[讨论]一道GWD逻辑题

xixi86813

Kate:  The recent decline in numbers of the Tennessee warbler, a North American songbird that migrates each fall to coffee plantations in South America, is due to the elimination of the dense tree cover that formerly was a feature of most South American coffee plantations.

Scott:  The population of the spruce budworm, the warbler’s favorite prey in North America, has been dropping.  This is a more likely explanation of the warbler’s decline.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls Scott’s hypothesis into question?

A.        The numbers of the Baltimore oriole, a songbird that dose not eat budworms but is as dependent on South American coffee plantations as is the Tennessee warbler, are declining.
B.        The spruce-budworm population has dropped because of a disease that can infect budworms but not Tennessee warblers.
C.        The drop in the population of the spruce budworm is expected to be only temporary.
D.        Many Tennessee warbler have begun migrating in the fall to places other than traditional coffee plantations.
E.        Although many North American songbirds have declined in numbers, no other species has experienced as great a decline as has the Tennessee warbler.

给出正确答案A，但我认为正确答案是D
A只是证明Kate可能正确，但是不能直接驳倒Scott
而D说明鸟只是去了除了农园的其他地方，也就证明不是猎物下降，可以直接驳倒Scott。

求热心人解！！

286的幸福观

文章中可以发现原因1南美的树和原因2北美的虫可能会造成鸟的减少，题目要求证明2不是原因。

这类题目一般削2就会强1，A选项恰好说明这点，没有受到原因2影响，仅受到原因1影响的另外一种鸟依然减少了，这就进一步强化了1是原因而不是2造成了鸟的减少。

D、T鸟秋天迁徙到其他地方，这直接削弱了原因1，说明原先栖息地的树的减少并不是原因，但是不能削原因2，因为这是种北美的鸟，不管它们秋天飞到哪，其他时候都要吃北美的虫。

daddybear

这道题根本不用看K说了甚么，只要能吧Scott的话中的因果关系质疑就可以，S说虫少了，所以鸟少了，那A说不吃这种虫的的另一种鸟也少了，不就说明虫少不是直接原因吗