the issue (where there is under a 50% chance for Zeta voters against the issue to vote against the issue). The Delta party is much more consistent, ranging from 60% (for voters who are against the issue) to just over 80% (for voters who are for the issue).

The second question is only concerned with the "against" column, and as we saw in the first question, Zeta voters are most likely to vote according to their "against" preference.

红巴蓝萨

在其他网站上看到的答案，应该能看懂。
就是说投票的时候他们可能说一套，做一套。说不同的偏好对于最后实际投票与之前所说偏好的一致性有影响。比如Zeta，如果这个政党的人说他们反对的话，那么他们有70%的可能性最后实际上会投反对； 但如果他们事先说同意的话，那么他们最后只有不到50%的可能性投同意。
所以第一题问的是统一性，那么就是看整条曲线，Delta基本上是属于统一性最高的，从60-80%的可能性；
而第二题只用看一个点，就是在反对的那个x轴纵向的看，如果他们事先说反对的话，那么Zeta是最可能投反对票的一个政党。 Hope it helps.
___

The first question asks which party's members are most likely to vote according to their stated preference (i.e. if they said they were for it, they vote for it, and if they said they were against it, they vote against it.) The y-axis shows the probability of a vote matching the stated preference. For people who are against the issue, Zeta is the party that is most likely to vote according to that position (at about 70%). However, we see a sharp decrease as we move towards people who are for the issue (where there is under a 50% chance for Zeta voters against the issue to vote against the issue). The Delta party is much more consistent, ranging from 60% (for voters who are against the issue) to just over 80% (for voters who are for the issue).

The second question is only concerned with the "against" column, and as we saw in the first question, Zeta voters are most likely to vote according to their "against" preference.

-- by 会员 huangkang3039 (2012/7/15 20:04:48)

pansimply

是的，这道题看懂就没问题了，但是原文的描述真的很绕。图中还有against和for的程度倾向，那就更容易让人晕了。

TheGreatTony

题目看了半天没看懂，如果一眼看懂的话，题目1min就能搞定。
个人感觉这句话最难理解，严重影响做题效率。
The graph shows the effect of voters' previously stated preference regarding the issue of working-time reduction on the probability of those voters' actual choice being the same as that stated preference.
参考翻译：图表显示选民先前所说的关于减少工作时间问题的偏好对选民实际选择与所述偏好的概率一致的影响。（中文都很绕）

皖子lin

看一下，感谢前辈们，我也被绕死了来查的帖子...