LSAT-7-1-22T 讨论

麻集爱

22. There is a widespread belief that people can predict impending earthquakes from unusual animal behavior. Skeptics claim that this belief is based on selective coincidence: people whose dogs behaved oddly just before an earthquake will be especially likely to remember that fact. At any given time, the skeptics say, some of the world’s dogs will be behaving oddly.
Clarification of which one of the following issues would be most important to an evaluation of the skeptics’ position?
(A) Which is larger, the number of skeptics or the number of people who believe that animal behavior can foreshadow earthquakes?
(B) Are there means other than the observation of animal behavior that nonscientists can use to predict earthquakes?
(C) Are there animals about whose behavior people know too little to be able to distinguish unusual from everyday behavior?
(D) Are the sorts of behavior supposedly predictive of earthquakes as pronounced in dogs as they are in other animals?
(E) Is the animal behavior supposedly predictive of earthquakes specific to impending earthquakes or can it be any kind of unusual behavior?
怎么会选E呢？

dansy

题干说一般认为可以根据动物在地震发生前的异常反应来预测地震。有些对此持怀疑态度的人认为这是基于某些有选择性的巧合，比如说某个人的狗在地震前有反常行为，这个人是因为狗的反常行为所以特别容易记住这件事。言下之意是说狗的反常行为并不是地震的预兆，是人人为地把它和地震联系起来。所以这些怀疑者说任何时候，狗都可能有反常行为。


答案E说的就是要区分狗的反常行为究竟是地震预兆还是那只不过是一种反常行为。个人理解，欢迎讨论。

wwwweng

个人以为本题无非是要把动物异常行为和地震联系（或者不联系）起来而已


所以选e

费希

any kind of unusual behavior是他因削弱吧