经济不景气，大家来谈谈各行业的职业前景吧！

yuanzhenh

最近国内经济不景气，经济出现滞涨，政府的调控措施效果不明显，紧缩银根使很多中小企业倒闭，最近几天出台的针对房地产的贷款政策无疑对地产业又是一个打击，银行业去年大量招人，利润也明显攀升，而投行却出现亏损裁人，在今后的一段时间内，各个行业（如地产、投行、咨询、外贸等）会有一个什么样的发展呢？哪些行业就职机会多一些呢？

clocdo

commercial banks in china seem to be okay right? soaring profit makes
the headline on wsj the other day. I heard socgen or bnp is planning to
suck several thousands ppl in their hk offices, so financials in asia
are still holding up...will likely go down in q1 09 imo.

    

banks are definately not doing well and will not in the next 6 months,
esp. in nyc and london. any lehman ppl out there mind sharing the view?
I think asian financials will be all right for the fresh guys (for the
timebeing though).

    

my 2 cents on financial jobs.

fenglinger

I agree with clocdo's view. We probably will see U.S. unemployment rate hit 6.3%~6.5% in the near future and another round of layoffs in both financial and manufacturing sectors are coming before year end. Commercial banks in US and Europe are the next dogs. FDIC has issued debt to fund the "piggy" bank just in case there are too many failures. Asia growth is slowing down.  Africa and Middle East are the hot babes.

[此贴子已经被作者于2008-9-6 11:23:19编辑过]

stq

今后一段时间是多长？

你的职业或者行业难道还能几年一换？

如果不能的话，今后几十年的职业方向当然应该根据大势来定，你管短期经济波动干吗？

yuanzhenh

楼上问得很中肯，今后一段时间我指2-3年的状况。我本来在建筑行业，现在正在读书有转行的机会，看到房地产不景气，不禁心里恐慌，想看看其他行业的状况，听听cder的见解。

stq

建筑业大了，从建筑设计到最底层的民工都算。。

你能转行，转哪？从事啥工作？

现在你从事的职业虽说不一定要做一辈子，但像经济周期这样5年一换还是不行的，所以还是要从长远考虑。。

newname2

明知道前景不好，还要再坚持在原来的岗位上么？但是总要积聚资本才能跳槽。

还是加紧修炼为妙。