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求助 gwd30-32

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11#
发表于 2006-8-18 01:58:00 | 只看该作者

我基本明白b的意思了...

题目说1、5年前,海滩就被污染了,因此理论上某龟会减少

      2、但是从增加的母龟来看,上面的推断是错的

要使1能推出2,必须有个前提假设,就是母龟是受到海滩污染影响的,因为只有这样,它们数量的反增不减才能证明污染对他们没影响

而b指出,由于母龟在10岁的时候才会回来产蛋,所以这批母龟并不是5年前被污染的那批蛋孵出来的

c的错误应该算是false analogy吧

12#
发表于 2006-10-23 09:50:00 | 只看该作者

 

 

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the argument offered in refutation of the environmentalists’ prediction?

我不明白这句话是什么意思。。。。

13#
发表于 2007-1-19 18:29:00 | 只看该作者
这道题我选的C,是用排除法选择的,看到答案是B,很是郁闷,觉得B答案应该是无关选项,就算成熟到10岁才能生下一代,并不能削弱化学泄漏对数量造成的影响啊,10年成熟也好,5年成熟也好,物种是延续的,又不是离散的。。。还请各位NN解答^_^
14#
发表于 2007-3-21 20:09:00 | 只看该作者

一开始我也选C。觉得B无关得太离谱因此有点像答案,但又想不出为什么是B。刚刚看完讨论再仔细看看题目:seriously undermines the argument offered in refutation of the environmentalists’ prediction。 而这个environmentalists’ prediction 是 the world’s Merrick population would decline as a result of the spill has proven unfounded

as a result of 这里挺关键的,点出了要驳斥的方向,即龟数量下降时是由于化学物质泄漏的影响。B刚好就是说龟是要长到10岁才来下蛋,因此五年前的泄漏事件不会对数量下降产生影响

15#
发表于 2007-3-24 19:19:00 | 只看该作者
想想又想不通了
16#
发表于 2007-7-30 06:47:00 | 只看该作者
?
17#
发表于 2007-7-31 01:15:00 | 只看该作者
d
18#
发表于 2007-8-9 10:51:00 | 只看该作者
ding
19#
发表于 2007-8-30 18:59:00 | 只看该作者
up
20#
发表于 2007-8-30 19:22:00 | 只看该作者

A major chemical spill occurred five years ago at Baker’s Beach, the world’s sole nesting ground for Merrick sea turtles, and prevented nearly all the eggs laid that year from hatching.  Yet the number of adult female Merricks returning to lay their eggs at Baker’s Beach has actually increased somewhat since five years ago.  Clearly, environmentalists’ prediction that the world’s Merrick population would decline as a result of the spill has proven unfounded.

 

 

 

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the argument offered in refutation of the environmentalists’ prediction?

 

 

 

  1. The chemical spill five years ago occurred at a time when there were neither Merrick sea turtles nor Merrick sea turtle eggs on Baker’s Beach.
  2. Female Merrick sea turtles begin returning to Baker’s Beach to lay their eggs when they are ten years old.
  3. Under normal conditions, only a small proportion of hatchling female Merrick sea turtles survive in the ocean until adulthood and return to lay their eggs at Baker’s Beach.
  4. Environmental pressures unrelated to the chemical spill have caused a significant decline in the population of one of the several species of sea birds that prey on Merrick sea turtle eggs.
  5. After the chemical spill, an environmental group rejected a proposal to increase the Merrick sea turtle population by transferring eggs from Baker’s Beach to nearby beaches that had not been affected by the spill.

好象想明白了
反对者的证据是:来下蛋的海龟增加了,说明化学物质溢出没影响
而B是指出了反对者引用的证据是无效的,因为那一批来下蛋的10年孵出的海龟,根本没有受到化学物质溢出的影响,怎么可以用来证明结论呢

夸张的比喻:2007年发生的事,你用发生在唐朝的事来证明,这样很荒谬哦~~~

再补一句,逻辑题中表时间概念的信息还是蛮重要的,经常是出题点


[此贴子已经被作者于2007-8-30 19:25:40编辑过]
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