求助一道关于tabacco industry 的逻辑题，NN请进！

scmsdna

The tobacco industry is still profitable and projections are that it will remain so.In the United States this year, the total amount of tobacco sold by tobacco-farmers has increased, even though the number of adults who smoke has decreased.
Each of the following, if true, could explain the simultaneous increase in tobacco sales and decrease in the number of adults who smoke EXCEPT:——
(A) During this year, the number of women who have begun to smoke is greater than the number of men who have quit smoking
(B) The number of teen-age children who have begun to smoke this year is greater than the number of adults who have quit smoking during the same period.
(C) During this year, the number of nonsmokers who have begun to use chewing tobacco or snuff is greater than the number of people who have quit smoking.
(D) The people who have continued to smoke consume more tobacco per person than they did in the past.
(E) More of the cigarettes made in the United States this year were exported to other countries than was the case last year.
答案：A
原文谈了2个方面，烟草销量增加和吸烟的成人数减少。
A只能得出吸烟的成年人数增加一方面，但不能得销售量的变化啊
E能得出销售量增加吗？
此外C,D也只谈了一方面啊？？C谈人数增加，D谈销售量增加

谢谢啦！！

sdcar2010

Paradox question with "except". So the correct answer CANNOT explain the two facts.

A) cannot. A is the correct answer. It cannot explain why there is an increase in sale.

E) says more exports. So it is feasible to have both increase in overall sales, thanks to export, and shrinking domestric customers, if the increase export is bigger than the decrease in domestic sale.

C) says more chewing tabacco for non-smokers. Like the E), C) introduce a revenue category that could lead to increase in sales without requiring an increase in the number of smokers.

D) simply gives a scenario, in which a shrinking smoker population can still lead to increase in sale.

scmsdna

well,first,thank you very much for your explanation,but there are still some points that make me rather confused ,could you help me to crack them?

the text tells us two respects:"simultaneous increase in tobacco sales and decrease in the number of adults who smoke ", whereas the answers below  concentrate on only one aspect like the number of adults,leaving open the sales of tobacco.
Does it mean that we need to make some assumptions to the aspect of  average consumption of each adult to draw the possible conclusion that "the sales of tabacoo might increase"?

in addtion, can we explain the reason why A is not correct is that  A shows the increase not the decrease in amount of adult who smoke .

As you said that :E) says more exports. So it is feasible to have both increase in overall sales, thanks to export, and shrinking domestric customers, if the increase export is bigger than the decrease in domestic sale. but how could I kown  the amount of adults who smoke?increased or decreased?

C) says more chewing tabacco for non-smokers. Like the E), C) introduce a revenue category that could lead to increase in sales without requiring an increase in the number of smokers. Sorry,could you help to explain "the revenue category"?

D) simply gives a scenario, in which a shrinking smoker population can still lead to increase in sale. how could u know that the population is a shrinking one?

THANKS A LOT!