88-05

Jason_chen

地震预测已经可以很准确了，但是政府和媒体并不采纳。作者呼吁媒体要准确报道地震规模

政府采纳正确的地震规模预估，可以避免更多的死亡，例举了意大利，汶川的例子。经常发生地震的地方要有所警惕。

可靠估计的地震设备对于一些国家和地区来说，太贵了，即便可以避免更大的损失。地震估计还有一些不稳定因素：房屋质量，信息覆盖率低，地区贫穷，乡镇以及震级的快速估计。

最后，作者给出了媒体应该报道的模板

Earthquakeprediction is already very accurate, but the government and media do not adoptit and always missed the most devastated areas, that leads most people die. Theauthor called on the media to report accurately the size of the quake

The governmentadopted the correct earthquake prediction to avoid more deaths, citing theexample of wenchuan in Italy. Be wary of places where earthquakes occurfrequently.

Reliable estimatesof earthquake equipment are too expensive for some countries and regions, evenif greater damage can be avoided. There are also uncertainties in earthquakeestimation: poor information on building stock is the main weakness, buildingshaking can be augmented by the underlying soil and topography, povertyincreases vulnerability to earthquake injury and damage, the populations ofsmall towns and villages, especially in developing countries, must beapproximated, rapid pinning down of earthquake epicenters and magnitudes.

Finally, theauthor gives a template of what the media should report

Seismologist 地震学家

Rubble  碎石

Fatality  死亡

Trickles  细流

Toll     征收

Epicenter  震中心

Robust   健康的 强健的

Underestimate  低估

Potsdam   波茨坦（德国北方都市）

Magnitude  大小量级

Rupture    破裂