ChaseDream
搜索
12下一页
返回列表 发新帖
00:00:00

A major chemical spill occurred five years ago at Baker's Beach, the world's sole nesting ground for Merrick sea turtles, and prevented nearly all the eggs laid that year from hatching. Yet the number of adult female Merricks returning to lay their eggs at Baker's Beach has actually increased somewhat since five years ago. Clearly, environmentalists' prediction that the world's Merrick population would decline as a result of the spill has proven unfounded.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the argument offered in refutation of the environmentalists' prediction?

正确答案: B

相关帖子

更多...

更多相关帖子

524

帖子

15

好友

4712

积分

ChaseDream

注册时间
2003-03-17
精华
8
解析
查看: 9085|回复: 18
打印 上一主题 下一主题

GWD30-Q32

[复制链接]
楼主
发表于 2009-2-19 12:40:00 | 只看该作者

GWD30-Q32

A major chemical spill occurred five years ago at Baker’s Beach, the world’s sole nesting ground for Merrick sea turtles, and prevented nearly all the eggs laid that year from hatching.  Yet the number of adult female Merricks returning to lay their eggs at Baker’s Beach has actually increased somewhat since five years ago.  Clearly, environmentalists’ prediction that the world’s Merrick population would decline as a result of the spill has proven unfounded.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the argument offered in refutation of the environmentalists’ prediction?

 

A.      The chemical spill five years ago occurred at a time when there were neither Merrick sea turtles nor Merrick sea turtle eggs on Baker’s Beach.

B.       Female Merrick sea turtles begin returning to Baker’s Beach to lay their eggs when they are ten years old.

C.      Under normal conditions, only a small proportion of hatchling female Merrick sea turtles survive in the ocean until adulthood and return to lay their eggs at Baker’s Beach.

D.      Environmental pressures unrelated to the chemical spill have caused a significant decline in the population of one of the several species of sea birds that prey on Merrick sea turtle eggs.

E.       After the chemical spill, an environmental group rejected a proposal to increase the Merrick sea turtle population by transferring eggs from Baker’s Beach to nearby beaches that had not been affected by the spill.

答案 B  , 但无法排除D, D说捕食海龟的鸟少了。说明龟的增加不能说明是污染没有作用,污染其实是有害的,但捕食者少了,导致海龟数量增加掩盖了污染的副作用。所以D是削弱。   请牛牛解惑!

沙发
发表于 2009-2-19 13:10:00 | 只看该作者

D需要自己假设的条件太多。其它捕食者可能增多吗?捕食者减少的时间等等。

另外D可以推出推出,捕食者减少导致了乌龟的增加,不能直接推出污染没有影响。这中间有gap。

板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2009-2-19 13:43:00 | 只看该作者

但B也同样只能说明乌龟的增加与是否污染无关,即B也不能推出污染有危害。

我觉得,B和C都给出了“乌龟增加”的其他原因,都能起到削弱作用。

地板
发表于 2009-4-23 01:37:00 | 只看该作者
感觉B其实无法解释海龟数目五年内的上升(如果所有的雌海龟都是10岁以后才回来下蛋,那么污染造成下蛋海龟数量的减少应该只在10年以后出现),同时也无法说明海龟是遭受了污染的损害
5#
发表于 2009-4-24 05:23:00 | 只看该作者
重新看了题目,理清了思路, 这个链接的解释能较好说明:
http://forum.chasedream.com/dispbbs.asp?BoardID=24&replyID=3137183&id=351659&skin=0
6#
发表于 2009-5-8 17:45:00 | 只看该作者
乌龟10岁才回去产卵,而spill发生在5年以前,说明那些乌龟还没有受到影响,他们是10年前出生的
7#
发表于 2009-7-28 13:59:00 | 只看该作者
8#
发表于 2009-7-31 11:05:00 | 只看该作者
thx
9#
发表于 2009-7-31 16:37:00 | 只看该作者
up
10#
发表于 2009-8-2 22:40:00 | 只看该作者
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 立即注册

Mark一下! 看一下! 顶楼主! 感谢分享! 快速回复:

手机版|ChaseDream|GMT+8, 2024-11-26 23:00
京公网安备11010202008513号 京ICP证101109号 京ICP备12012021号

ChaseDream 论坛

© 2003-2023 ChaseDream.com. All Rights Reserved.

返回顶部