[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day44

Ysandre

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Day 44
1.        鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes

2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了

3.        原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.

顾周i

Day 44
1.        鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
果因推理
F：鱼儿失去方向感
P：鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，pesticides里面含有这种化学成分
C：pesticide造成的鱼儿失去方向感
是否存在他因导致鱼儿失去方向感
是否存在可能性，鱼儿失去方向感和pesticide无关

2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了

F：消费和时间成正比；顾客停留时间不会明显增加
P：顾客在cinema里消费少
C：公司的收入会下降
在cinema消费少的顾客也不会在mall多做停留（所以在mall也不产生消费——公司收入下降）


3.        原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.




A

Carolineccc

Day 44:
1.P: 鱼失去方向感了。研究发现鱼受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，pesticide正好有这个化学物质
  C：这是pesticide造成的
  Type：相关因果模型
  Evaluate:
  —— 有没有其他因素影响鱼的方向感？
  ——有pesticide的地方有鱼有方向感吗
  ——没有pesticide 的地方有鱼没方向感吗
类似题目：P：猴子会用一种millipede擦他们的身子。实验证明millipede中含有化学物质可以防蚊子，蚊子会给猴子带来疾病。不过这个擦身上的动作很少只有在雨季蚊子特别多的时候才会有
         C： 猴子在雨季用millipede擦身上是为了防蚊子
         Evaluate:
         —— millipede是否佛有治疗那种疾病的功效
         —— D 是否是因为millipede只在雨季中出现（evaluate 相关性

2.P：顾客的消费和他呆在商场的时间成正比。这个商场要开一家新的电影院，顾客呆在里面的时间不会明显增加。
  C：由于顾客在电影院消费少，所以商场的收入会下降
  错误的assumption?
      —— 电影院会招揽更多的顾客进商场？

3.P：拥有17家赌场的M在某个州开的赌场是最多的。然而他在收购E的时候被A打败了。A必须卖出五家赌场，因为州法律规定任何经营者都不能在一个country经验多个赌场。 A将要在这个州经营20家赌场，
C：因此他将拥有这个州最多的赌场
Weaken:
—— A —— A卖出的那五家必须给M，所以 A= 20 + E=21；M = 17 + 5A= 22 > A

Carolineccc

Mark一下！               

sherlockkkkk

Mark一下！               

abc1654

PennyWen95

[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day44

Day 44
1.        鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
河流里面是否有其他物质，也含有这个化学成分，除了pesticides
☆ 看看鱼儿在下暴雨的时候是否会更加的disoriented
假设：农药不冲到河里时，鱼会不会也不正常？
科学家观察鱼的行为。鱼的游动导航能力受嗅觉影响，其嗅觉受某些化学物质的干扰，而农
药里面含这些化学物质，农药经常在下雨的时候冲入河流中，所以鱼的奇怪游动行为是因为
受农药的影响。问评估。我选每次雨后对鱼的观察结果。

【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators


2.        消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了

可能顾客的数量会上升。即使顾客待的时间不增长，也不代表其他方面没有增长。所以结论收入下降不准确。
说是一个商场里,顾客的消费和他们花在商场里的时间成正比。
然后说是商场里开了一个cinema, 因为看电影要花去很多时间,所以 商场的利润会下降。
问假设。我选了那个貌似是说, 顾客不会花更多时间
people who go to mall will go to the cinema

3.        原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?

D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.

PennyWen95

看一下！               

Han666

Mark一下！               

swilder

看一下！