Which of the following most logically completes the argument?
Utrania was formerly a major petroleum exporter, but in recent decades economic stagnation and restrictive regulations inhibited investment in new oil fields. In consequence, Utranian oil exports dropped steadily as old fields became depleted. Utrania's currently improving economic situation, together with less-restrictive regulations, will undoubtedly result in the rapid development of new fields. However, it would be premature to conclude that the rapid development of new fields will result in higher oil exports, because __________.
which of the following most logically completes the arguement? Utrania was formerly a major petroleum exporter, but in recent decades economic stagnation and restrictive regulation inhibited investment in new oil fields. In consequence, Utranian oil exports dropped steadily as old fields became depleted. Ultrania's currently improving economic situation, together with less restrictive regulations, will undoubtedly result in the rapid development of new fields. However, it would be premature to conclude that the rapid development of new fields will result in higher oil exports, because___ A. the price of oil is expected to remain relatively stable over the next several years B. the improvement in the economic situation in Utrania is expected to result in a dramatic increase in the proportion of Utranian who own automobiles C. most of the investment in new oil fields in Utrania is expected to come from foreign sources D. new technology is available to recover oil from old oil fields formerly regarded as depleted E. many of the new oil fields in Utrania are likely to be as productive as those that were developed during the period when Utrania was a major oil exporter 答案是B, 其实题目不算难,但是我在对选项进行相关无关判断的时候产生了疑问。对于相关无关的概念,我一直是以一道GWD里面的题目为基础进行理解的:题目我记得是这样:
For certain question types, outside information is allowed. For others, outside information is not allowed.
Take the snow/car problem for example, this is a paradox question which asks you to find a logical explanation.
汽车车主知道冬天的积雪会将树枝压断打到车上,所以在冬天的时候他们根本没有把车放到树下
This is a possible reason, thus, a correct answer. If in winter, most cars are garaged, there won't be as many case of damage by smashing snow as when cars are parked under a tree. In fact, a paradox question invites outside information if the information can resolve the perplexing situation. What is your choice for this question? Why?
Back to the oil field/export question, it is a variant of paradox question. You are asked to find a logical explanation based on the available info. B is a logical reason to support the conclusion. Case closed.