GWD-7-37
Escalating worldwide demand for corn has led to a sharp increase in the market price of corn, and corn prices are likely to remain high. Corn is extensive used as feed for livestock, and because profit margins are tight in the livestock business, many farmers are expected to leave the business. With fewer suppliers, meat prices will surely rise. Nonetheless, observers expect an immediate short-term decrease in meat prices.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to justify the observers’ expectation?
- The increase in corn prices is due more to a decline in the supply of corn than to a growth in demand for it.
- Generally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.
- Some people who ate meat regularly in the past are converting to diets that include little or no meat.
- As meat prices rise, the number of livestock producers is likely to rise again.
- Livestock producers who stay in the business will start using feed other than corn more extensively than they did in the past
其实这题也可以看作是解释题,供应商少了,本来预期肉价会上涨, 却有观察家认为在短期内会下跌,原因?所以该支持题的答案是对 "供应商少了-->肉价在短期内会下跌" 这一推理关系提供一解释.
A. corn price 上涨的原因 --- 无关
B. 为了避免更多的损失, 农户早早就把牲畜卖了, 不干了, 大家一哄而上, 短期内肉家就降了很多.
--- 正好解释清楚了.
C.平常都吃肉的现在肉贵了都改吃素了, 肉价当然得降下来啦!可这不是短期的呀, 很有可能是长期都降下来了. 原文的意思是短期下来了,没说长期如此呀! ---为易混淆选项, 千万不要上当啊!!
D.肉价涨了, 利益所驱, 大家又改回原专业,结果肉价又跌了. 资本主义危机的规律, 没准几年又一来回. --- 又一易混淆选项, 好不容易过了C关,可不要又上D当啊, 这是immediate short-term的么?
E. 玉米不是贵么, 我喂其它粮食行不?当然可以. 所以肉价也不高了.E又没说让农户接着改喂贵玉米,让肉价又赶紧往回涨, 造成immediate short-term decrease 的局面. --- 这回看清楚ets的阴谋了吧!连来仨trap, 看你往不往里钻, 嘿嘿, 我不信逮不着你们!!!! |