The price of titanium dioxide, a key ingredient in house paint, is increasing due to limited supplies because many mining companies that once produced titanium ore have shifted production to other ores. Without titanium dioxide, . Companies that produce paint have concluded that they will soon need to increase the prices on the paint they produce. Which of the following would, if true, most strongly support the companies’ conclusion? A Prices for paint ingredients other than titanium dioxide are not likely to increase. B Plants that make titanium dioxide from titanium ore can be idled and restarted relatively quickly. C The production cost of paint without titanium dioxide is not low enough to make such paint economically viable to compete with paint containing titanium dioxide. D Because of recent increases in the price of titanium ore, mining companies that shifted production to other ores are now shifting back to producing titanium ore. E Manufacturers of paint typically contract with chemical makers to lock in the price for at least a year's supply of titanium dioxide at a time.
题型:support
逻辑链
Premise
paint原材料TD供应减少 —> TD价格上升 No TD —> paint颜色浅需要更多paint
Conclusion
油漆公司:涨价预告
影响题意理解的地方
Without titanium dioxide, paint colors are less bright and more coasts of paint must be applied to compensate. | coast here就是量词,没啥意义,可以不看
就是more paint must be applied |
题干analysis 成本=TD价格+其他原材料价格
TD原材料涨价,paint公司有两条路可以走
方法1. 继续用涨价的原材料TD
成本=TD价格?+其他原材料价格
—> 原材料涨价了 cost上升,定价也得高 = soon need to increase the prices on the paint
方法2. 不使用涨价的原材料TD, 不用了
Without titanium dioxide, paint colors are less bright and more coasts of paint must be applied to compensate
成本=TD价格+其他原材料价格+多使用的其他原材料(applied to compensate for less brightness)的价格
—> 是否能得出一定涨价结论取决于 多使用的其他原材料(applied to compensate for less brightness)的价格> TD价格
a. if > then 支持涨价conclusion,given TD已经涨价了,换成TD也不能减少cost
b. if《 then no support,因为成本不变or更少
方法2的情况b可以用于削弱conclusion 【Companies that produce paint have concluded that they will soon need to increase the prices on the paint they produce】.因为成本不变,涨价涨什么玩意一天天的不许涨
OA
The production cost of paint without titanium dioxide is not low enough to make such paint economically viable to compete with paint containing titanium dioxide.
Why 当时排除OA
现在的情况:油漆中一种成分TD价格上升了 ——>油漆公司要涨价 要加强 那选项C说了现在这个价格就已经竞争不过,你还加价,加价后不更加没得玩吗 错因:wrongly assumed that conclusion中的paint 公司因为TD原材料价格的上升已经跑去用其他的材料替代了 × 题干中并没有这么说,题干只是present了两点 1. mining companies that once produced titanium ore have shifted production to other ores 2. 如果木有TD要花更多paint
OA人话version:
方法2的cost is not low enough to make such paint economically viable to compete with 方法1的cost
题干已给出fact TD就是贵了
所以含有TD的paint——方法1的cost一定是涨的
可能的削弱方向 使用方法2:如果其他成分很便宜,便宜到到一定程度,用方法2,使用其他成分代替TD,哪怕闭着眼往paint里面加,都比方法1(继续使用含有TD的油漆,但不用使用更多)要便宜,or比之前(TD涨价之前)更便宜,那么涨价就不是必须的了
OA排除了可能的削弱选项,从而加强,,现在告诉你用方法2成本也一定是涨的
not low enough to compete = 使用方法1反而更便宜 ->还不如继续用含有TD的paint呢 还更便宜
就是说我们以上削弱conclusion的方法2情况b不存在
再复读机一遍 without TD 比 with TD less economically viable,就是我只能去选择用方法1 —— 继续使用TD,哪怕它涨价了 因为可能存在的alternative(以上方法2) -- 不使用TD but用更多的paint to compensate the color -- 被否决了 (成本更高)
加强conclusion:结论是要increase the price on the paint they produce, 一定要涨价!以上两种方法不管哪种都会increase the price,妹有better alternative哦,只能涨价啦sry mate
OE
D. Because of recent increases in the price of titanium ore, mining companies that shifted production to other ores are now shifting back to producing titanium ore. 为什么选D:忘记题目类型 淦 D为什么错 方向反了, 要增强要涨价,D削弱了 GMAC老头 CR错误选项惯用套路之一:exact opposite direction (tempting by presenting info that relates perfectly to the argument, but just in the wrong manner) |