A43，最后搏命两周，求拍求建议~

大剑Jade

Argument
题号：新GRE 43
题目：Two years ago, consultants predicted that West Egg's landfill, which is used for garbage disposal, would be completely filled within five years. During the past two years, however, the town's residents have been recycling twice as much material as they did in previous years. Next month the amount of recycled material—which includes paper, plastic, and metal—should further increase, since charges for pickup of other household garbage will double. Furthermore, over 90 percent of the respondents to a recent survey said that they would do more recycling in the future. Because of our town's strong commitment to recycling, the available space in our landfill should last for considerably longer than predicted.


写作要求：Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
对应老GRE题号：11


This argument is well presented but far-fetched. It lays a claim that because their town commit strong to recycling, the available space in our landfill should last for considerably longer than predicted. Nevertheless, this argument is in effect definitely impractical due to several flaws after a close scrutiny, albeit it may appear plausible at a cursory glance.
First off, a threshold problem arises where the report of the residents recycling comes into being. The author certainly assumes that the report is reliable and convincing. However, this contention is open to a number of interpretations. For example, what if the residents just tell lies because of an inherent ambience of being pretentious in this region? They might be doing this to show that they are more concerned about the problem of environment than people from other places. And what if the number of residents has increased during the past several years? This could surely result in more recycling. Thus, without accounting for as well as ruling out other likely scenarios, by no means could the author conclude that the report of twice recycling could be equivalent to more recycling per resident in reality.
Moreover, even though the author might be able to provide evidence for us to deduce a solution to the problem presented above afterwards, the argument still maintains ill-conceived. Another problem could be located that the author presumes that the increase of charges could contribute to more recycling. Nonetheless, it’s totally possible that people would not even notice the rising increase, because they need not gain a living merely by recycling, and I will wager that no one is willing to live by this means. To corroborate his point, the author should pay a close heed to as well as cope with the representative possibilities, such as the people’s indifferent attitude towards the doubled charges. Only then could he bolster his conclusion.
Ultimately, even if the foregoing assumptions might turn out to be supported by ensuing evidence, a crucial problem remains that the effectiveness of this survey stays doubtful. It’s reasonable to cast doubts upon the author’s presumption which I reject as inadequate. For instance, the author omits to inform us that what kind of survey conducted. Is it conducted by experts in this field? Is the number of the respondents representative and not restricted in a narrow area and among certain people? If these questions haven’t been contemplated before, the survey loses its reliability since the result of it may be inaccurate. Pursuing this line of reasoning, it proves to be the author’s responsibility to mull over his assumptions so as to pave the way for a more tenable argument.
In retrospect, the author seems precipitous to jump to the conclusion based on a series of problematic premises. To dismiss the specter of implausibility of this argument, the author ought to come to grips with the problem mentioned above: the reliability of the report, the cause-effect relationship between the rising charges and more recycling, and the effectiveness of this survey. Only by grasping the gist of the argument could the author draw a convincible conclusion pertaining to the commitment of this town relating to more recycling. After all, feckless attempts with a fallible method could be nothing but a fool’s errand.
543words,29min

大剑Jade

哦，就是说你的垃圾越多，要付费也就愈多吧

ppguo

美国没有拾荒的职业。有鼓励回收的政策。

大剑Jade

哦，你的理解是对的，正确理解应该是垃圾收集的收费，只是不明白为什么收拾垃圾还要收费。。。

jasonliu119

我和你理解那个charge有区别啊、、、、我觉得是有垃圾的人的付费吧，不是卖出回收的东西所取得的钱吧？

大剑Jade

哦，那个我只是考虑在平时的工作之余拿点外快，应该说政府为了鼓励居民回收垃圾，应该能够有相关鼓励回收的政策吧？

jasonliu119

关于那个回收费增加的问题上，你是从拾荒者的角度思考的吧？但是，我觉得应该主要从顾客，也就是付费给人清理垃圾的角度会更加让阅卷者理解吧？美国有这些拾荒职业么？

大剑Jade

嗯嗯~

ppguo

貌似咱们俩儿用的词典有出入，不过这都是小问题。继续加油~~

大剑Jade

嗯，确实有细微的差别，in effect主要是in substance, virtually, 即almost entirely这样的意思，我觉得比in fact表达更加精确。