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请教LSAT-Set15-SecII-Q25

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楼主
发表于 2003-4-22 23:46:00 | 只看该作者

请教LSAT-Set15-SecII-Q25

25. A letter submitted to the editor of a national newsmagazine was written and signed by a Dr. Shirley Martin who, in the text of the letter, mentions being a professor at a major North American medical school. Knowing that fewer than 5 percent of the professors at such schools are women, the editor reasons that the chances are better than 19 to 1 that the letter was written by a man.

Which one of the following involves flawed reasoning most like that used by the editor?

(A) Since 19 out of 20 home computers are purchased primarily for use with computer games, and the first computer sold today was purchased solely for word processing, the next 19 computers sold will almost certainly be used primarily for computer games.

(B) Fewer than 1 in 20 of the manuscripts submitted to Argon Publishing Vo. Are accepted for publication. Since only 15 manuscripts were submitted last week, there is almost no chance that any of them will be accepted for publication.

(C) Fewer that 5 percent of last year's graduating class took Latin in secondary school. Howard took Latin in secondary school, so if he had graduated last year, it is likely that one or the other Latin scholars would not have graduated.

(D) More that 95 percent of the planes built by UBC last year met government standards for large airliners. Since small planes account for just under 5 percent of UBC抯 output last year, it is almost certain that all their large planes met government standards.

(E) Since more than 19 out of every 20 animals in the wildlife preserve are mammals and fewer than 1 out of 20 are birds, there is a greater than 95 percent chance that the animal Emily saw flying between two trees in the wildlife refuge yesterday morning was a mammal.
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答案E,不知flawed reasoning 指的是什么?请大家指教。
沙发
发表于 2003-4-23 00:04:00 | 只看该作者
flawed reasoning指明明Dr. 翠花 Martin是个女的,还经验老道的认为可能是个男的.
E中明明看到的是个鸟,还说可能是个非鸟.
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2003-4-23 00:30:00 | 只看该作者
谢谢mindfree解答,是根据Shirley判断是female?对名字不敏感,看成SM了,判断是鸟是根据common sense?感觉这体不是考逻辑是考细心和常识。
地板
发表于 2003-4-23 01:24:00 | 只看该作者
同意. 此题属搞笑型, 读完我就笑了. 英文中绝大部分名字是分男女的. 王彩霞先生一般不会出现. 个别如Jacky不分男女(但是女士用Jackie为多,偶见Jacky). 此题应属典型common sense类型, 但是是相对他们的CS, not ours.
5#
 楼主| 发表于 2003-4-23 11:09:00 | 只看该作者
真希望有大家给老外出题的一天.
比如:为何妈妈对小明叫小明,小明不对妈妈叫妈妈?以下那个选项可以解释这个差异?
A.小明不听话
B.小明不能说话
C.小明是female
D.小明是Dog
E.妈妈对小明不好

A
6#
发表于 2003-4-23 11:15:00 | 只看该作者
问题问错了, 是哪个选项不能解释,
保定市冶金专科学校中文标准测试答案:C
7#
 楼主| 发表于 2003-4-23 11:51:00 | 只看该作者
记不清题了,除了记得有个答案是D,其他选项是我瞎编的。不知原体怎么讲?
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