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Since the mayor's publicity campaign for Greenville's bus service began six months ago, morning automobile traffic into the midtown area of the city has decreased seven percent. During the same period, there has been an equivalent rise in the number of persons riding buses into the midtown area. Obviously, the mayor's publicity campaign has convinced many people to leave their cars at home and ride the bus to work.

Which of the following, if true, casts the most serious doubt on the conclusion drawn above?

正确答案: C

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OG紫皮-6解释的疑问——关于常识推理

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楼主
发表于 2009-5-7 23:45:00 | 只看该作者

OG紫皮-6解释的疑问——关于常识推理

41. Since the mayor’s publicity campaign for Greenville’s bus 
service began six months ago, morning automobile traffic into the 
midtown area of the city has decreased seven percent.

During the same period, there has been an equivalent rise in the 
number of persons riding buses into the midtown area. Obviously, the 
mayor’s publicity campaign has convinced many people to leave their 
cars at home and ride the bus to work.

Which of the following, if true, casts the most serious doubt on the 
conclusion drawn above?

A. Fares for all bus routes in Greenville have risen an average of 
five percent during the past six months.

B. The mayor of Greenville rides the bus to City Hall in the city’s 
midtown area.

C. Road reconstruction has greatly reduced the number of lanes 
available to commuters in major streets leading to the midtown area 
during the past six months.

D. The number of buses entering the midtown area of Greenville during 
the morning hours is exactly the same now as it was one year ago.

E. Surveys show that longtime bus riders are no more satisfied with 
the Greenville bus service than they were before the mayor’s 
publicity campaign began.

OG对B选项的解释是: The mayor's decision to ride the bus sets a good example for citizens,and his example tends to strengthen the conclusion.

这儿解释说明了市长坐车对市民的模范作用,难道不是所谓的无关推测嘛?应该有悖于傻子原则吧?大家怎么看呢?OG所谓的常识除外,其余不进行自我推测到底应该怎么理解哦?

沙发
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-7 23:51:00 | 只看该作者
突然发现OG11和OG10的解释存在很大的差别,大家又怎么看呢?
板凳
发表于 2009-5-8 00:26:00 | 只看该作者

Since the mayor’s publicity campaign for Greenville’s bus 
service began six months ago, morning automobile traffic into the 
midtown area of the city has decreased seven percent.

我觉得没必要太区扣书面意思,关键是快速做完题走人。 B怎么看都不对,所以不选。

如果要分析的话,OG的分析也不算无关, 题目开始说市长做公交车推广项目,B相当于举了一个具体的例子,是 通过 加强前提强化了结论,

地板
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-8 13:26:00 | 只看该作者
那到底那种才能是无关呢?可以推测多少才是合理嘛?
还有就是OG的几个版本答案确实不统一,困惑啊
5#
发表于 2009-5-8 14:53:00 | 只看该作者

我的OG上面是选择C,

6#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-9 13:33:00 | 只看该作者
答案是C,没问题,主要是想看看GMAC的思路,哪些是可以推测的,哪些是不容许去推测的,感觉受培训机构有关无关影响好大
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