逻辑狗 81

cy004 · 发表于 2011-3-19 16:44:56

81
[750]
考前没看逻辑狗，不知道是不是已经有这道题了，当时看了好长时间，当时答案不是很确定，后来想想应该是选对了。题目是这样的：
有一个工厂，这个工厂里的工人被检查出得某种疾病的工人的人数非常多（记得题目用的是abnormally high）。得这种病的一种很可能的原因是接触了某种化学物质X，而且潜伏期很长。而且A是这个工厂使用的原料之一。于是工会指责工厂对这种化学原料的处理不当（原词不记得怎么说的了）。问哪个因素最可以反驳工会的职责。答案看了半天都不像。答案有：
A。该厂的product中不含X
B。忘了，反正不相关
C。该厂是全国范围之内会给员作该病的定期检查的少有的几个厂之一。
D。说什么该厂用两种以上的原料，反正不相关
E。G岁以下的人得这种病的人比较少，该厂50%以上的员工在G岁以上。
我选的是C。
我怎么觉得应该选E呢。。。说明不是厂的问题，是年龄的问题。但是狗主说选C，C是怎么解释呢？谢谢大家啦

优之菡萏 · 发表于 2011-3-19 16:49:22

对选E

kazemi · 发表于 2011-3-19 18:14:59

EEEEEE

yangshao117 · 发表于 2011-3-19 18:54:41

我觉得 50% 和 abnormally high 程度上还是差一点吧只有一半的人大于那个年龄还是不足以为工厂开脱责任吧个人见解
至于C选项大家可以想一想也许全国的同类工厂可能得这个病的人都很多只是因为这个工厂定期检查所以查出来的人才多正解释了abnormally high 别的工厂可能也是abnormally high 但是没有定期检查所以知道得病的人少

cy004 · 发表于 2011-3-19 20:18:45

可是就算别的场没查出来这个厂查出来了那对削弱指责有什么用呢那么多人得病还是那个厂的处理不当问题啊。。。欢迎大家继续讨论~

苏梨汁 · 发表于 2011-3-19 21:17:27

C吧工厂要用A，处理A的人都有机会接触X，也就是都有患病的机会，有提到潜伏期很长，查出此病人很多，说明很早前工人就接触到X了。是A原料本身有问题，而不在于对A的处理的问题。该厂是全国范围之内会给员作该病的定期检查的少有的几个厂之一，用A原料的其他工厂虽没有为员工做检查，应该同样会有很多员工患病。
若E项解释，文中有的句子就显得多余了，比如潜伏期很长。

sdcar2010 · 发表于 2011-3-19 22:03:39

The conclusion is that 于是工会指责工厂对这种化学原料的处理不当（原词不记得怎么说的了）。
And we need to weaken this conclusion 问哪个因素最可以反驳工会的职责。

Correlation and causation

Chemical X and certain disease Y happened in factory Z. The argument says X causes Y. Therefore, the factory is at fault.

When X and Y happen together, the situations are:
1) X causes Y
2) Y causes X
3) A causes both X and Y
4) A causes X and B causes Y

E) says the # 4 choice might be the case. You can't SOLELY blame the factory for the disease Y.

With C, simply testing workers for the symptoms of the disease does not remove any liability of the factory to use or misuse the chemical X during production.

With E, it partially removes Chemical X as a POTENTIAL cause for the disease and attribute the high occurrence of disease among the factory's workers to their age factor. Thus, answer E effectively weakened the accusation from the union by finding ANOTHER possible cause for disease X. Namely the choice 4 I listed for correlation and causation analysis.

As to the argument of E的问题在于题目并没有给出背景人群的年龄分布, the same can be said about C: The stimulus does not tell us whether the other factories which run the same test on their workers have higher or lower incidence of the same disease. Nor does it tell us whether the other factories also use or misuse the chemical X. You need these background info to support a choice of C.

The point of finding a weakening answer choice is not to refute the original argument, but to make it less likely. Therefore, I do not need to PROVE the causal relationship between the age and the disease. All I need is to POINT OUT the POSSIBILITY that another trigger, such as the age of the workers, might lead to the high incidence of disease X among the workers so that the union cannot blame this disease SOLELY on the chemical X the factory used.

逻辑狗 81

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