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GWD5-Q19:
Historian: In the Drindian Empire, censuses were conducted annually to determine the population of each village. Village census records for the last half of the 1600’s are remarkably complete. This very completeness makes one point stand out; in five different years, villages overwhelmingly reported significant population declines. Tellingly, each of those five years immediately followed an increase in a certain Drindian tax. This tax, which was assessed on villages, was computed by the central government using the annual census figures. Obviously, whenever the tax went up, villages had an especially powerful economic incentive to minimize the number of people they recorded; and concealing the size of a village’s population from government census takers would have been easy. Therefore, it is reasonable to think that the reported declines did not happen.
In the historian’s argument, the two portions in boldface play which of the following roles?
A. The first supplies a context for the historian’s argument; the second acknowledges a consideration that has been used to argue against the position the historian seeks to establish.
B. The first presents evidence to support the position that the historian seeks to establish; the second acknowledges a consideration that has been used to argue against that position.
C. The first provides a context for certain evidence that supports the position that the historian seeks to establish; the second is that position.
D. The first is a position for which the historian argues; the second is an assumption that serves as the basis of that argument.
E. The first is an assumption that the historian explicitly makes in arguing for a certain position; the second acknowledges a consideration that calls that assumption into question.
这个题的正确答案选C,其实LZ对答案没有什么问题了,第二个BF应该是整个argument的结论,所以也只有C选项符合。不过总感觉这道题逻辑本身就有问题,如果说第二部分BF得出的结论是报告中的人口数并没有下降,那第一个BF关于人口数的统计是完整的论述不就自相矛盾了吗?因为隐藏人口必然会导致统计数据的不完整,既然如此又如何通过第一个BF得出后面的结论?只能说Historian是在假设数据完整的前提下开始后面的推论的。其实这题难度不大,但是觉得很困惑~~希望有童鞋可以一起分析下
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