4月15日21:00更新!! ARGUMENT: 8. The following appeared in a presentation by the chief production manager of a machine parts manufacturing company at a management meeting: “Our factory in Cookville is our most advanced and efficient. It is capable of producing ten drill bits for each dollar of production costs, whereas none of our other factories can produce more than seven drill bits per dollar of production costs. Therefore, we can reduce our overall drill bit production costs by devoting the Cookville factory entirely to drill bit production. Since reducing the production costs of individual machine parts is the only way to achieve our larger goal of reducing our overall production costs, dedicating the Cookville factory entirely to drill bit production and shifting all other machine part production to our other factories will help us to attain that larger goal.” Discuss how well reasoned . . .etc.
1。某市因为工业污染严重,来这里旅游的旅客减少了很多,政府的收入相应地减少。而最近在该市一些公园发现有矿产资源,所以作者提议让一些企业能在这些公园里开采矿,这样这些企业就能赚钱并愿意支付税,这样政府就能增加税收收入
“Advertising the reduced price of selected grocery items in the Daily Gazette will help you increase your sales. Consider the results of a study conducted last month. Thirty sale items from a store in downtown Marston were advertised in the Gazette for four days. Each time one or more of the 30 items was purchased, clerks asked whether the shopper had read the ad. Two-thirds of the 200 shoppers asked answered in the affirmative. Furthermore, more than half the customers who answered in the affirmative spent over $100 at the store.” Discuss how well reasoned... etc. 在把Gazette日报的广告版向Marston地区的蔬菜商销售的计划: 在Gazette日报宣传特价菜会帮助你提高销售额。考虑上月的一个研究的结果。Marston中心区的一个商店的30种特价菜在Gazette做了4天广告。每当有特价菜被卖出,职员就问顾客是否读过广告。200顾客中的2/3回答是肯定的。而且,持肯定回答的顾客中有超过一半的人在店里的消费超过100美元。 读了广告之后买了特价菜,并不意味着是因为看了广告才去买特价菜。可以有很多因素促使消费者买特价菜。此外作者是想说可以提高总体销售水平但他的论证实际根本没有涉及这一点。起码要给出没有做广告时候一天销售额和做了广告之后的对比。 1, 没有对比没做广告和做广告后sale的对比,只说了消费的人看了广告,并且一半支付了100以上,很可能没有广告的话也一样。 2, 没有建立起因果联系,虽然买东西的人看了广告,但是不代表是因为广告而买的。很可能不存在此因果联系。 3, 没有排除他因。如过sale上升了,那也有可能是别的原因导致的,而不是因为广告。比如thanks giving,比如商品质量提高,花样更多,比如最近的经济很好等等。
ISSUE:
1,一个社会相比经济成功应该更重视科学和艺术。 2,创新带来的好处和带来的坏处一样大 |