【zombie在路上】final battle ！

晨依Jacqueline

The program to control the entry of illegal drugs into the country was a failure in 1987. If the program had been successful, the wholesale price of most illegal drugs would not have dropped substantially in 1987.

13. The argument in the passage depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The supply of illegal drugs dropped substantially in 1987.
(B) The price paid for most illegal drugs by the average consumer did not drop substantially in 1987.
(C) Domestic production of illegal drugs increased at a higher rate than did the entry of such drugs into the country.
(D) The wholesale price of a few illegal drugs increased substantially in 1987.
(E) A drop in demand for most illegal drugs in 1987 was not the sole cause of the drop in their wholesale price.
我有点犯晕。。。。谁帮我看看为什么选那个E啊，越看越眼花

-- by 会员 zombiee (2012/7/25 23:39:29)

我买了一本书，类似于中文的CR，我给僵尸先生把它的分析简单说说吧。
正确选项是【E】。
解题关键：违法药物批发价格下降。
题中通过1987年某国境内大多数违法药物批发价没有大幅下降的现象，得出结论说该国控制违法药物的措施实施的不成功。
题目论断说“如果成功控制了违法药物入境，那么批发价就不会出现大幅下降”，这个是暗含了一个市场上的供求关系的意思。
E选项假设需求量下降不是造成药物批发价下降的唯一原因，即市场空间减小不是造成批发价下降的唯一原因，在这个假设下，题目中分析的“供过于求”导致降价才成立。因此，E支持了短文中的结论。
A项说违法药物的供给大幅下降，是支持了该国的控制措施，和“失败”是矛盾的，不选。
B项说平均每人对非法药物的支付价格没有大幅下降，和题目关系不大，（解析上说这个观点会反对题中的结论，但是我没转过弯来，我觉得反正是不相关。）
C项说国内药物增加不一定会影响国外违法药物入境，也不对。
D项只能说明少数非法药物的价格上升，但是不足以和整个药物批发价的下降联系，也不正确。

我看的也云里雾里的其实，，，，

yakev6

The program to control the entry of illegal drugs into the country was a failure in 1987. If the program had been successful, the wholesale price of most illegal drugs would not have dropped substantially in 1987.

13. The argument in the passage depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The supply of illegal drugs dropped substantially in 1987.
(B) The price paid for most illegal drugs by the average consumer did not drop substantially in 1987.
(C) Domestic production of illegal drugs increased at a higher rate than did the entry of such drugs into the country.
(D) The wholesale price of a few illegal drugs increased substantially in 1987.
(E) A drop in demand for most illegal drugs in 1987 was not the sole cause of the drop in their wholesale price.
我有点犯晕。。。。谁帮我看看为什么选那个E啊，越看越眼花

-- by 会员 zombiee (2012/7/25 23:39:29)

僵尸同学那找的这么恶心的题。。。
厉害~
这道题我没paraphase出来。。。
但是用negation test可以做出来，
P1: program was fail
C：条件结论， program success-->price would not drop.
                    必要条件-->充分条件
看了下选项，E有点意思，取反得a drop in demand is the only cause of the drop in price.
如果是这样，demand是价格的唯一决定因素，和供给无关。那么就是粥多僧少的局面，市面上有多少illegal的药和价格是否drop没关系，因此削弱结论。
从逻辑角度上说program success 就不是price would not drop的必要条件了。
我是这么理解的，一起讨论下。

yakev6

同意晨晨的

The program to control the entry of illegal drugs into the country was a failure in 1987. If the program had been successful, the wholesale price of most illegal drugs would not have dropped substantially in 1987.

13. The argument in the passage depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The supply of illegal drugs dropped substantially in 1987.
(B) The price paid for most illegal drugs by the average consumer did not drop substantially in 1987.
(C) Domestic production of illegal drugs increased at a higher rate than did the entry of such drugs into the country.
(D) The wholesale price of a few illegal drugs increased substantially in 1987.
(E) A drop in demand for most illegal drugs in 1987 was not the sole cause of the drop in their wholesale price.
我有点犯晕。。。。谁帮我看看为什么选那个E啊，越看越眼花

-- by 会员 zombiee (2012/7/25 23:39:29)

我买了一本书，类似于中文的CR，我给僵尸先生把它的分析简单说说吧。
正确选项是【E】。
解题关键：违法药物批发价格下降。
题中通过1987年某国境内大多数违法药物批发价没有大幅下降的现象，得出结论说该国控制违法药物的措施实施的不成功。
题目论断说“如果成功控制了违法药物入境，那么批发价就不会出现大幅下降”，这个是暗含了一个市场上的供求关系的意思。
E选项假设需求量下降不是造成药物批发价下降的唯一原因，即市场空间减小不是造成批发价下降的唯一原因，在这个假设下，题目中分析的“供过于求”导致降价才成立。因此，E支持了短文中的结论。
A项说违法药物的供给大幅下降，是支持了该国的控制措施，和“失败”是矛盾的，不选。
B项说平均每人对非法药物的支付价格没有大幅下降，和题目关系不大，（解析上说这个观点会反对题中的结论，但是我没转过弯来，我觉得反正是不相关。）
C项说国内药物增加不一定会影响国外违法药物入境，也不对。
D项只能说明少数非法药物的价格上升，但是不足以和整个药物批发价的下降联系，也不正确。

我看的也云里雾里的其实，，，，

-- by 会员 晨依Jacqueline (2012/7/26 0:24:23)

DUKB24

The program to control the entry of illegal drugs into the country was a failure in 1987. If the program had been successful, the wholesale price of most illegal drugs would not have dropped substantially in 1987.

13. The argument in the passage depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The supply of illegal drugs dropped substantially in 1987.
(B) The price paid for most illegal drugs by the average consumer did not drop substantially in 1987.
(C) Domestic production of illegal drugs increased at a higher rate than did the entry of such drugs into the country.
(D) The wholesale price of a few illegal drugs increased substantially in 1987.
(E) A drop in demand for most illegal drugs in 1987 was not the sole cause of the drop in their wholesale price.
我有点犯晕。。。。谁帮我看看为什么选那个E啊，越看越眼花

-- by 会员 zombiee (2012/7/25 23:39:29)

umm说说我的看法,这题的确绕...分析下argument的结构，第一句就是一个把backdrop statement，把重心放在第二句，找出boundary words；the wholesale price是原文所讨论的topic；条件型结论很重要的一点就是A-----B（这里就是说entry成功，也就会illegal drugs的进入增多就是一个indicator that wholesale price会下降，我 prephrase的时候想的就死他因削弱，（取非就是假设！）

PS：这种条件型推理都有一个unstated premises：if A，then B（unstated premises：A is a precise indicator of B！）

如果快速的解题呢？像做语法一样把每个选项的核心意思提取出来！！
A.supply，文章木有提及，也没有建立和 wholesale price之间的联系（注意是要focus on the conclusion）
B.C同理可排除
D.一个factual statement，a few和题干的most是可以并存的，但是完全不符合题目的要求

这题搞懂boundary words还是很快能做出来的，尽管可能没那么有把握

Suri在奋斗

讨论的好认真哇，加油加油~！！

zombiee

大家的思路都很有角度，真是一人一个想法。
综合一下就是：先通过boundary words(小Ｄ语)，可以迅速排除前４项，但是Ｅ的绕就在于他排除唯一性，指出有他因。然后用negation test（alan语）验证一下就可以了。E选项假设需求量下降不是造成药物批发价下降的唯一原因，即市场空间减小不是造成批发价下降的唯一原因，在这个假设下，题目中分析的“供过于求”导致降价才成立。因此，E支持了短文中的结论。（晨依语）

babybearmm

The program to control the entry of illegal drugs into the country was a failure in 1987. If the program had been successful, the wholesale price of most illegal drugs would not have dropped substantially in 1987.

13. The argument in the passage depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The supply of illegal drugs dropped substantially in 1987.
(B) The price paid for most illegal drugs by the average consumer did not drop substantially in 1987.
(C) Domestic production of illegal drugs increased at a higher rate than did the entry of such drugs into the country.
(D) The wholesale price of a few illegal drugs increased substantially in 1987.
(E) A drop in demand for most illegal drugs in 1987 was not the sole cause of the drop in their wholesale price.
我有点犯晕。。。。谁帮我看看为什么选那个E啊，越看越眼花

-- by 会员 zombiee (2012/7/25 23:39:29)

(A)


逻辑基础：conditional reasoning: if...then...


"If A happens, then B happens. " = "If B does NOT happen, then A does NOT happen"
做笔记就是：
A---->B  
No B -----> No A
以上两者等价


这题：
progr = fail
∵ If progr success ----->  $ NOT ↓ (1987)


第一句话是conclusion
这是premise: If progr success ----->  $ NOT ↓ (1987)
将这个premise做“等价”变换： if NOT $ NOT ↓ (1987) -----> progr NOT success （即progr = fail)
而结论直接就说"progr = fail"，assumption肯定要是if语句的条件成立。


看到(A), perfect. 后面不用看了。

babybearmm

The program to control the entry of illegal drugs into the country was a failure in 1987. If the program had been successful, the wholesale price of most illegal drugs would not have dropped substantially in 1987.

13. The argument in the passage depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The supply of illegal drugs dropped substantially in 1987.
(B) The price paid for most illegal drugs by the average consumer did not drop substantially in 1987.
(C) Domestic production of illegal drugs increased at a higher rate than did the entry of such drugs into the country.
(D) The wholesale price of a few illegal drugs increased substantially in 1987.
(E) A drop in demand for most illegal drugs in 1987 was not the sole cause of the drop in their wholesale price.
我有点犯晕。。。。谁帮我看看为什么选那个E啊，越看越眼花

-- by 会员 zombiee (2012/7/25 23:39:29)

(A)


逻辑基础：conditional reasoning: if...then...


"If A happens, then B happens. " = "If B does NOT happen, then A does NOT happen"
做笔记就是：
A---->B  
No B -----> No A
以上两者等价


这题：
progr = fail
∵ If progr success ----->  $ NOT ↓ (1987)


第一句话是conclusion
这是premise: If progr success ----->  $ NOT ↓ (1987)
将这个premise做“等价”变换： if NOT $ NOT ↓ (1987) -----> progr NOT success （即progr = fail)
而结论直接就说"progr = fail"，assumption肯定要是if语句的条件成立。


看到(A), perfect. 后面不用看了。

-- by 会员 babybearmm (2012/7/26 14:29:25)

汗死~~~我表示我看错了，(A)说的是supply，我看成了price.....
那就是E了，rule out the alternative cause.

zombiee

The program to control the entry of illegal drugs into the country was a failure in 1987. If the program had been successful, the wholesale price of most illegal drugs would not have dropped substantially in 1987.

13. The argument in the passage depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) The supply of illegal drugs dropped substantially in 1987.
(B) The price paid for most illegal drugs by the average consumer did not drop substantially in 1987.
(C) Domestic production of illegal drugs increased at a higher rate than did the entry of such drugs into the country.
(D) The wholesale price of a few illegal drugs increased substantially in 1987.
(E) A drop in demand for most illegal drugs in 1987 was not the sole cause of the drop in their wholesale price.
我有点犯晕。。。。谁帮我看看为什么选那个E啊，越看越眼花

-- by 会员 zombiee (2012/7/25 23:39:29)

(A)


逻辑基础：conditional reasoning: if...then...


"If A happens, then B happens. " = "If B does NOT happen, then A does NOT happen"
做笔记就是：
A---->B  
No B -----> No A
以上两者等价


这题：
progr = fail
∵ If progr success ----->  $ NOT ↓ (1987)


第一句话是conclusion
这是premise: If progr success ----->  $ NOT ↓ (1987)
将这个premise做“等价”变换： if NOT $ NOT ↓ (1987) -----> progr NOT success （即progr = fail)
而结论直接就说"progr = fail"，assumption肯定要是if语句的条件成立。


看到(A), perfect. 后面不用看了。

-- by 会员 babybearmm (2012/7/26 14:29:25)

汗死~~~我表示我看错了，(A)说的是supply，我看成了price.....
那就是E了，rule out the alternative cause.

-- by 会员 babybearmm (2012/7/26 14:37:03)

诗互来了啊，嗯，这个方法我在bible上看过，不过一直没怎么用，研究一下。这个逻辑分析很清晰。

zombiee

7.26
CR 40 错15，
RC 4P 错的惨绝人寰