一题 aa 寂静， 不知到怎么找其逻辑漏洞， 帮忙分析一下啊， 谢谢

spoiledgirl

Fishbone Brewery is a regional small-scaled Brewery that produces a rare and exotic beer. They have hired a consultant who recommended Fishbone to start a national campaign immediately which will lead to high demand for Fishbone beer. Since Fishbone has not yet have the ability to meet excessive demand, those delays in excessive demand will increase the reputation of Fishbone, and thus, pump up the sales. The consultant predicts that within 3 years, Fishbone will become a national leader in beer industry

krazybon

no ablility to meet excessive demand >increase reputation? sales increase due to inability to meet demand?  
sales increase in the future > beer firm will be able to supply the demand in the future?

xnnxcc

我胡编了一些，希望能帮到楼主。



The author wrongly assumed that the rare and exotic beer produced by the Fishbone Brewery will become a favorable products for the general public after the national campaign, leading to an excessive demand.

The campaign itself alone might not be influential enough to guarantee that the public will change their taste and preferences. Hence, the campaign does not necessarily lead to a high demand of the product.  It is not clear in the arugment that where would the campaign be advertised and who would be the target audiance. Additional information is required to assess the effectiveness of the campaign.

In addition, even if the campain achieved its goal of increasing demand, how does the 'increasing demand' translate into 'increasing reputation'? There is no evidence provided by the author to elaborate the relationship between the increasing demand and reputation in the argument.

Last but not least, the author stated that the Fishbone will become a national leader inthe beer industry within 3 years. The author failed to consider there might be other larger competitive and successful breweries in the nation. Fishbone, being a small scaled brewery produces only rare and exotic beer, will need to expand its market, attract majority of the consumers and boost their sales significantly before it becomes a leading figure in the industry....

spoiledgirl

o,  很受启发， 谢谢2位～～～