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The recent decline in the value of the dollar was triggered by a prediction of slower economic growth in the coming year. But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.

Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the conclusion about how to prevent future currency declines?

正确答案: D

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各位大牛 prep逻辑 求解 3Q

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发表于 2012-2-8 16:51:27 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
45.    (33087-!-item-!-188;#058&007558)


The recent decline in the value of the dollar wastriggered by a prediction of slower economic growth in the coming year.  But that prediction would not have adverselyaffected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit,which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.


Which of the following, if true, would mostseriously weaken the conclusion about how to prevent future currency declines?


(A) The government has made little attempt toreduce the budget deficit.

(B) The budget deficit has not caused a slowdownin economic growth.

(C) The value of the dollar declined several timesin the year prior to the recent prediction of slower economic growth.

(D) Before there was a large budget deficit,predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in thedollar's value.

(E) When there is a large budget deficit, otherevents in addition to predictions of slower economic growth sometimes triggerdeclines in currency value.

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沙发
发表于 2012-8-4 09:11:27 | 只看该作者
up !!
板凳
发表于 2012-8-4 12:02:01 | 只看该作者
OA是哪个?
地板
发表于 2012-8-4 14:12:15 | 只看该作者
选E吧?

题意是这样: 多数人预期的明年经济走势放缓,会促进(激化)美元贬值。  但如果不是政府大额赤字,以上预期(明年经济走势放缓)就不会促进美元贬值了。      因此,应该降低财政赤字,来保证美元不贬值。

------------ 问哪个最削弱政府政府通过降低赤字来保证美元不贬值的结论。

A 选项:政府不管尽力多少attempt,attempt结果很重要。若果政府尽力了,成功地使美元保持或升值那就weaken了。A却没有说成败。 无关。

B 没有提到perdiction吧。
C  prior to the recent prediction of slower economic growth.之前发生的,无关。

D  对。 排除他因。

E 在有大量赤字时候,伴随着prediction,还有别的事故导致美元贬值。那么降低赤字,prediction of lower economic growth消除了,其余影响也可能消除。该推论有可能有效。 所以E不对,有可能加强了结论。


不是大牛..
5#
发表于 2012-8-4 16:15:24 | 只看该作者
个人认为是C
原文说如果没有deficit, prediction就不会让dollar decline,意思是说prediction 导致了美元下跌
C说在prediction之前美元就下跌了,言外之意已经有其他除了prediction之外的原因导致了dollar value 下跌,是提供他因的削弱
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