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Escalating worldwide demand for corn has led to a sharp increase in the market price of corn, and corn prices are likely to remain high. Corn is extensive used as feed for livestock, and because profit margins are tight in the livestock business, many farmers are expected to leave the business. With fewer suppliers, meat prices will surely rise. Nonetheless, observers expect an immediate short-term decrease in meat prices.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to justify the observers' expectation?

正确答案: B

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XY05-37 怀疑答案错,大家看看应选什么

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楼主
发表于 2008-3-26 15:07:00 | 只看该作者

XY05-37 怀疑答案错,大家看看应选什么

我选的是B,答案是E,大家来看看

Q37:

Escalating worldwide demand for corn has led to a sharp increase in the market price of corn, and corn prices are likely to remain high.  Corn is extensive used as feed for livestock, and because profit margins are tight in the livestock business, many farmers are expected to leave the business.  With fewer suppliers, meat prices will surely rise.  Nonetheless, observers expect an immediate short-term decrease in meat prices.

 

Which of the following, if true, most helps to justify the observers’ expectation?

 

  1. The increase in corn prices is due more to a decline in the supply of corn than to a growth in demand for it.

  2. Generally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.

  3. Some people who ate meat regularly in the past are converting to diets that include little or no meat.

  4. As meat prices rise, the number of livestock producers is likely to rise again.

  5. Livestock producers who stay in the business will start using feed other than corn more extensively than they did in the past.

沙发
发表于 2008-3-26 16:03:00 | 只看该作者

新手分析,选B,不知道对错。

我的想法是-

市场对MEAT需求增加,观察者却说价格要下降?从经济学角度来说,那只要需求减少,才可能导致短期的价格下降。而将家畜卖掉,那就没有消费这些MEAT的需求了,那必然会造成短期的价格减少。

但是我刚刚看到北大的GMAT论坛上是B


[此贴子已经被作者于2008-3-26 16:04:20编辑过]
板凳
发表于 2008-3-26 16:12:00 | 只看该作者

我个人认为E答案不能最好的帮助这个OBSERVER得出MEAT的价格会在短期内下降!

地板
发表于 2008-3-26 16:22:00 | 只看该作者

选B

C,D,E都是long term的事情,要用经济学规律来慢慢调整

只有B讲的是一个短期的事情,那些livestock的商人在被挤出市场之前,会大量倾销手中的家畜

所以肉类价格在短期内会降低,因为货源多了

然后长期会升高

过一段时间经过c,d,e的调整后,肉类价格又会降低,这就是经济学规律

 

我们紧扣原文逻辑链,在短期内发生的事情只有B

5#
 楼主| 发表于 2008-3-28 09:19:00 | 只看该作者

协隐和GWD上是不是有很多答案错的啊?

6#
发表于 2008-3-28 10:12:00 | 只看该作者

貌似

7#
发表于 2008-4-7 20:55:00 | 只看该作者
你的答案是哪裡來的?我也是做那一套,但我的參考答案就是 B
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