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大家帮忙看看三道逻辑题,希望Lawyer能显身!!!

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楼主
发表于 2005-11-14 23:00:00 | 只看该作者

大家帮忙看看三道逻辑题,希望Lawyer能显身!!!

希望大家指点解题思路!真希望lawyer能显身说法!!!


1.


Press Secretary:  Our critics claim that the President’s recent highway project cancellations demonstrate a vindictive desire to punish legislative districts controlled by opposition parties.  They offer as evidence the fact that 90 percent of the projects canceled were in such districts.  But all of the canceled projects had been identified as wasteful in a report written by respected nonpartisan auditors.  So the President’s choice was clearly motivated by sound budgetary policy, not partisan politics.



Which of the following is an assumption on which the press secretary’s argument depends?




  • Canceling highway projects was not the only way for the President to punish legislative districts controlled by opposition parties.

  • The scheduled highway projects identified as wasteful in the report were not mostly projects in districts controlled by the President’s party.

  • The number of projects canceled was a significant proportion of all the highway projects that were to be undertaken by the government in the near future.

  • The highway projects canceled in districts controlled by the President’s party were not generally more expensive than the projects canceled in districts controlled by opposition parties.

  • Reports by nonpartisan auditors are not generally regarded by the opposition parties as a source of objective assessments of government projects.

  • 2.


    Some species of Arctic birds are threatened by recent sharp increases in the population of snow geese, which breed in the Arctic and are displacing birds of less vigorous species.  Although snow geese are a popular quarry for hunters in the southern regions where they winter, the hunting season ends if and when hunting has reduced the population by five percent, according to official estimates.  Clearly, dropping this restriction would allow the other species to recover.



    Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the argument?




  • Hunting limits for snow geese were imposed many years ago in response to a sharp decline in the population of snow geese.

  • It has been many years since the restriction led to the hunting season for snow geese being closed earlier than the scheduled date.

  • The number of snow geese taken by hunters each year has grown every year for several years.

  • As their population has increased, snow geese have recolonized wintering grounds that they had not used for several seasons.

  • In the snow goose’s winter habitats, the goose faces no significant natural predation.

  • 3.


    Editorial in Krenlandian Newspaper:



    Krenland’s steelmakers are losing domestic sales because of lower-priced imports, in many cases because foreign governments subsidize their steel industries in ways that are banned by international treaties.  But whatever the cause, the cost is ultimately going to be jobs in Krenland’s steel industry.  Therefore, it would protect not only steel companies but also industrial employment in Krenland if our government took measures to reduce cheap steel imports.



    Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the editorial’s argument?




  • Because steel from Krenland is rarely competitive in international markets, only a very small portion of Krenlandian steelmakers’ revenue comes from exports.

  • The international treaties that some governments are violating by giving subsidies to steelmakers do not specify any penalties for such violations.

  • For many Krenlandian manufacturers who face severe international competition in both domestic and export markets, steel constitutes a significant part of their raw material costs.

  • Because of advances in order-taking, shipping, and inventory systems, the cost of shipping steel from foreign producers to Krenland has fallen considerably in recent years.

  • Wages paid to workers in the steel industry in Krenland differ significantly from wages paid to workers in many of the countries that export steel to Krenland.

  •   麻烦大家了!!!

    沙发
    发表于 2005-11-15 00:16:00 | 只看该作者

    NN们来之前,我们就先自己呱唧呱唧巴~~~我认为…


    1.E 肯定论据的有效性


    2.C 被捉的snow geese每年都在增长阿,就可能是因为总量增长的厉害,即使没有哪个5%的限制了,也不一定能控制了SG的繁殖。这个前题就把结论的依据给弱化了。


    3.C 我不大确定,所以用的是排除法。AE都是讲export,so pass; BD说别的国家的事。C,终于说到Krenland's costs,并强调最重要的是原料,也可以认为protect industrial employment不值得放得那么重要。


    请指教啦


    ps. 2好像是gwd里的。

    板凳
    发表于 2005-11-15 01:12:00 | 只看该作者

    IT IS SO HARD TO PASTE MY RESPONSE


    1,2题其实已讨论过


    1。B取非,The scheduled highway projects identified as wasteful in the report were mostly projects in districts controlled by the President’s party.即报告里确定为WASTEFUL的工程不但有在反对党控制的区域的,也有PRESIDENT的政党控制的区域的。但PRESIDENT却单独CANCEL反对党区域的WASTEFUL工程,说明PRESIDENT motivated by partisan politics。即结论不成立。


    2。关键理解B的意思。RESTRICTION是狩猎到雪鹅的总数的5%就不能再狩猎。由于有该限制,所以狩猎季节提前结束。即还没有到允许的狩猎结束期,就已经被狩猎5%的雪鹅了。B要表达的是这种提前结束狩猎期的状况已经是很多年前的事啦。即现在不会提前结束狩猎期,即现在即使有RESTRICTION,也实际在狩猎期结束,还没狩猎到5%。所以WEAKEN结论


    3。结论是个条件型结论(IF)。如果C是真的话,则如果政府采取措施减少进口,则制造业就会受打击,industrial employment 会减少,尽管steelmakers可能收益。即结论中的条件不一定使结论实现。WEAKEN条件型结论

    地板
    发表于 2005-11-15 02:15:00 | 只看该作者

    got it , tks

    5#
     楼主| 发表于 2005-11-15 12:08:00 | 只看该作者

    谢谢lawyer,谢谢lawyer!


    就是有时候读了一遍选项觉得哪个都不像对的.所以感觉会有压力!!!


    6#
    发表于 2005-11-15 21:33:00 | 只看该作者
    明白.thanks!
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