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Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the Darfir Republic's currency, the pundra, was weak: its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies. Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially. Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.

Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?

正确答案: B

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发表于 2011-7-24 10:17:19 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the DarfirRepublic's currency, the pundra, was weak: its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies.Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially.Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.

Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?

(A) Several of the politicians now recommending that the pundra be allowed to become weak made that same recommendation before each of the last two periods of currency weakness.

(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.

(C) The economy of a country experiencing a rise in exports will become healthier only if the country's currency is strong or the rise in exports is significant.

(D) Those countries whose manufactured products compete with Darfir's on the world market all currently have stable currencies.

(E) A sharp improvement in the efficiency of Darfir's manufacturing plants would make Darfir's products a bargain on world markets even without any weakening of the pundra relative to other currencies.


答案是B。
为什么E不能weaken原文的argumentation呢?
先谢谢各位NN啦~
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沙发
 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-24 11:01:49 | 只看该作者
求解中,盼一盼NN!
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-24 14:00:54 | 只看该作者
自己顶一下~
地板
 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-24 15:20:06 | 只看该作者
NN们,你们在哪里?
5#
 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-24 19:41:49 | 只看该作者
NN们啊,evelyn向你们求助啊~
6#
 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-24 20:16:58 | 只看该作者
盼一盼NN
7#
 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-24 21:48:42 | 只看该作者
还是没有人么?
8#
发表于 2011-7-24 22:25:30 | 只看该作者
原文逻辑链是这样的a weak pundra 导致export是上升
(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.

因为manufacturing已经 peak level无法再生产也就没有办法再exports 了
所以是有因无果的一种削弱
9#
 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-25 10:56:58 | 只看该作者
原文逻辑链是这样的a weak pundra 导致export是上升
(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.

因为manufacturing已经 peak level无法再生产也就没有办法再exports 了
所以是有因无果的一种削弱
-- by 会员 尼采的羽毛笔 (2011/7/24 22:25:30)



恩,谢谢你,尼采~
10#
发表于 2011-10-23 15:27:02 | 只看该作者
原文逻辑链是这样的a weak pundra 导致export是上升
(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.

因为manufacturing已经 peak level无法再生产也就没有办法再exports 了
所以是有因无果的一种削弱
-- by 会员 尼采的羽毛笔 (2011/7/24 22:25:30)



羽毛笔的解释应该就是官方的观点。但是个人觉得这题中B的削弱 还不到位,因为operation已经reach peak capacity只能说明总产出不能增加,但是内销和出口的比例还是可调的。在没有假定内销出口比例不变的前提下,B的这种情况并不一定就导致有因无果。(说不定更多厂商在这刺激下内销转外销了)。我个人是选的E,因为 觉得E选项是列举他因。而打破了“货币贬值是造成出口增加”的必然条件。
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