请教lsat18/s4/q24

mzyzhu · 发表于 2003-6-11 02:11:00

T8/S4/24. Odysseus answered well when the priests showed him a picture of those who had honored the gods and then escaped shipwreck, and asked him whether he did not now acknowledge the power of the gods-"Yes," he asked, but where are those pictured who were drowned after their prayers? And such is the way of all superstitions; wherein humans, having a delight in such vanities, mark the events where they are fulfilled, but where they fail, though this happens much oftener neglect and pass them by.

Which one of the following contains the error of reasoning described by the author in the passage?

(A) I have discovered that Friday the 13th really is a day of misfortune. Just this past Friday the 13th, I locked myself out of the house.

(B) Although Napoleon and Alexander the Great were short, Abraham Lincoln and Charles de Gaulle were tall. So short people seek leadership in order to overcome feelings of inferiority.

(C) Every semester for the past 15 years, an average of 10 percent of Ms. Elliot's history students have dropped her course before the exam. So, it seems likely that we can expect 10 percent to drop out this year.

(D) No reliable observer has ever actually seen a yeti. The strongest evidence seems to be some suspicious tracks. So I thing this search for a yeti is probably a wild-goose chase.

(E) I cannot trust my lucky shirt any longer wore it to the game today and our team lost

原文推理应该是：people mark events when they fulfil, but pass the events by when not

我觉得A,E在讲同一个东西，因为某一件事发生了一次 lock self out on 13th and friday, loss the match when luck shirts on，于是就将所有具备该特点的事情都认为不好13th and friday bad, lcuk shirts 不lucky.

mindfree · 发表于 2003-6-11 04:58:00

I think the answer should be A

The error described by the author was that people mark out what they want to believe. When they pray and something good happens, they will remember it and think that it is the prayer that worked. At those times when bad things happen instead, they will pass them by.

In A, the guy only remembered the bad thing that happened once on Friaday the 13th and he associated it with the date. It is less often, as the good things in the passage.

E is not parellel to the passage in reasoning. The lucky shirt was lucky before the team lost. And it became unlucky shirt after the team lost. There is no association here.

mzyzhu · 发表于 2003-6-11 15:44:00

Thank you for the explanation. you are right the answer is A.

现在我谈一下在你的解释启发下，我的解释。

the author describe the error reasoning: 首先是superstitution，认为god 是万能的，然后在轮船失事的幸存者中挑出preyer来验证先前的迷信，上帝是万能的。

A, 13这个数字在西方也是迷信，但是迷信他将带来不好的运气。因此在众多的13种挑出一个13与自己的不信，被锁在门外联系在一起，来验证13将带来不好的运气。

E, lucky shirts/figure等在西方表示好运气，但是穿上他，自己的球队失败了，与是不相信lucky shirt。

E这种推理语A和passage 稍有一点不同。passage 和A说的都是发生一个事情验证了一个迷信，而E说的事发生一个事否定了一个迷信。

所以，A right but E not.

请教lsat18/s4/q24

请教lsat18/s4/q24

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